Latest Update
7/28/2026 5:21:00 PM

Nvidia: $2T Circular AI Financing Risks Surface

Nvidia: $2T Circular AI Financing Risks Surface

Nvidia anchors $2 trillion circular AI financing tied to OpenAI and Anthropic $1.5 trillion commitments now threatened by Chinese open LLMs market share gains.

Source

Analysis

Nvidia anchors $2 trillion in circular AI financing that depends entirely on OpenAI and Anthropic delivering on $1.5 trillion in unfunded commitments. Those obligations collapse if Chinese open LLMs capture meaningful market share, which explains the intensifying regulatory push against them. The structure leaves frontier labs exposed to revenue shortfalls that ripple straight back to Nvidia hardware demand and the entire financing loop built around it.


André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.