According to @BullTheoryio, on October 10 MSCI (originally a Morgan Stanley division) proposed removing Digital Asset Treasury Companies like MicroStrategy and Metaplanet from its global indexes, a move that could force passive selling and reduce institutional Bitcoin exposure, source: @BullTheoryio. According to @BullTheoryio, minutes after the proposal Bitcoin dropped nearly $18,000 and over $900 billion was erased from total crypto market cap, source: @BullTheoryio. According to @BullTheoryio, the consultation ran until December 31, creating a three‑month overhang where passive investors avoided exposure, index-linked funds faced forced-selling risk, prices stayed weak, sentiment collapsed, and BTC fell about 31% in what they describe as the worst quarter since 2018, source: @BullTheoryio. According to @BullTheoryio, from January 1 Bitcoin rallied roughly 8% in the first five days of 2026 from $87,500 to $94,800 without new bullish news, suggesting selling pressure eased and potential insider positioning, source: @BullTheoryio. According to @BullTheoryio, on January 5–6 Morgan Stanley filed for spot BTC, ETH, and SOL ETFs and MSCI said it would not remove the crypto-heavy companies, effectively withdrawing the rule that had pressured markets, source: @BullTheoryio. According to @BullTheoryio, this sequence fits a pattern—create pressure, accumulate at lows, launch product, remove pressure—positioning beneficiaries for the rebound, while noting there is no official confirmation of coordination, source: @BullTheoryio. According to @BullTheoryio, with the overhang gone and institutional products filed, liquidity is returning and the rebound setup favors BTC and crypto-exposed equities such as MSTR and Metaplanet in the near term, source: @BullTheoryio.

According to @paoloardoino, Tether and Rumble launched the self-custodial Rumble Wallet to bring crypto payments to millions of creators and users, with reach in key markets including the United States; source: @paoloardoino on X, Jan 7, 2026; Tether newsroom tether.io/news/tether-and-rumble-launch-rumble-wallet-bringing-self-custodial-crypto-payments-to-millions-of-creators-and-users/. The launch makes Bitcoin (BTC), Tether USDT, and Tether Gold (XAUT) available on Rumble now, with Tether USAT coming soon, expanding access for a social platform with tens of millions of users; source: @paoloardoino on X, Jan 7, 2026.

According to @BullTheoryio, MSCI confirmed it will keep Bitcoin treasury companies such as MicroStrategy (MSTR) in its indexes, removing forced-selling risk that fueled prior FUD and easing fears linked to the October 10 drawdown narrative (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Jan 7, 2026). According to @BullTheoryio, MSCI also changed its index methodology so that when these companies issue new shares, the index will not increase share count, eliminating the automatic passive purchases that index trackers previously had to make on new issuance (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Jan 7, 2026). According to @BullTheoryio, the author’s example shows that a 20M-share issuance at $300 once implied about $600M of forced index-tracker demand, but now it implies zero incremental passive buying, which reduces capital-raising capacity for additional BTC purchases and explains why BTC and MSTR did not spike on the headline (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Jan 7, 2026).

According to @hamster_kombat, the Jan 6 update flags three items for traders: 17 years since Bitcoin’s genesis block was mined, marking a key BTC milestone (source: @hamster_kombat on X, Jan 6, 2026); Musk’s xAI purchased a third building to expand AI compute power (source: @hamster_kombat on X, Jan 6, 2026); and two crypto exchanges donated over $21 million to MAGA Inc. (source: @hamster_kombat on X, Jan 6, 2026). The post also instructs viewers to watch each video closely for clues usable later (source: @hamster_kombat on X, Jan 6, 2026).

According to @FarsideUK, BlackRock’s US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily net inflow of 372.5 million US dollars on Jan 6, 2026, as shown on the Farside Bitcoin ETF flow tracker; source: @FarsideUK on X Jan 6, 2026 and farside.co.uk/btc. This figure reflects the issuer’s single-day net flow in USD as reported by Farside’s US Bitcoin spot ETF dataset, allowing traders to benchmark issuer-level demand using the live table; source: farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @52kskew, since the 2026 Yearly Open, BTC has seen capital inflows and a return of positioning, but broad optimism has not yet reappeared, while price remains above the 2025 Yearly Open that they want sustained for higher-time-frame continuation, source: @52kskew on X, Jan 5, 2026. They note that if all three conditions persist—capital inflow, positioning, and holding above the 2025 Yearly Open—market behavior could resemble 2023’s renewed optimism, with 2026 implying an acceleration of the current higher-time-frame trend, source: @52kskew on X, Jan 5, 2026. The macro backdrop is highlighted as critical for this setup to play out, source: @52kskew on X, Jan 5, 2026. Yearly Open levels are described as simple yet reliable trading metrics, with capital inflow or outflow around these opens largely determining Q1 performance and beyond, source: @52kskew on X, Jan 5, 2026. Price frequently revisits Yearly Open levels as tradable pivots in both bull and bear markets, defined by broader market risk appetite, source: @52kskew on X, Jan 5, 2026. For trading, monitoring BTC’s hold above the 2025 Yearly Open, sustained net inflows and positioning, and macro risk indicators can guide Q1 directional bias and pivot trades around Yearly Open levels, source: @52kskew on X, Jan 5, 2026.

According to Erik Voorhees, Walmart does not accept Apple Pay and he highlighted a claim that CNBC reported Walmart will accept Bitcoin BTC, Ethereum ETH, and other crypto for in-store payments to a large customer base. Source: Erik Voorhees on X, Jan 5, 2026. For trading, treat the payments claim as unconfirmed and wait for primary verification from Walmart corporate communications or a CNBC report before positioning on it. Source: Erik Voorhees on X, Jan 5, 2026.

According to @WatcherGuru, CNBC reports the U.S. government could seize Venezuela’s Bitcoin and broader crypto reserves, indicating potential enforcement actions under existing sanctions authorities, source: CNBC. The U.S. Treasury’s Executive Order 13884 blocks property and interests in property of the Government of Venezuela within U.S. jurisdiction, enabling seizure or freezing by U.S. authorities, source: U.S. Treasury. In prior crypto cases, the Department of Justice and U.S. Marshals have custodied and disposed of seized assets via auctions or structured sales rather than direct exchange market dumps, source: U.S. Marshals Service and U.S. Department of Justice. For precedent, the DOJ disclosed plans in 2023 to liquidate about 41,500 BTC from the Silk Road case in tranches after selling 9,861 BTC in March 2023, source: Reuters on DOJ court filings. Venezuela’s state oil company has used USDT in crude transactions to navigate sanctions constraints, highlighting potential stablecoin compliance exposure, source: Reuters. Tether has stated it freezes wallets linked to OFAC-sanctioned entities, implying any USDT tied to sanctioned Venezuelan government designations could be immobilized if targeted, source: Tether compliance statements and OFAC coordination updates. Trading takeaways: monitor U.S. Treasury or DOJ announcements and any government wallet movements that could precede custodial transfers and eventual auctions (supply timing risk), and watch for USDT address-freeze actions that may affect on-chain liquidity, sources: U.S. Treasury, DOJ, U.S. Marshals Service, Tether.

According to @CrypNuevo, he is trading Bitcoin BTC this week using clearly defined short term price action triggers, detailed in a new video, source: @CrypNuevo on X, Jan 5, 2026. According to @CrypNuevo, he will read the US market session reaction to the Venezuela conflict to gauge near term risk sentiment and potential BTC volatility, source: @CrypNuevo on X, Jan 5, 2026. According to @CrypNuevo, he is tracking SPX500 alongside Bitcoin to assess correlation during the US session for tactical entries and exits, source: @CrypNuevo on X, Jan 5, 2026.

According to @glassnode, Bitcoin (BTC) enters 2026 attempting to stabilize after its Q4 drawdown. According to @glassnode, BTC price is compressing into a broad consolidation range between the low 80k and mid 90k USD.

According to @BullTheoryio, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI printed 47.9, a 14-month low and below the 48.4 consensus. According to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), a PMI below 50 signals contraction in manufacturing activity. According to @BullTheoryio, the ongoing downtrend suggests risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto may struggle to gain sustained bullish momentum until PMI rises back above 50.

According to Michaël van de Poppe, MN Fund returned +9.82% in December 2025 and +10.13% since inception in July 2025, highlighting resilient performance during a difficult quarter (source: Michaël van de Poppe on X, Jan 5, 2026; MN Fund performance update cited in the thread). Over the same period, Bitcoin corrected by roughly 18%, resulting in a +34.49% return versus BTC for the fund in 2025, indicating strong benchmark outperformance (source: Michaël van de Poppe on X, Jan 5, 2026; MN Fund performance update). Q4 2025 acted as a stress test with thinning liquidity and elevated volatility, yet the fund continued to generate returns while many assets revisited October lows (source: Michaël van de Poppe on X, Jan 5, 2026; MN Fund performance update). A flash crash on October 10 marked the fund’s largest positive trading day, underscoring the robustness of its disciplined volatility strategy (source: Michaël van de Poppe on X, Jan 5, 2026; MN Fund performance update). Looking to 2026, the fund stated that macro headwinds turning into tailwinds and rising market volatility and volume could support continued outperformance versus BTC (source: Michaël van de Poppe on X, Jan 5, 2026; MN Fund performance update).

According to @KobeissiLetter, U.S. stock indices opened sharply higher in early trade, with the S&P 500 back above 6,900 in an initial reaction to weekend events; source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Jan 5, 2026. For crypto markets, equity risk-on episodes have historically aligned with higher short-term beta in BTC and ETH when cross-asset correlations rise; source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stock Markets (Oct 2022). Equity surges are typically associated with lower implied volatility (VIX), a dynamic that can ease cross-asset risk premia and support liquidity conditions; source: Cboe Global Markets, VIX methodology and historical relationship notes.

According to @EmberCN, Bitcoin treasury company @Strategy (MSTR) purchased 1,287 BTC last week at about $90,316, totaling roughly $116 million. According to @EmberCN, @Strategy (MSTR) now holds 673,783 BTC valued at $62.527 billion with an average cost basis of $75,026 and an unrealized profit of $11.975 billion. According to @EmberCN, Ethereum treasury company @BitMNR (BMNR) bought 32,977 ETH last week at about $2,963, totaling about $97.71 million. According to @EmberCN, @BitMNR (BMNR) now holds 4,143,502 ETH valued at $13.039 billion with an average cost basis of $3,867 and an unrealized loss of $2.983 billion.

According to Michael Saylor, Strategy acquired 1,287 BTC, lifting its Bitcoin reserve to 673,783 BTC. Source: Michael Saylor on X, Jan 5, 2026; Strategy press release on strategy.com, Jan 5, 2026. The company also increased its USD reserve by 62 million dollars to 2.25 billion dollars. Source: Michael Saylor on X, Jan 5, 2026; Strategy press release on strategy.com, Jan 5, 2026. The update referenced ticker MSTR, relevant for traders tracking equity exposure to BTC via corporate treasury holdings. Source: Michael Saylor on X, Jan 5, 2026.

According to the source, a public social media post dated Jan 5, 2026 reported a U.S. strike in Venezuela, a slide in oil prices, and heightened market attention on Bitcoin BTC as a potential risk hedge, source: public social media post dated Jan 5, 2026. For trading context, BTC’s 30 to 90 day correlation with WTI crude has typically been near zero, indicating limited direct linkage between oil shocks and BTC price, source: Coin Metrics State of the Network 2023 cross-asset correlations. Geopolitical stress events have at times coincided with inflows to BTC and gold as alternative hedges, though such safe haven behavior is episodic rather than persistent, source: Kaiko Research 2022 and 2023 cross-asset correlation studies. Crypto traders can seek confirmation of any risk-off bid by tracking BTC dominance, stablecoin net exchange inflows, and perpetual funding rates across major venues, source: Kaiko market microstructure and funding rate datasets 2022 to 2023. Energy market volatility can filter into crypto-exposed equities and mining margins, which are sensitive to power and energy input costs disclosed by listed miners, source: Riot Platforms 2023 annual filing and industry cost disclosures.

According to @CryptoMichNL, gold’s strong and overextended rally is likely to enter a corrective phase, opening an 18–24 month window for BTC and broader crypto to outperform, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 4, 2026. According to @CryptoMichNL, he cites prior cycles where gold peaked and consolidated in 2016 before Bitcoin’s 2017 surge, and a similar pattern reappeared into 2020, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 4, 2026. According to @CryptoMichNL, this macro momentum shift suggests traders may position for a rotation from gold into BTC and crypto during gold’s correction window, focusing on medium-term allocations and relative-strength setups favoring BTC over gold, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 4, 2026.

According to @AltcoinDaily, CNBC reports that Walmart will accept Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and other crypto for in-store payments, shared via a video post on X on Jan 4, 2026 (source: @AltcoinDaily on X). Walmart’s scale could make the move material for on-chain and off-chain payment flows, as the company reported roughly 10,900 stores and $648 billion in FY2024 revenue (source: Walmart FY2024 Annual Report). Traders should first seek direct confirmation from CNBC’s report and Walmart Investor Relations, then monitor BTC and ETH spot volumes, spreads, and funding on major exchanges if confirmed (source: @AltcoinDaily on X citing CNBC; Walmart Investor Relations; Binance and Coinbase public market data). Historically, corporate retail adoption headlines have coincided with short-term crypto volatility and liquidity spikes, exemplified by market reactions around PayPal’s 2020 crypto rollout announcement (source: PayPal Newsroom, Oct 21, 2020).

According to @AltcoinDaily, CNBC reported that Walmart will begin accepting Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and other crypto payments at physical stores, shared via a video clip on X. Source: @AltcoinDaily on X. The post does not include an official statement or newsroom link from Walmart or CNBC, so the report is unconfirmed at the time of the post. Source: @AltcoinDaily on X. Trading takeaway: treat this as headline risk and wait for primary confirmation from Walmart investor relations or CNBC before adjusting positions in BTC, ETH, retail/payment tokens, or WMT. Source: @AltcoinDaily on X.

According to @WatcherGuru, Michael Saylor hinted at buying more Bitcoin via the phrase "Orange or Green?" in an X post on Jan 4, 2026 (source: @WatcherGuru on X, Jan 4, 2026). The post provides no details on transaction size, timing, wallet evidence, or an official disclosure, so there is no verifiable buy to incorporate into pricing at this time (source: @WatcherGuru on X, Jan 4, 2026). Traders monitoring BTC should treat this as an unconfirmed signal until an official filing, company announcement, or on-chain proof is presented, as none were cited in the post (source: @WatcherGuru on X, Jan 4, 2026).