Markets / Macro monitor
Interest rates, currencies, gold and expected volatility: the broader context behind stock and crypto pricing.
Each indicator carries its own observation date. Treasury yield changes are in basis points; market quote changes are percentages.
| Indicator | Value | Change | Observed (UTC) | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US 10Y yield | 4.98% | -7.00 bp | FRED series | |
| US 2Y yield | 4.61% | -6.00 bp | FRED series | |
| 10Y - 2Y spread | 37.0 bp | -1.00 bp | FRED series |
Rolling 24-hour tokenized & perpetual reference quotes across precious metals, energy, equity index trackers, and Bitcoin.
| Benchmark | Category | Reference Price | 24h Change | 24h Volume (USD) | Research & Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold (XAU / USD Perpetual) | Precious Metals | $3,913.24 / oz | +0.55% | $1,158,033,963 | Forecast → |
| Silver (XAG / USD Perpetual) | Precious Metals | $50.28 / oz | +1.31% | $528,206,712 | Forecast → |
| WTI Crude Oil (CL / USD) | Energy | $99.89 / bbl | -2.90% | $739,634,261 | Forecast → |
| Copper (HG / USD) | Industrial Metals | $6.5410 / lb | +0.09% | $6,252,994 | Forecast → |
| S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY) | US Equities | $760.55 | +0.32% | $49,461,204 | Forecast → |
| Nasdaq-100 Index ETF (QQQ) | US Tech Index | $697.53 | +0.14% | $132,326,469 | Forecast → |
| Semiconductor Bull 3X (SOXL) | Semiconductors | $81.20 | +3.36% | $1,076,059,177 | Forecast → |
| MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) | Asia-Pacific Index | $159.29 | +3.64% | $106,767,924 | Forecast → |
| Bitcoin (BTC / USDT) | Digital Reserve | $78,003.90 | +0.22% | $5,395,893,296 | Forecast → |
The 10-year yield is a reference for longer-term financing and valuation discount rates. The 2-year yield is more sensitive to expected monetary policy. The 10-year minus 2-year spread compares observations from the same date; an inversion is context, not a precise recession or market-timing forecast.
DXY tracks a specified basket of currencies. A stronger dollar can affect overseas earnings, dollar-denominated commodities and financing conditions. A broad trade-weighted dollar index is a different series and must not be labelled DXY.
Gold can respond to real yields, the dollar, demand and risk sentiment. Spot gold, futures contracts and gold ETFs are different instruments; a gold ETF price is not the price of an ounce of gold.
VIX measures approximately 30-day expected S&P 500 volatility from option prices. IV means implied volatility and can refer to many different securities or options. A high VIX indicates expected volatility, not a guaranteed decline or rebound.
Daily Treasury constant-maturity yields are published by the Federal Reserve and accessed through FRED. Changes compare the latest valid observation with the previous valid observation, not necessarily yesterday. A 0.01 percentage-point yield move equals one basis point.
Market quotes carry source observation timestamps and may be delayed. Missing values are not estimated, and unavailable instruments are not replaced with ETF prices or a different index. Instrument definitions explain the benchmark; they are not citations for a separately supplied market quote.
These indicators provide market context, not standalone buy or sell signals.