According to @StockMarketNerd, a 50 bps rate cut would signal Federal Reserve panic and heighten market anxiety, making a smaller 25 bps cut the preferable outcome for stability, as stated on X on Nov 10, 2025 (source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Nov 10, 2025). For trading, this view points to risk-off reactions if a 50 bps cut arrives as a surprise and relatively steadier pricing around a 25 bps move, with potential spillover to BTC and ETH given their increased correlation with equities documented by the IMF Global Financial Stability Report 2022 (sources: @StockMarketNerd on X, Nov 10, 2025; IMF Global Financial Stability Report 2022).

According to @BullTheoryio, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut the policy rate by 25 basis points and the move is framed as long-term bullish for markets including crypto, source: @BullTheoryio on X on Oct 29, 2025. For trading, confirm the decision via the Federal Reserve’s official statement and press conference before positioning, then monitor BTC and ETH for potential risk-on follow-through tied to easier policy, source: @BullTheoryio on X and Federal Reserve Board official communications.

According to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing a 97.8% probability of a 25 bps rate cut at this Wednesday's FOMC decision; source: CME Group FedWatch Tool. According to the Federal Reserve's published meeting schedule, the policy statement and press conference are set for Wednesday, a timing that typically concentrates event risk for rate-sensitive assets; source: Federal Reserve Board. According to the Federal Reserve's policy implementation framework, a 25 bps cut reduces the target federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage points, filtering through to short-term funding costs that traders monitor for positioning across risk assets; source: Federal Reserve Board. According to CME Group product documentation, BTC and ETH futures and options offer liquidity to hedge and express views around macro policy outcomes, making FOMC days focal for crypto derivatives activity; source: CME Group. According to ICE's U.S. Dollar Index methodology, DXY is a key USD benchmark that traders reference when valuing BTC/USD and ETH/USD during rate decisions, linking policy moves to crypto-dollar pair pricing; source: ICE

According to @ReutersBiz, the US Federal Reserve delivered a 25-basis-point interest rate cut, and the following day Wall Street’s main indexes closed at record highs (Source: @ReutersBiz, Sep 19, 2025).

According to @cookiedotfun, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 bps yesterday and broader markets saw only a modest uptick despite high expectations (source: @cookiedotfun). According to @cookiedotfun, Solana (SOL) meme coin project @FartCoinOfSOL is up 11% since the announcement, prompting questions about any correlation between FOMC decisions and SOL memecoin moves (source: @cookiedotfun).

According to @CryptoMichNL, markets are positioned for a weaker US Dollar, lower interest rates, and a potential top in gold into this week’s decision, highlighting a buy the rumor, sell the news gold rally setup. Source: Michael van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) on X, Sep 15, 2025. He notes he will watch gold’s post-announcement reaction on Wednesday to validate whether the rally fades after the event. Source: Michael van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) on X, Sep 15, 2025. He adds that a 25 bps Fed rate cut would be a positive signal, while a 50 bps cut would be even better in his view. Source: Michael van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) on X, Sep 15, 2025.

According to @rovercrc, current market odds show a 93.4% probability of a 25 bps rate cut and a 6.6% probability of a 50 bps cut, source: @rovercrc. @rovercrc states that markets will explode, signaling traders to prepare for heightened volatility across risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, source: @rovercrc. For short-term positioning, this skew in expectations supports volatility-focused setups around the decision window, source: @rovercrc.

According to @KobeissiLetter, headline inflation is cold, core inflation is hot, and month-over-month inflation came in as expected based on the latest print. @KobeissiLetter expects a 25 bps Fed rate cut in September, noting the Federal Reserve may point to a weaker labor market despite hotter inflation. @KobeissiLetter also highlights that all eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, signaling event risk around his remarks for rate expectations and market positioning.