According to @StockMKTNewz, Kalshi prediction markets currently price a 72% probability the Federal Reserve makes no rate change in December and a 29% probability of a 0.25% cut, shared on Nov 19, 2025 (source: @StockMKTNewz). For trading, this implies a base-case hold scenario with a smaller cut tail, a framework that crypto and macro traders can use to size positions and event risk into the December FOMC, including monitoring BTC, ETH, USD, and rates sensitivity to the outcome (source: @StockMKTNewz).