According to @ai_9684xtpa, address 0x540...3F802 is now the largest short on Hyperliquid LIT after depositing 4.35 million USDC of margin within the past two hours, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X and HyperBot trader page for 0x540...3F802. The address opened a 1x short totaling 1,110,677 LIT at a 2.74 USD average entry and is currently showing about 25,000 dollars unrealized loss, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X and HyperBot trader page for 0x540...3F802. Based on these reported figures, the position notional is approximately 3.043 million dollars which implies effective leverage below 1x given 4.35 million USDC posted as margin, source: calculation from figures reported by @ai_9684xtpa on X and HyperBot trader page for 0x540...3F802. The 2.74 USD average entry is the immediate breakeven level for this short, so price action above 2.74 increases the unrealized loss and price action below 2.74 reduces it, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X and HyperBot trader page for 0x540...3F802. Traders can monitor this address in real time on the HyperBot dashboard to track position size and PnL for potential impact on LIT perpetual order flow and liquidity, source: HyperBot trader page for 0x540...3F802.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, $LIT is now trading with a current fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $2.41B, providing the live reference level for day-one pricing bands, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa citing opinion.trade data, the share of bets that FDV will exceed $2B one day post-listing has declined from 85.5% to 76.3% versus a week ago when the pre-market contract launched, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa citing opinion.trade, market-implied odds for $4B/$6B/$8B outcomes have fallen sharply, with only 7% now projecting >$4B compared with 23% previously, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa, Binance pre-market reference was $3.52 per token, implying a $3.52B FDV as a comparative anchor for near-term pricing, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa citing opinion.trade, the top holder “Nijntje” controls 414k Lighter shares (≈$327k), indicating concentrated positioning among forecasters, source: @ai_9684xtpa. Based on these market-implied probabilities reported by @ai_9684xtpa, traders may recalibrate near-term targets toward the $2B–$3.5B FDV band and manage risk around those thresholds for momentum entries and exits, source: @ai_9684xtpa.