Traders on Polymarket assign just a 39% probability that Anthropic unleashes its highly anticipated Claude Mythos AI model before June wraps up. This betting line, revealed in a tweet from the platform, underscores lingering doubts about the timeline for what could be the next leap in generative AI.

AI Race Heats Up

Anthropic, backed by tech giants like Amazon, raced ahead last fall with Claude 3, outpacing rivals in benchmark tests. Yet the Claude Mythos buzz—rumored to blend multimodal capabilities with enhanced reasoning—now faces skepticism. Market odds dipped from initial hype, reflecting regulatory hurdles and supply chain snags that plagued similar launches in early 2026.

Investors eye this as a barometer for the broader AI sector. Polymarket's crypto-fueled predictions often mirror real-world outcomes, like last quarter's accurate forecast on OpenAI's governance shakeup. If Mythos drops, it could jolt stocks in AI hardware, from Nvidia to custom chipmakers.