According to @AltcoinDaily, prediction-market data from Polymarket shows the probability that BTC trades below $80,000 in 2025 has risen to 28% and is increasing, signaling growing downside risk priced by participants (source: @AltcoinDaily; Polymarket). For traders, the higher sub-$80k likelihood indicates markets are increasingly hedging tail risk and may reprice volatility and support levels in line with the updated contract odds (source: Polymarket odds as referenced by @AltcoinDaily).