According to @CrypNuevo, current BTC price action resembles the Feb–Mar pattern with a liquidation cascade drop, swift recovery, rejection at the 1D 50 EMA, a retest of lows, and a potential bounce above the 1D 50 EMA that would mark the end of correction and set up new highs, source: X post by @CrypNuevo on Nov 30, 2025. For traders, the author outlines two scenarios: if BTC fails to reclaim and hold above the 1D 50 EMA, risk of a return to recent lows remains elevated; if BTC reclaims and holds above the 1D 50 EMA, bias shifts to continuation and fresh highs, source: X post by @CrypNuevo on Nov 30, 2025. The actionable pivot is the 1D 50 EMA, which the author treats as the confirmation and invalidation level for positioning and risk management, source: X post by @CrypNuevo on Nov 30, 2025.