Kalshi: 6% Chance Solana Ends Year Above $500

Kalshi places just a 6% chance that Solana closes the year above $500.

Solana trades at $111.72 on the 4h chart inside a bearish structure, with price below both the EMA50 at $113.61 and EMA200 at $112.01. Momentum shows RSI at 48.78 in neutral territory while MACD registers a bullish golden cross at -0.65. Price sits inside the Bollinger Bands, testing the upper band resistance at $112.62 against lower support at $108.27. With price testing upper Bollinger resistance at $112.62 while RSI remains neutral, a healthy retracement toward the 50-EMA support at $113.61 appears probable before any sustained upside attempt.