According to Charlie Bilello, he has shared an updated compilation of Bitcoin returns since 2010 for BTC and directed readers to his newsletter for the full dataset, enabling traders to analyze long-term performance dynamics, source: Charlie Bilello on X, Nov 13, 2025; bilello.blog/newsletter. Traders can leverage the historical returns series to backtest momentum entry and exit rules, benchmark cycle performance, and calibrate volatility-adjusted position sizing in BTC, source: Charlie Bilello on X; bilello.blog/newsletter.

According to @rovercrc, the average Bitcoin (BTC) return in October is +20% and in November is +46%, pointing to a historically bullish Q4 seasonality pattern for BTC; source: @rovercrc on X, Oct 4, 2025. According to @rovercrc, the author also signals expectations for continued upside with the phrase Buckle up, while the post provides no underlying dataset or methodology to verify the averages; source: @rovercrc on X, Oct 4, 2025.

According to @charliebilello, a new X post compiles Bitcoin (BTC) returns since 2010, providing a 15-year performance timeline that traders use to contextualize BTC’s trend and cycle behavior; source: Charlie Bilello on X, Oct 2, 2025. The post offers a historical return reference that market participants can apply when benchmarking risk, sizing positions, and setting drawdown expectations in BTC strategies; source: Charlie Bilello on X, Oct 2, 2025. For trading workflows, the historical series referenced in the post can inform momentum lookbacks, regime identification, and backtesting assumptions for BTC; source: Charlie Bilello on X, Oct 2, 2025.

According to @rovercrc, the last time the Fed cut rates in September, Bitcoin and Ethereum surged and history will repeat; Source: @rovercrc on X, Aug 23, 2025. The Federal Reserve did cut the target range by 25 bps on September 18, 2019; Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, FOMC statement dated September 18, 2019. Following that September 2019 cut, BTC fell from roughly $10,200 on Sep 18 to about $7,400 by Oct 23, while ETH dropped from around $215 to near $160 over the same period; Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD historical data. During the emergency rate cuts to near zero in March 2020, crypto initially sold off sharply with BTC near $3,850 on Mar 13 and ETH near $86 before recovering later in 2020; Sources: Federal Reserve press releases March 3, 2020 and March 15, 2020; Yahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD historical data. Historical post-cut reactions have been mixed rather than uniformly bullish, so traders should anchor plans on upcoming FOMC decisions, real yields, and USD liquidity rather than a simple September effect; Sources: Federal Reserve H.4.1 statistical release on balance sheet trends; U.S. Department of the Treasury real yield data.

According to @lookonchain, historical data from the past 12 years indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) prices have fallen in August and September during eight of those years, representing a 67% probability of decline in these months. This trend, sourced from coinglass.com, highlights a seasonally bearish period for BTC traders, suggesting increased caution and risk management for positions held during late summer.