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2025 Crypto Outlook: BTC and ETH ETFs Disrupt 4-Year Cycle; @CryptoMichNL Says Altcoin Rally Still Ahead | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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10/7/2025 6:30:00 PM

2025 Crypto Outlook: BTC and ETH ETFs Disrupt 4-Year Cycle; @CryptoMichNL Says Altcoin Rally Still Ahead

2025 Crypto Outlook: BTC and ETH ETFs Disrupt 4-Year Cycle; @CryptoMichNL Says Altcoin Rally Still Ahead

According to @CryptoMichNL, spot Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) ETFs have disrupted the traditional 4-year cycle, making the current bull market harder to gauge for traders, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 7, 2025. He adds that recent ETF inflows have had a significant impact, yet altcoins have shown limited momentum so far in this cycle, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 7, 2025. He cites the prior cycle where SOL and AVAX valuations exceeded conservative expectations as evidence that late-cycle altcoin outperformance can emerge, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 7, 2025. He believes the risk-on phase is beginning and Web3 hype is returning, implying potential rotation toward altcoins as the market matures, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 7, 2025.

Source

Analysis

In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, seasoned analyst Michaël van de Poppe, known as @CryptoMichNL, recently shared insightful perspectives on the current bull market dynamics. Drawing parallels to previous cycles, he emphasizes that during the last bear market, predictions for the bull run were often conservative, yet valuations soared beyond expectations for assets like Solana (SOL) and Avalanche (AVAX). This time around, the narrative is shaped heavily by the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs, which have reinforced the outdated belief in a rigid four-year cycle, even though market realities suggest otherwise. Similarly, the Ethereum ETF has driven massive inflows, setting the stage for what could be a transformative phase. Van de Poppe argues that altcoins have yet to experience significant momentum in this cycle, but history indicates that a risk-on environment is just beginning to ignite, potentially leading to explosive growth in Web 3.0 ecosystems.

Breaking Down the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF Impact on Market Cycles

The Bitcoin ETF has been a game-changer, attracting institutional capital and challenging traditional cycle theories. Traders monitoring Bitcoin price movements should note that as of early October 2025, the ETF inflows have stabilized sentiment, preventing deeper corrections despite volatility. Without adhering to the four-year cycle myth, savvy investors are positioning for asymmetric upside. For Ethereum, the ETF's recent inflows—reportedly in the billions—mirror this trend, boosting liquidity and trader confidence. In trading terms, this translates to key support levels for ETH around $2,500, with resistance at $3,000, based on historical patterns from similar inflow periods. Altcoin traders, in particular, should watch for correlations; as Bitcoin dominance potentially wanes, capital rotation into altcoins like SOL and AVAX could accelerate. Van de Poppe's analysis suggests that conservative predictions often underestimate bull market peaks, so incorporating on-chain metrics such as transaction volumes and wallet activity becomes crucial for timing entries. For instance, Solana's ecosystem has shown rising developer activity, hinting at undervalued opportunities amid the budding hype.

Altcoin Momentum and Risk-On Cycle Opportunities

Delving deeper into altcoins, the current cycle's lack of momentum echoes the early stages of the previous bull run, where assets like AVAX surged from conservative valuations to multiples higher. Traders can optimize strategies by focusing on trading volumes and market indicators; for example, monitoring 24-hour volume spikes in pairs like SOL/USDT or AVAX/BTC on major exchanges. The risk-on cycle, as van de Poppe describes, is starting to heat up, driven by Web 3.0 innovations and broader market sentiment shifts. This presents trading opportunities in undervalued altcoins, with potential for 5x to 10x gains if historical precedents hold. Institutional flows, spurred by ETFs, are likely to trickle down, increasing liquidity in altcoin markets. To capitalize, consider technical setups: look for breakouts above moving averages, such as the 50-day EMA for SOL, which has historically signaled bullish continuations. On-chain data, including active addresses and staking metrics, further supports this thesis, indicating growing network utility that could drive price appreciation.

From a broader trading perspective, integrating these insights means diversifying portfolios beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum. While the ETFs have dominated headlines, the real alpha may lie in altcoins as the cycle matures. Van de Poppe's comparison to past cycles underscores the importance of not underestimating market euphoria; valuations exploded previously, and this time won't differ. For stock market correlations, crypto traders should eye tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, as positive movements there often bolster risk appetite in digital assets. Institutional adoption continues to bridge traditional finance with crypto, potentially amplifying upside. In summary, as the hype in Web 3.0 ecosystems rebuilds, proactive traders positioning now could reap substantial rewards, emphasizing the need for disciplined risk management amid volatile swings.

Strategic Trading Insights for the Evolving Bull Market

To wrap up this analysis, let's focus on actionable trading strategies. With the bull market's tricky nature, as highlighted by van de Poppe on October 7, 2025, prioritize entries during dips supported by ETF inflows. For Bitcoin, target long positions if it holds above $60,000, eyeing $80,000 as a psychological resistance. Ethereum traders might scale in around current levels, watching for ETF-related news catalysts. Altcoins like SOL and AVAX offer high-beta plays; use volume-weighted average price (VWAP) indicators for intraday trades. Market sentiment remains bullish, with potential for rapid shifts—monitor social metrics and funding rates on perpetual futures. Ultimately, this cycle's unpredictability rewards adaptability, blending fundamental ETF impacts with technical analysis for optimal outcomes.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast