According to @cas_abbe, December has started red for Bitcoin and altcoins (source: @cas_abbe). The author notes that a red November has historically led to a red December, but recent patterns have failed, including a green September not delivering a green October (source: @cas_abbe). Direction this month will hinge on macro events such as US CPI, unemployment data, the FOMC meeting, the BOJ rate decision, and Chair Powell’s speech (source: @cas_abbe). For a green December, inflation needs to decline while unemployment remains high (source: @cas_abbe). The author adds that Powell turned hawkish at the last FOMC and triggered a market dump; if he is hawkish again there could be damage, though the downside may be less severe as markets focus on an expected announcement of the next Fed chair this month (source: @cas_abbe). Overall, the author still expects December could end green and sees Q1 as potentially positive for markets (source: @cas_abbe).