According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $106,000, buoyed by reduced geopolitical risks after President Trump delayed a U.S. intervention in Iran, with Polymarket odds dropping from 70% to 40%. However, CryptoQuant analysts warn BTC could fall to $92,000 if demand doesn't rebound, citing a 60% decline in ETF flows since April and reduced whale buying. Glassnode reports subdued on-chain activity, indicating institutional dominance in a maturing market. Key events include CME Group's launch of spot-quoted futures for BTC and ETH on June 30, pending approval.