S&P 500: Inflation Above 3.8% Triggers Bear Markets
S&P 500 bear markets since 1970 align with US inflation above 3.8%, occurring six times in 55 years as noted by Bull Theory on May 25, 2026.
SourceAnalysis
S&P 500 entered a bear market every time inflation crossed the 3.8% threshold, a pattern recorded six times in the last 55 years according to @BullTheoryio. The latest reading hit exactly 3.8% for the 12 months ending April 2026, matching the historical US inflation above 3.8% and S&P 500 bear markets since 1970 and confirming the inflation rate thresholds and equity market crashes correlation that preceded the last three major crashes.
Bull Theory
@BullTheoryioResearch, Trades, onchain plays and all other crypto stuff simplified.Publishes institutional-grade cryptocurrency research and blockchain market intelligence. Delivers in-depth analysis of on-chain metrics, tokenomics, and decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems. Features proprietary data models, investment thesis breakdowns, and macro-level crypto trend forecasts. Provides strategic insights for sophisticated investors navigating digital asset markets. Maintains rigorous methodology in fundamental and technical analysis across crypto assets.
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