Latest Update
2026-11-04 08:07 UTC

Kalshi: Markets Call 98% of Midterm Races

Kalshi: Markets Call 98% of Midterm Races

Kalshi prediction markets correctly identified winners in 479 of 487 midterm races, reaching 98% accuracy with forecasts set before any votes were cast and outperforming polls and models.

Source

Analysis

Kalshi prediction markets locked in winners for 479 of 487 midterm races, hitting 98% accuracy on forecasts placed before a single vote was counted and beating both polls and models.

Kalshi

@Kalshi

Trade on anything in all 50 states: politics, sports, entertainment, crypto, weather, and so much more.