According to @BullTheoryio, the U.S. Treasury and IRS have announced that crypto exchange-traded products can stake digital assets and distribute staking rewards directly to retail investors. Source: @BullTheoryio post on X dated Nov 10, 2025. The author also states this change would boost demand for Ethereum (ETH), implying supportive flows for ETH-linked ETPs if implemented. Source: @BullTheoryio post on X dated Nov 10, 2025. Traders should seek official confirmation on the U.S. Department of the Treasury and Internal Revenue Service newsroom pages before repositioning, as policy changes are typically published there. Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury Newsroom; Internal Revenue Service Newsroom. If confirmed, trading checks include monitoring ETH spot futures basis and open interest, ETP creation redemption activity, and any amended prospectuses detailing staking mechanics. Source: CME Group ETH futures data; ETP issuer updates; SEC EDGAR filings.

According to Bull Theory, US House Speaker Mike Johnson said he has enough votes to pass a bill to reopen the government, and Bull Theory reports Polymarket is pricing the shutdown to end this Thursday, which the author characterizes as bullish for markets; source: Bull Theory on X, Nov 10, 2025.

According to @BullTheoryio, the US Senate voted 60-40 to end the government shutdown, implying federal operations could resume within days. According to @BullTheoryio, the Treasury General Account balance near 953 billion dollars could begin flowing into markets after reopening, aligning with the Federal Reserve’s plan to end quantitative tightening in December. According to @BullTheoryio, prior instances when TGA outflows coincided with Fed easing have been associated with rallies in risk assets. According to @BullTheoryio, the SEC’s return to normal operations may allow pending altcoin ETF applications to progress and speed crypto-related rulemaking. According to @BullTheoryio, traders may monitor fiscal outflows, the QT wind-down, and SEC timelines as potential near-term catalysts for crypto market liquidity, altcoin performance, and trading volumes.

According to @BullTheoryio, President Trump plans $2,000 stimulus checks funded by tariffs, which if implemented would inject nearly $600 billion directly into the U.S. economy (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, the author compares this to the roughly $800 billion 2020 stimulus that coincided with a historic risk-on rally where BTC rose from $3,800 to $69,000 and ETH from $90 to $4,800, while many altcoins surged 50x–100x as liquidity flooded markets (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, the current setup is stronger due to mainstream crypto adoption, live ETFs, clearer access for institutions, and ubiquitous retail on-ramps, potentially accelerating capital flow into BTC, ETH, and altcoins if checks are distributed (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, unlike 2020 when checks were used largely for essentials, a growing economy could see more of the stimulus redirected into investments, amplifying speculative flows (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, the trading implication is a faster, larger speculation-driven rally in 2025 if the $600 billion is enacted, with ETFs providing immediate execution venues for institutional and retail demand (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to @BullTheoryio, overnight Fed repo usage jumped to $29.4B, the highest daily level in nearly five years, indicating rising dollar funding stress and tighter liquidity conditions (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, this surge arrived just days after a 25 bps rate cut and Chair Powell’s guidance that further cuts are not guaranteed, underscoring a hawkish tilt despite mounting liquidity needs (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan signaled that if the rise in repo rates persists the Fed may need to buy assets again, and she supported ending QT, pointing to an earlier-than-expected policy pivot if funding pressures endure (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, the setup echoes late 2019 when repo stress preceded liquidity injections and multi‑month risk‑asset rallies, suggesting traders should watch SRF usage, SOFR prints, and QT pace for confirmation (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, renewed liquidity historically supports risk assets and Bitcoin BTC tends to follow when liquidity returns, making the current dislocation a potential medium‑term upside risk for crypto if policy eases (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to @BullTheoryio, BTC’s drop is a reset within an uptrend, with price flushing to 106K and tagging the same mean trendline that supported 2025 rallies (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Oct 31, 2025). The post states the BTC mean reversion and regression slope remain upward and both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages are intact, keeping the broader structure non-bearish (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Oct 31, 2025). It reports exchange inflows did not spike after the 10/10 move or the 106K touch, while exchange reserves kept falling, implying holding over selling and leverage clearing rather than conviction loss (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Oct 31, 2025). The author highlights a recurring BTC fractal where momentum cools and flattens near the mean before the next expansion phase (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Oct 31, 2025). Macro factors cited as supportive include a 25 bps Fed rate cut, QT ending Dec 1, and lower US–China tariffs, which the post says have historically preceded major BTC rallies (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Oct 31, 2025). The trading takeaway presented is a pullback-then-setup into November, historically Bitcoin’s second-strongest month, rather than a bear-phase start (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Oct 31, 2025).

According to @BullTheoryio, the Federal Reserve cut the policy rate by 25 bps and signaled quantitative tightening will end on December 1, implying cheaper funding and an end to balance sheet runoff, which historically weighed on risk assets and crypto liquidity (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, Chair Powell framed the move as risk management and said the overall outlook has not materially changed since September, with firm employment and easing but above-target inflation (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, Powell stated no decision has been made about a December cut and noted strongly differing views within the committee, reducing odds of a near-term easing cycle acceleration (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, Powell added that higher tariffs are lifting some goods prices but likely temporarily, and policy remains modestly restrictive, indicating the Fed wants flexibility rather than a pre-committed cutting path (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, the Fed ending QT means the balance sheet will stop shrinking, bank reserves should stabilize, and credit conditions may loosen, a backdrop that typically improves liquidity for risk assets including BTC and altcoins (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, consumer spending is slowing—especially among lower-income households—and the Fed is monitoring AI-driven layoffs and data center investment, factors that can influence growth, inflation, and liquidity-sensitive assets (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, the key trading takeaway is that the tightening cycle appears over, liquidity is turning, and capital rotation could start favoring Bitcoin and altcoins as conditions stabilize, though the path may depend on December FOMC outcomes and incoming data (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to @BullTheoryio, the US Federal Reserve will stop quantitative tightening from December 1 and the source frames this as bullish for altcoins, with the post published on Oct 29, 2025. Source: @BullTheoryio on X. Traders should seek confirmation via official FOMC statements and the New York Fed’s System Open Market Account operating schedule, which detail balance sheet policy decisions and implementation. Source: FederalReserve.gov; Federal Reserve Board; Federal Reserve Bank of New York Markets. For context, the FOMC voted on May 1, 2024 to slow the pace of balance-sheet runoff starting June 2024 by reducing Treasury redemption caps, altering the expected path of reserve balances versus prior QT. Source: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement, May 1, 2024; Federal Reserve H.4.1 Statistical Release. If confirmed, a QT stop would mechanically halt SOMA portfolio runoff and is consistent with stabilizing reserve balances relative to continuing QT; crypto traders can monitor H.4.1 reserve balances, the ICE U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), 2Y U.S. Treasury yields, and stablecoin net issuance for liquidity cues. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York SOMA; Federal Reserve H.4.1; ICE Data Indices DXY; U.S. Department of the Treasury; Coin Metrics network data. Positioning per the source’s bullish-alt view: watch ETH/BTC relative strength, total altcoin market cap ex-BTC, and perpetual funding rates around any official announcement window. Source: @BullTheoryio on X; TradingView market aggregates; Binance Futures data.

According to @BullTheoryio, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut the policy rate by 25 basis points and the move is framed as long-term bullish for markets including crypto, source: @BullTheoryio on X on Oct 29, 2025. For trading, confirm the decision via the Federal Reserve’s official statement and press conference before positioning, then monitor BTC and ETH for potential risk-on follow-through tied to easier policy, source: @BullTheoryio on X and Federal Reserve Board official communications.

According to @BullTheoryio, markets have priced a 99.9% chance of a 25 bps Fed rate cut at 2 pm ET, so trading focus shifts to the statement language, the QT decision, and Powell’s tone, source: @BullTheoryio. A dovish statement that highlights rising growth risks would imply additional cuts ahead and likely push 2-year Treasury yields lower while weakening the dollar, a setup that supports risk assets including BTC, source: @BullTheoryio. If the Fed labels the move a mid-cycle adjustment, upside could be limited and markets may consolidate or pull back, source: @BullTheoryio. Markets also expect the Fed to announce the end of QT, signaling a halt to balance-sheet reduction and an early liquidity inflection that has historically fueled risk-on behavior across tech, equities, and especially Bitcoin, source: @BullTheoryio. If Powell acknowledges slower growth or expresses confidence that inflation is under control, traders may see lower bond yields, a softer dollar, and a rally in equities and crypto; a cautious tone without commitment to future cuts would likely keep markets in consolidation, source: @BullTheoryio.

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin (BTC) is tracing gold’s 2024 breakout by compressing in a multi-year ascending wedge and approaching a similar breakout point. According to @BullTheoryio, gold has cooled and is down about 9 percent from its peak, a zone that historically precedes profit rotation from the slow hedge gold into the high-beta hedge BTC. According to @BullTheoryio, the Federal Reserve is preparing another 25 bps rate cut while quantitative tightening is ending, turning liquidity back on and matching the macro mix that fueled prior major BTC rallies. According to @BullTheoryio, unlike gold’s defensive move driven by debasement fears and central bank buying, the next BTC leg is positioned as an offensive move driven by liquidity, adoption, and institutional demand. According to @BullTheoryio, this rotation pattern appeared in 2020 and is setting up again now, implying a breakout and momentum trade bias favoring BTC as liquidity inflects.

According to @BullTheoryio, U.S. bank credit stress is building as bad loans rise and system liquidity drains, creating a favorable setup for Bitcoin’s (BTC) next major move; source: @BullTheoryio. For trading, the author frames this as a liquidity-driven BTC opportunity: monitor banking-stress headlines and liquidity signals as triggers, and prepare for elevated BTC volatility if deterioration persists; source: @BullTheoryio.

According to @BullTheoryio on Oct 16, 2025, gold has reached a $30 trillion market capitalization, marking the first asset to achieve this scale (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, if Bitcoin (BTC) were to capture 20% of gold’s value, that implies a roughly $6 trillion BTC market cap and an approximate $300,000 price per coin as a scenario-based reference level for traders (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to @BullTheoryio, the total crypto market cap excluding BTC and ETH has historically expanded through sharp 30–60% resets, with 2020 seeing a -60% correction and 2021 registering -36%, -57%, and -31% mid-cycle pullbacks (source: @BullTheoryio, X, Oct 13, 2025). The author states that the latest move included the largest single-day altcoin liquidation on record, with $20B liquidated, roughly $1T in market cap erased, and 70–90% drawdowns across many alts (source: @BullTheoryio, X, Oct 13, 2025). The thread argues these violent purges typically precede the strongest rallies once leverage is flushed and liquidity resets, indicating a bull-market rhythm rather than structural weakness (source: @BullTheoryio, X, Oct 13, 2025). The author concludes this was not the end of altseason but a clean-up before the next leg in the pure altcoin cycle, emphasizing the ex-BTC/ETH market structure for traders monitoring cycle timing (source: @BullTheoryio, X, Oct 13, 2025).

According to @BullTheoryio, the crypto market experienced the biggest liquidation on record, with over 19.5 billion dollars in positions wiped out in 24 hours as even top-10 coins fell 30–40 percent and many altcoins dropped 70–90 percent within minutes. Source: Bull Theory (@BullTheoryio) on X, Oct 11, 2025. The author states they break down how the crash started and spiraled, highlighting a broad deleveraging event that is directly relevant for traders managing risk across BTC, ETH, and altcoin derivatives. Source: Bull Theory (@BullTheoryio) on X, Oct 11, 2025.

According to @BullTheoryio, two days before a Truth Social post from President Trump, an early Bitcoin wallet allegedly opened multi‑billion‑dollar short positions on BTC and ETH based on on‑chain activity (source: @BullTheoryio, X, Oct 11, 2025). According to @BullTheoryio, Trump first warned of major China tariffs and then officially announced 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports effective November 1 from the White House podium, which the author describes as an unpriced shock (source: @BullTheoryio, X, Oct 11, 2025). According to @BullTheoryio, markets sold off with the S&P 500 down over 2% on the day, BTC dropping to $102K, altcoins falling 70–90% within minutes, and $20–22B in crypto liquidations with nearly $1T in market cap erased in under three hours (source: @BullTheoryio, X, Oct 11, 2025). According to @BullTheoryio, 30 minutes before the official announcement the same whale doubled short exposure and later closed for an estimated $200M profit, timing that the author highlights as unusually precise (source: @BullTheoryio, X, Oct 11, 2025). According to @BullTheoryio, the move looked structural with cascading liquidations across exchanges, including a 35–40% USDE depeg, suggesting a broad leverage flush rather than retail selling (source: @BullTheoryio, X, Oct 11, 2025). According to @BullTheoryio, the leverage reset leaves shorts crowded and strong hands accumulating, a setup the author frames as historically consistent with bull‑market continuation after a purge (source: @BullTheoryio, X, Oct 11, 2025).

According to @BullTheoryio, BTC is dropping as newly announced plans for heavy tariffs and export controls on Chinese industrial and strategic materials raise risks of supply-chain disruption, faster inflation, and slower global trade, tightening liquidity for high-beta assets (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, the selling is driven by risk-off rotation into cash and gold, a potential delay in rate cuts due to tariff-driven inflation risk, and a leverage unwind first hitting alts and leveraged BTC, which feeds downside momentum (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, traders should watch the 116,000-118,000 zone as near-term BTC support and monitor funding rates, open interest, BTC inflows, and stablecoin movements for stabilization signals (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, a rebound could materialize if markets anticipate Fed easing or if tariff rhetoric cools, while persistent policy uncertainty keeps a discount on risk assets (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, the roadmap is near-term volatility with support retests, medium-term accumulation as the narrative weakens, and a longer-term bullish setup into expected rate cuts and historically strong Q4 seasonality (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to @BullTheoryio, BNB (BNB) printed a new all-time high at $1,192 after launching at $0.50, equating to roughly a 238,300% cumulative return and ~167% average annual growth over 8 years (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, BNB Chain activity remains below its prior peak with TVL at $8.33B, stablecoin market cap at $13.46B, 24h DEX volume at $4.39B, 24h active addresses at 2.32M, and 24h transactions at 18.79M (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, the price-activity divergence is a key trading signal, and traders can look for confirmation through rising on-chain volume, active addresses, and stablecoin float if these metrics begin to catch up with price (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to @BullTheoryio, Bitcoin (BTC) just hit a new all-time high of 125,000 dollars in a post on X dated Oct 5, 2025. source: https://twitter.com/BullTheoryio/status/1974698388852777190 The alert is a one-line update without an exchange, chart, or ticker reference, so the print is not independently verified within the post. source: https://twitter.com/BullTheoryio/status/1974698388852777190 This remains a single-source headline; traders should treat it as unconfirmed until corroborated by major spot exchange feeds or benchmark reference rates to avoid acting on a potential false breakout. source: https://twitter.com/BullTheoryio/status/1974698388852777190

According to @BullTheoryio, the Russell 2000 has broken its 2021 high for the first time in nearly four years, signaling renewed institutional risk-on appetite in high-beta small-cap equities. Source: @BullTheoryio, Oct 4, 2025. According to @BullTheoryio, similar small-cap breakouts preceded the 2020–2021 altseason, and with BTC and ETH already near their all-time highs, this setup historically aligns with accelerated altcoin performance. Source: @BullTheoryio, Oct 4, 2025. According to @BullTheoryio, five supporting catalysts add conviction to the risk-on thesis: expectations for two additional Fed rate cuts in 2025, a reported surge of over 20 crypto ETP submissions in a single day, Treasury buybacks exceeding 6 billion dollars in a week, Uptober seasonality strength, and Q4’s historically strong returns across crypto and stocks. Source: @BullTheoryio, Oct 4, 2025. According to @BullTheoryio, the Russell breakout is the first real institutional signal this cycle, suggesting crypto’s rally could be larger than anticipated if risk capital rotation continues. Source: @BullTheoryio, Oct 4, 2025.