According to @CryptoMichNL, the traditional 4-year Bitcoin cycle is no longer valid for market timing, directly challenging halving-based BTC trading strategies, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 11, 2025. He shared this view after an interview recorded in Amsterdam during Beleggersfair and a crypto congress, signaling that traders should reassess reliance on fixed halving timelines for BTC positioning, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 11, 2025.

According to @binance, Bitcoin’s supply is hard-capped at 21 million and the final BTC is projected to be mined around the year 2140, after which no new coins will enter circulation, reinforcing long-term scarcity for traders to factor into supply-driven strategies. Source: Binance Academy. According to @binance, when block subsidies end, miner revenue will rely solely on transaction fees, shifting the network’s security budget from new issuance to fees and making fee dynamics central to miner incentives. Source: Binance Academy. According to @binance, halving events gradually reduce BTC inflation over time, increasing the importance of transaction fees for network security and miner profitability, which traders can monitor via fee levels and the fee share of miner revenue as issuance declines. Source: Binance Academy.

According to @QCompounding, investors should hold positions for years, not months, to let strong businesses compound returns (source: @QCompounding, Aug 11, 2025). For crypto, multi-year positioning aligns with Bitcoin’s programmed halving every 210,000 blocks, roughly four years, which systematically reduces new BTC issuance over time (source: Bitcoin.org Developer Guide). On-chain analytics classify coins dormant for more than 155 days as long-term holder supply, highlighting a market-accepted horizon beyond months that informs accumulation and distribution analysis (source: Glassnode Help Center). Ethereum’s EIP-1559 burns a portion of transaction fees and the 2022 Merge lowered ETH issuance, making longer holding horizons relevant for ETH supply dynamics (source: Ethereum Foundation blog).

According to Trader Tardigrade, Bitcoin ($BTC) has entered this month's peak range, historically coinciding with a cycle peak between 0.25 and 0.5 of the time elapsed between halvings. This timing analysis, as cited by Trader Tardigrade on April 25, 2025, suggests a favorable accumulation zone for traders ahead of the next halving event. Market participants seeking to optimize their Bitcoin holdings are advised to consider this window for strategic buys, as historical cycles have aligned price peaks within these timeframes (source: @TATrader_Alan, Twitter, April 25, 2025).