Polymarket: 69% Odds No Fed Rate Cuts in 2026

Polymarket traders now assign a 69% chance that Kevin Warsh and the Fed deliver zero rate cuts throughout 2026, according to latest contract pricing. The elevated odds reflect market bets on sticky inflation and resilient growth data keeping policy tighter than previously expected. Fed rate cut predictions 2026 have swung sharply since early-year easing bets faded on stronger-than-forecast employment prints.