According to the source, Jack Mallers stated that BTC will be the first to move if authorities are forced to print, signaling potential Bitcoin leadership on renewed liquidity. source: X post on Oct 18, 2025 For trading alignment, monitor USD liquidity gauges including the Federal Reserve balance sheet, the Treasury General Account, and the Overnight Reverse Repo balances to detect expansionary shifts. source: Federal Reserve H.4.1 statistical release; U.S. Treasury Daily Treasury Statement; Federal Reserve ON RRP data Seek market confirmation via BTC dominance, CME BTC futures open interest and basis, and perpetual funding rates to validate leadership and risk-on impulse. source: TradingView BTC.D; CME Group Bitcoin futures statistics; Glassnode derivatives dashboard If liquidity expands alongside rising BTC.D, positive basis, and increasing OI, momentum longs in BTC or BTC-over-alts relative-value pairs are commonly deployed; if signals diverge, fade breakouts and reduce risk. source: CME Group term structure data; TradingView price and dominance; Glassnode derivatives metrics Define risk using the 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages and prior swing highs to set invalidation and position sizing. source: TradingView technical indicators

According to @EricCryptoman, the BTC CME gap has just been filled, and Friday’s sell-off occurred outside CME trading hours so it did not create an official CME gap, source: @EricCryptoman. According to @EricCryptoman, traders should watch the upcoming New York session for potential strength in BTC within the next few hours, source: @EricCryptoman. CME Bitcoin futures have scheduled daily and weekend closures, so off-hours moves can result in visible gaps on CME charts relative to 24/7 spot trading, source: CME Group market hours.

According to the source, Bitcoin (BTC) has broken above 122,000 dollars on Oct 3, 2025. If confirmed across major spot venues, this level sits roughly 65% above the March 2024 all-time high near 73,800 dollars based on Coinbase BTC-USD historical data, which underscores the magnitude of the move for risk management. Using Coinbase price data for the 2022 cycle low near 15,476 dollars and the 2024 high near 73,800 dollars, Fibonacci extensions point to 110,000 dollars at 1.618 and 132,000 dollars at 2.0, placing the reported print in the middle of this target band. Traders should verify sustained breakout by checking rising spot volume and tightening spreads on Coinbase and Binance and increased BTC futures volume and open interest on CME Group to confirm institutional participation. For risk control, monitor perpetual funding rates on Binance and Bybit and the CME spot‑futures basis, since elevated positive funding and a widening basis often indicate crowded longs according to exchange metrics from Binance, Bybit, and CME Group. If the move fails, psychological support near 120,000 dollars and structural support around the former ATH region near 74,000 dollars derive from Coinbase historical price structure.

According to the source, an X post dated Oct 3, 2025 states "JUST IN: $122,000 Bitcoin" (source: the referenced X post, Oct 3, 2025). The post provides no exchange quote, chart, or on-chain data to validate the $122,000 BTC level (source: the referenced X post, Oct 3, 2025). Traders should confirm BTC price on major spot tickers and CME futures, then assess funding rates, spot-futures basis, order-book depth, and liquidation levels before taking positions (sources: public market data from Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, and CME Group).

According to the source, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) recorded creations totaling 3,930 BTC valued at approximately $466.5 million on Oct. 2, 2025, source: X post dated Oct. 3, 2025. Under the ETF creation process, authorized participants obtain or deliver spot BTC to create new IBIT shares, which can concentrate execution and affect intraday liquidity on major venues, source: iShares Bitcoin Trust prospectus filed with the U.S. SEC. The reported 3,930 BTC equals roughly 8.7 days of post-April 2024 issuance at about 450 BTC per day, indicating material buy-side absorption versus new supply, source: Bitcoin.org Developer Guide on block subsidy (3.125 BTC per block) and the standard 144 blocks per day estimate. Traders can monitor U.S. session liquidity, CME BTC futures basis, and spot-futures spreads for confirmation of AP hedging and cash creations tied to ETF inflows, source: CME Group Bitcoin futures product materials and market structure notes.

According to the source, the post asks what price BTC could reach by the end of October but gives no forecast or data. source: X Historically, October has delivered gains more often than losses for BTC, which traders refer to as Uptober, making seasonality a commonly watched tailwind. source: coinglass.com Key market drivers that have historically influenced BTC into month-end include US inflation prints and Fed communications that shift rates expectations and risk appetite. source: bls.gov; federalreserve.gov Spot Bitcoin ETF creations and redemptions have been a major intraday demand signal in 2024, so tracking daily net flows remains critical for price discovery. source: bloomberg.com; farside.co.uk Options and futures positioning around Deribit and CME month-end and quarter-start can concentrate gamma and liquidity, amplifying moves or pinning price near high open-interest strikes. source: deribit.com/insights; cmegroup.com Structurally, the April 2024 Bitcoin halving cut issuance by 50 percent, which reduces new supply and can moderate miner sell pressure over time. source: bitcoin.org; glassnode.com

According to the source, a sharp rally in gold prices has been reported; traders should verify the move against CME Gold futures settlements and the LBMA Gold Price benchmark before acting (sources: CME Group; London Bullion Market Association). For BTC, sustained declines in US 10-year TIPS real yields have coincided with upside phases such as 2020 and late 2023; monitor the real yield series as a primary macro driver (sources: Federal Reserve Economic Data; Coin Metrics research). A weaker US Dollar Index (DXY) often aligns with stronger crypto risk appetite; watch for DXY breakdowns as a tailwind for BTC (source: Federal Reserve Economic Data). Spot BTC ETF net inflows remain a high-impact catalyst for price discovery; track daily creations and redemptions from issuers to gauge demand (sources: SEC filings; BlackRock iShares; Fidelity Investments). Expansion in CME Bitcoin futures basis and open interest tends to confirm trend strength; rising basis with controlled funding typically reduces squeeze risk (source: CME Group). On-chain indicators such as realized profit/loss ratios and exchange balances help identify supply overhang or absorption during gold-led macro moves (source: Glassnode).

According to the source, a post on X claims BTC has closed above 100,000 USD for 141 consecutive days, source: the source. At the time of writing, this streak is not independently confirmed by institutional reference rates such as CF Benchmarks BRR or the CME CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index, nor by consolidated exchange datasets from Kaiko or Bloomberg, source: CF Benchmarks, CME Group, Kaiko, Bloomberg. Traders should confirm any daily-close streak by cross-checking CF Benchmarks BRR at 4pm London, CME active-month Bitcoin futures settlement, and a 00:00 UTC spot close from Nasdaq Data Link or TradingView to avoid index-time drift, source: CF Benchmarks, CME Group, Nasdaq Data Link, TradingView. If verified, sustained closes above 100,000 would indicate psychological round-number support often accompanied by elevated options open interest and put walls near the strike on Deribit, warranting monitoring of OI, skew, and max pain levels, source: Deribit. Until verified, avoid trading decisions based solely on the claim and rely on primary price indices and exchange settlement prints for risk management, source: CF Benchmarks, CME Group.

According to the source, a claim is circulating that BTC’s market capitalization ranks above the GDP of most countries; traders should validate this by comparing live BTC market capitalization from CoinMarketCap or Bloomberg with nominal GDP rankings from the IMF World Economic Outlook and World Bank World Development Indicators, noting that GDP measures annual output while market cap reflects aggregate asset value (sources: CoinMarketCap, Bloomberg, IMF WEO, World Bank WDI). For trading impact, institutional participation and market depth can be assessed via CME Bitcoin futures open interest and US spot Bitcoin ETF assets reported by CME Group and issuers such as iShares and Fidelity, which inform liquidity, execution size, and spread conditions; risk calibration can be guided by BTC dominance and realized volatility from TradingView and Glassnode to align position sizing with macro-sensitive flows (sources: CME Group, iShares, Fidelity, TradingView, Glassnode).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, traders should rigorously study Bitcoin, starting with the fixed 21 million supply and the ~210,000-block halving schedule that defines BTC’s declining issuance and miner rewards, which are foundational to understanding supply dynamics (source: Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System; Bitcoin Core documentation). Institutional positioning is best quantified via CME Bitcoin futures and options by monitoring basis, open interest, and skew for signals about demand and convexity risk (source: CME Group). Perpetual swap funding rates and aggregated open interest help gauge directional leverage and potential squeeze risk, aiding entry timing and risk controls (source: Binance Futures Education; Deribit Knowledge Base). On-chain metrics such as realized capitalization and long-term holder supply are widely used to assess cost-basis distribution and holder behavior across market cycles for risk management and breakout confirmation (source: Glassnode Academy).

According to @rovercrc, a green September for Bitcoin signals an always mega bullish Q4 for BTC. Source: @rovercrc on X. Historical BTC-USD data show Q4 outcomes vary across cycles and are not uniformly mega bullish. Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD historical data. In 2020 Q4, BTC rose from roughly 10,800 dollars on October 1 to about 29,000 dollars on December 31, near 170 percent higher. Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD historical data. In 2022 Q4, BTC fell from roughly 19,400 dollars on October 1 to about 16,500 dollars on December 31, around 15 percent lower. Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD historical data. In 2021 Q4, BTC finished only modestly higher versus late Q3 levels at roughly 7 percent, indicating variability rather than a guaranteed surge. Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD historical data. Before trading on a green September narrative, validate the conditional edge by backtesting monthly BTC-USD data and measuring Q4 returns after green Septembers. Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD historical data. To assess positioning and risk appetite into Q4, track CME Bitcoin futures term structure and basis as well as BTC perpetual funding rates and open interest concentrations. Source: CME Group data and CoinGlass derivatives metrics.

According to @rovercrc, Bitcoin is decoupling from gold, flagging a potential regime shift that traders should verify with objective market data, source: @rovercrc on X. To confirm decoupling, monitor a declining 20–30 day BTC–Gold rolling correlation and a breakout in the BTC/XAU ratio to identify trend strength, source: CME Group education on correlation; TradingView BTC/XAU charts. Track Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) to see if inflows are BTC-specific rather than broad risk-on, which helps position sizing across BTC vs altcoins, source: TradingView BTC.D index; CoinMarketCap dominance methodology. Watch CME Bitcoin futures basis and open interest for signs of leverage expansion or hedging pressure as the correlation regime changes, informing timing and risk, source: CME Group Bitcoin futures market data.

According to @TATrader_Alan, the BTC CME 4-hour chart displays a Bullish Diamond Bottom pattern that traders are watching for a reversal setup. Source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Sep 7, 2025. A Diamond Bottom is defined as a bullish reversal formation that often breaks upward after a decline, guiding long-side bias once confirmed. Source: Investopedia; Thomas Bulkowski’s ThePatternSite. Confirmation typically involves a decisive close above the pattern’s upper boundary with expanding volume on the breakout in futures trading. Source: Edwards and Magee’s Technical Analysis of Stock Trends; Investopedia. Traders commonly estimate an initial objective by measuring the diamond’s height and projecting it from the breakout, while using the pattern low as invalidation for risk control. Source: Edwards and Magee’s Technical Analysis of Stock Trends; Thomas Bulkowski’s ThePatternSite. CME Bitcoin futures play a key role in institutional BTC exposure and price discovery, so a confirmed breakout on CME can influence spot-market liquidity during U.S. trading hours. Source: CME Group.

According to @rovercrc, BlackRock bought $400,000,000 of BTC this week; this is a claim posted on X without supporting documentation, source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 6, 2025. The post does not cite IBIT daily holdings, SEC disclosures, or a BlackRock press release, so the claim remains unverified for trading decisions, sources: @rovercrc on X; BlackRock iShares IBIT website; U.S. SEC Form 13F guidance; BlackRock Newsroom. Traders seeking confirmation should check IBIT shares outstanding and daily bitcoin holdings for net creations, review SEC EDGAR for filings, and monitor any official BlackRock statements before acting, sources: BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) daily holdings and prospectus; U.S. SEC EDGAR; BlackRock Newsroom. If verified via material IBIT net inflows or official disclosure, it would signal institutional spot demand; until then, risk management should prioritize evidence-based triggers over chase trades while monitoring BTC spot volumes and CME Bitcoin futures basis for confirmation, sources: iShares IBIT prospectus on primary market creations; CME Group Bitcoin futures education and market data; major exchange volume dashboards.

According to @rovercrc, a Bitcoin CME futures gap is identified at 110,680 dollars for BTC, highlighting a precise chart level traders are monitoring; source: @rovercrc, Sep 6, 2025. CME Bitcoin futures have limited weekend trading hours, which can create price gaps between the Friday close and the Sunday open; source: CME Group contract specifications. Gap levels are commonly referenced in technical trading for setting targets and invalidation levels, making 110,680 a practical alert level for BTC derivatives positioning; source: Investopedia gap trading overview.

According to @rovercrc, a Bitcoin CME futures gap remains unfilled on BTC as of August 28, 2025. Source: https://twitter.com/rovercrc/status/1960956011906236633 CME Bitcoin futures pause trading over the weekend, so weekend spot moves can create a price gap between the Friday close and the Sunday open. Source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/cryptocurrencies/bitcoin/bitcoin-futures.html Gaps are closely watched by traders and are frequently retraced or filled, though fills are not guaranteed. Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/gap.asp For trade planning, mark the current CME gap range, set price alerts near the gap boundaries, and use volume and open interest behavior to confirm moves toward or away from the gap. Sources: https://www.investopedia.com/trading/playing-gaps-in-the-market/ and https://www.cmegroup.com/education/courses/introduction-to-futures/what-are-open-interest-and-volume.html CME Bitcoin futures are cash-settled to the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate, linking futures pricing to a widely used spot benchmark that many institutions track. Source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/cryptocurrencies/bitcoin/bitcoin-futures.html

According to @rovercrc, BlackRock just bought 63.4 million dollars worth of Bitcoin BTC; source: @rovercrc on X, Aug 26, 2025. The claim has not been independently verified and should be cross-checked against BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust IBIT daily holdings and creation redemption data; sources: BlackRock iShares IBIT daily holdings and creation redemption disclosures. Confirmed ETF share creations and holdings changes are disclosed by BlackRock and processed via DTCC NSCC, which traders can use to validate net inflows; sources: BlackRock iShares ETF disclosures and DTCC ETF processing data. For trading, monitor BTC spot order book liquidity, CME Bitcoin futures basis, and funding rates for shifts if a confirmation is posted; sources: CME Group Bitcoin futures data and major exchange funding rate dashboards.

According to @ReetikaTrades, BTC has formed an upward CME gap that could be targeted for a fill when CME Bitcoin futures reopen, highlighting an upside liquidity zone at the next session open (source: @ReetikaTrades, Aug 24, 2025). CME Bitcoin futures pause trading over the weekend and reopen Sunday evening U.S. time, which can create price gaps versus continuously traded spot BTC and concentrates price action around the reopen (source: CME Group trading hours). The post directs traders’ attention to the gap zone into the reopen as the immediate focus for near-term price discovery and potential volatility (source: @ReetikaTrades).

According to @rovercrc, an unfilled Bitcoin CME futures gap is marked at $116,910, highlighted via his X post on Aug 24, 2025 — source: @rovercrc. CME Bitcoin futures operate on set trading hours that exclude most of the weekend, which can create price gaps between the Friday close and the Sunday open on BTC futures charts — source: CME Group.

According to @rovercrc, a new Bitcoin CME gap has formed on BTC futures, highlighted in an X post with a gap-marked chart on Aug 16, 2025; source: Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) on X, Aug 16, 2025. CME Bitcoin futures (symbol BTC) are closed from Friday 4:00 p.m. to Sunday 5:00 p.m. Central Time, so gaps can appear between the Friday settlement and the Sunday opening print while spot BTC trades continuously, making the reopen a key volatility window; source: CME Group Bitcoin Futures contract specifications and trading hours, CME Group daily settlement procedures. For execution into the next session, mark the prior CME settlement as a reference, quantify the gap versus current weekend spot, and monitor price reaction at the Sunday reopen around the gap zone to manage entries and risk; source: CME Group daily settlement price publications and trading hours.