Israel & Gaza Prediction Markets
Polymarket holds 9% odds on Israel genocide guilty ruling by 2027
Israeli drone attacks and gunfire in Gaza reportedly killed at least five people, including a nine-year-old girl, even as ceasefire talks continue.
Polymarket prices Eizenkot at 40% in tight Israel PM race after US-Lebanon talks
US and Lebanese military delegations met in Beirut to discuss a US-brokered framework’s first phase for an Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, with more talks expected in Rome next week.
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot 39.4% leads Netanyahu in Israel PM race
Sen. Lindsey Graham reportedly died at 71 after a brief illness, his office said, as South Carolina weighs steps to appoint a temporary replacement.
Netanyahu warns on Turkey F-35s as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 40%
In a CNN interview, Benjamin Netanyahu said he warned Donald Trump that a U.S. sale of F-35 jets to Turkey could upset the Middle East balance of power.
IDF account disputed in Lebanon clash as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40%
Reserve troops from the 679th Yiftah Brigade say the IDF misdescribed Tuesday’s Bint Jbeil clash, including when an Oketz dog was killed and when evacuations occurred.
Smotrich touts new West Bank settlements as Polymarket favors Eizenkot at 39%
After Israel’s cabinet approved 13 new settlements in the central occupied West Bank, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich called it a “revolution” in settlement expansion, widening concerns over a
Trump–Netanyahu rift sharpens as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 39%
On July 6, a report warned Trump may reassess US ties with Israel as Netanyahu pursues a risky strategy amid corruption charges and looming elections.
Netanyahu touts Trump ties as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 40% for Israel PM
In a Fox News interview, Benjamin Netanyahu said his relationship with Donald Trump is “fine” amid debate over a US-Iran ceasefire framework and Israel’s stance in Lebanon.
France, Morocco reach quarters as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 40% for Israel PM
On July 5, 2026, a 12:03 World Cup Day 24 recap video reported France and Morocco reached the quarterfinals.
No Israel catalyst, Polymarket keeps Eizenkot lead at 37.9%
India’s Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar visited the Omkareshwar Jyotirlinga temple in Madhya Pradesh, with no Israel election linkage or policy signal.