Ukraine & Russia Prediction Markets
Polymarket odds dip on Syrskyi exit by year-end as Kyiv faces mass strikes
Overnight, Russia fired 40+ missiles and 120 attack drones, with most aimed at Kyiv, as rescue and cleanup efforts continued, Zelensky said.
Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 19% on $17.8M
Overnight, nearly 50 drones reportedly targeted Russia’s Moscow region, igniting fires at an oil depot in Noginsk and a Wildberries logistics site in Elektrostal.
Polymarket puts Putin-out-by-2027 at 18.5% as ladder prices tilt later
A fact-check report reviewed a primetime speech in which President Donald Trump repeated unverified 2020 election claims, saying official assessments found no vote totals were technically altered.
Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 18.5%
At 9 p.m. ET, President Donald Trump is expected to deliver a primetime address on elections and voting machines, as some networks reportedly skip live airing.
Polymarket puts Putin-out-by-2027 at 17% after Arizona election settlement
Maricopa County election officials agreed to a joint oversight framework after mediation, setting an interim plan for the July 21 primary as early voting began in late June.
Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 18% on $17.5M volume
A Mexico updates feed this week featured South Texas flood warnings, ICE-custody death probes, and 2026 World Cup ticket and fan-event items, with no mention of Russian leadership.
Polymarket prices 18% odds Putin is out by June 2027 on $17M volume
In a recent report, President Donald Trump said Congress could soon approve a new Russia sanctions bill and was asked if he might sign it within a week or two.
Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 19.5% after Iran escalation
The US carried out a third straight night of strikes in Iran, as Donald Trump warned Tehran it would be “hit hard” and a naval blockade was reinstated.
Polymarket lifts Putin exit-by-2027 odds to 20% amid Russia fuel shortages
Across Russia, drivers are facing hours-long and even multi-day gas lines as shortages worsen, with some stations closing after reported drone strikes hit refineries as far as Omsk on July 6.
Polymarket odds: Putin out by June 2027 rises to 18% amid Ukraine war escalation
Russian missiles and drones struck Kyiv and Odesa this week, with Ukraine reporting injuries and deaths, as Zelenskyy pressed NATO on commitments amid dwindling munitions.