Dragosch: Cryptoassets Insensitive to Midterm Odds
André Dragosch examined Polymarket midterm election probabilities and determined that none of the top 10 cryptoassets exhibits a statistically significant relationship, with R-squared values mostly below 1%.
SourceAnalysis
André Dragosch reviewed sensitivities of major cryptoassets to Polymarket midterm election odds and found no statistically significant links in the most probable scenarios of a Democratic sweep at 67% or Republican Senate with Democratic House at 25%. R-squared values remained sub 1% across the top 10 assets, indicating crypto markets are focused on other drivers.
André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro
@Andre_DragoschEuropean Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.