According to @karpathy, AGI is on roughly a 10-year horizon he describes as a decade of agents, citing major remaining work in integration, real-world sensors and actuators, societal alignment, and security, and noting his timeline is 5-10x more conservative than prevailing hype, source: @karpathy on X, Oct 18, 2025. He is long agentic interaction but skeptical of reinforcement learning due to poor signal-to-compute efficiency and noise, and he highlights alternative learning paradigms such as system prompt learning with early deployed examples like ChatGPT memory, source: @karpathy on X, Oct 18, 2025. He urges collaborative, verifiable LLM tooling over fully autonomous code-writing agents and warns that overshooting capability can accumulate slop and increase vulnerabilities and security breaches, source: @karpathy on X, Oct 18, 2025. He advocates building a cognitive core by reducing memorization to improve generalization and expects models to get larger before they can get smaller, source: @karpathy on X, Oct 18, 2025. He also contrasts LLMs as ghost-like entities prepackaged via next-token prediction with animals prewired by evolution, and suggests making models more animal-like over time, source: @karpathy on X, Oct 18, 2025. For crypto builders and traders, this points to prioritizing human-in-the-loop agent workflows, code verification, memory-enabled tooling, and security-first integrations over promises of fully autonomous AGI, especially where software defects and vulnerabilities carry on-chain risk, source: @karpathy on X, Oct 18, 2025.

According to Sam Altman on Twitter, the focus in AI discussions is shifting from predicting the arrival of AGI to the timeline for the first self-replicating spaceship. This pivot highlights the growing relevance of advanced AI and automation technologies, which could spur increased investment in blockchain and crypto infrastructure supporting autonomous systems. Recent trends show that AI-driven developments often lead to heightened trading volumes and bullish sentiment in crypto assets like Worldcoin and AI-linked tokens (source: Sam Altman Twitter, May 23, 2025).