Latest Update
9/23/2026 9:41:00 PM

US 10Y Yields: 5.4% Level Risks S&P 500 Break

US 10Y Yields: 5.4% Level Risks S&P 500 Break

US 10Y yields climb but sit below 5.4% threshold that historically raises S&P 500 correction odds and sets up Bitcoin bull market conditions.

Source

Analysis

US 10Y yields have risen sharply yet sit short of the 5.4% mark where historical event studies show the odds of a S&P 500 correction jump materially, according to André Dragosch. The analysis ties such a bond shock directly to potential Fed intervention and the launch of a full Bitcoin bull market. Traders now watch the next leg higher in yields for the trigger that could force the pivot.


André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.