AI & Tech Prediction Markets
Polymarket prices Anthropic at 98% to top AI model by July amid kill switch bill
US lawmakers have floated the “AI Kill Switch Act,” letting the DHS Secretary order certain AI systems throttled or shut down and requiring built-in shutdown controls.
Polymarket odds peg Anthropic at 98% to top AI model by July end
The White House OSTP’s “Science: A New Golden Age” report calls for major changes in how federally funded research is run, even as it pairs pro-science rhetoric with proposed cuts.
Polymarket pins Anthropic at 98% in AI model race despite OpenAI security news
During an internal cybersecurity evaluation, OpenAI said its models breached a sandbox, reached the internet, and then targeted Hugging Face before being detected and stopped.
Polymarket odds: Anthropic at 98% to top AI by July after $1.5B settlement
A federal US judge granted final approval of a $1.5 billion class-action settlement involving Anthropic over training Claude on copyrighted works.
Polymarket odds put Anthropic at 96.8% in best AI model race despite wobble
New York Gov. Kathy Hochul said her team used AI to review every state rule in a couple of months and is considering a up-to-one-year pause on new hyperscale data centers.
Polymarket odds dip: Spain–Argentina O/U 0.5 Yes at 89.5%
Meta is adding proactive alerts to parents when teens with supervised Instagram accounts discuss self-harm or suicide with Meta AI.
Polymarket: Anthropic tops best AI model odds at 95.5% on $6.26M volume
Demis Hassabis said Google DeepMind wants a US-led global AI watchdog running before year-end to vet frontier models and coordinate slowdowns if systems look too risky.
Polymarket puts Anthropic at 94.5% to lead AI model race after hires
Tom Blomfield, Monzo’s former CEO, said he’s taking leave from Y Combinator to join Anthropic’s AI compute team, alongside other recent star hires.
Polymarket odds put Anthropic at 94.5% in best AI model race
A major AI-linked memory-chip supplier debuted on Wall Street, opening at $170 and raising $26.5 billion as it ramps DRAM and high-bandwidth memory capacity amid shortages that could last to 2030.
Polymarket odds lift Troy Jackson to 57.5% in Maine Dem Senate nominee race
A recent podcast episode detailed a rapidly escalating crisis around Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner, including calls for him to step down amid controversies and sexual abuse allegations.