According to @CryptoMichNL, the widely watched 4-year cycle no longer applies, and 2025 has already disproved it for Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025). For traders, this signals reduced reliability of halving-timed strategies and a shift toward real-time trend and momentum over calendar-based models when positioning in BTC and altcoins in 2025 (source: inference from @CryptoMichNL’s statement on X, Dec 12, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, altcoin market capitalization is consolidating at a higher-timeframe support zone, indicating buy pressure and sideways action that points to a potential bottoming pattern (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025). He states the first upside breakout in nearly three months is likely, defined as a daily break above the 20-day moving average after remaining below it since early October (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025). He highlights the 20-day MA reclaim as the key trading trigger to watch for renewed altcoin momentum (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, STBL is consolidating with a primary objective to break above the 20-Day moving average in the coming weeks. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025. The structure shows a higher low, but current price action suggests that higher low may not hold and a retest of recent lows is likely. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025. He remains bullish for active trading and expects that a confirmed break above the 20-Day MA would trigger a strong rally toward prior resistance and support zones. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL on X on Dec 12, 2025, BTC is trading in a choppy range as illiquid order books drive fast moves up and down, creating abrupt volatility that traders should account for in position sizing and execution (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL on X on Dec 12, 2025, a sequence of higher lows indicates a strengthening market structure and an emerging uptrend, with an anticipated upside breakout in the coming days or weeks that short-term traders may watch for confirmation (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL on X on Dec 12, 2025, the recent heavy correction appeared manipulative rather than organic, suggesting a potential reversion toward more normal market conditions that could support bullish continuation if the higher-low structure holds (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 12, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin reversed the initial post-FOMC move and posted a clean breakout above $91.8K, indicating renewed bullish momentum, source: @CryptoMichNL on X. According to @CryptoMichNL, the current shift by the Fed increases the probability of a $100K BTC test in 2025, reinforcing a bullish trading bias, source: @CryptoMichNL on X. According to @CryptoMichNL, the early post-FOMC action was a trap, with the breakout confirming strength, source: @CryptoMichNL on X.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin’s RSI dropped below 20 during the recent crash, which the author highlights as a key signal of extreme stress in momentum, source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Dec 11, 2025. The author reports that BTC’s MACD has reached its widest spread ever across multiple timeframes, indicating this drawdown was the most volatile for that indicator, source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Dec 11, 2025. He notes the market is split between 4-year cycle bears and those viewing the correction as a prime entry, underscoring a sharp sentiment divergence, source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Dec 11, 2025. The author adds that the BTCUSD/Gold ratio is at its lowest level in nearly four years and the copper-to-gold ratio (CU/AU) is at a 15-year low, which he interprets as a business cycle trough, source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Dec 11, 2025. Based on these signals, the author believes the Bitcoin cycle is far from over and expects a strong upside breakout ahead, framing the pullback as a remarkable moment to step into the market, source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bittensor (TAO) is set for a halving in the coming days, a catalyst he compares to Bitcoin’s halving impact and expects to support price upside; source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1999199506152456597. He adds that TAO’s Daily Moving Average looks ready to break higher, signaling a potential new uptrend that traders can track; source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1999199506152456597. He also outlines a momentum-driven price objective near 400 dollars post-halving and characterizes TAO as one of the strongest assets heading into 2026; source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1999199506152456597.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the initial post-FOMC dips in BTC this year are largely long-liquidation flushes and often trap traders, so the immediate move after the meeting should carry limited weight for positioning, source: @CryptoMichNL, Dec 11, 2025. He expects the real directional move to emerge in the next 1-2 weeks, which will shape the outlook heading toward 2026, source: @CryptoMichNL, Dec 11, 2025. He maintains that the broader trend remains intact; a clean break above 92K would open a retest of 100K, while a decisive break of recent lows would invalidate the thesis, source: @CryptoMichNL, Dec 11, 2025. He adds that the Federal Reserve’s policy shift will not translate into immediate market impact and that effects take time to filter through, source: @CryptoMichNL, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, broad bearish expectations for 2026 do not guarantee a bearish year, noting that 2025 turned out to be broadly bullish for crypto. source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025, https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1999151986902794380 For traders, this post functions as a contrarian sentiment cue rather than a trade setup because it contains no price levels, indicators, or risk parameters. source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025, https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1999151986902794380 Actionable takeaway: treat the message as opinion-driven sentiment and validate with independent data before positioning for 2026, as the post provides no quantitative evidence or timing guidance. source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025, https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1999151986902794380

According to @CryptoMichNL, his altcoin portfolio is down about 70% and keeps falling, and he invites traders to discuss the drawdown in a YouTube video; source: X post by Michaël van de Poppe on Dec 11, 2025 https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1999132314236829797 and video link https://youtu.be/7CvSeRTLkAA. He does not list specific coins, allocations, or timeframes in the post, limiting immediate trade signals; source: the same X post on Dec 11, 2025 https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1999132314236829797.

According to @CryptoMichNL, OKX is running a Christmas promotion with approximately 15 days remaining that offers free BTC to users who join via the provided link (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025). The post identifies OKX as the venue and Bitcoin (BTC) as the reward, without disclosing eligibility criteria, regional availability, KYC requirements, reward size, or distribution mechanics (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025). The message presents a time-limited exchange incentive centered on BTC participation through OKX, with no additional terms specified in the post (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, both the Nasdaq and $BTC dropped after the FOMC meeting, flushing late long positions. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He reports the Nasdaq has fully reversed that move back to 25,700, while $BTC remains $2,500–$3,000 below that reference level. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He highlights this as a divergence between the Nasdaq and Bitcoin price action. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He expects a quick move higher in Bitcoin after the U.S. market open, either today or tomorrow. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, ETH/BTC held higher timeframe support and then broke clearly above the 20-day moving average, signaling strength and a constructive trend structure (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, the pair is seeing a normal correction that still holds above this crucial indicator, keeping the bullish bias intact for the ETH/BTC trend (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, price may stall briefly before continuing the upward trend, and there is no reason to be bearish on ETH under current conditions (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC lost the 91.8K level after the FOMC meeting, which he says triggered a market-wide correction; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He adds that BTC continues to make higher lows on lower timeframes, signaling a short-term uptrend that could enable a retest and potential break of the 91.8K resistance; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He identifies 89.5K as the key support to hold, warning that a breakdown could open downside toward a potential double-bottom test near 80K; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He cautions that failure to reclaim and break 91.8K would imply similar downside risk as noted above; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025. He also notes ETH may be more attractive than BTC if upward momentum persists; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin remains on a bullish path and the FOMC event typically injects volatility that could test whether price holds above 91.8K, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025. He states that a sustained hold above 91.8K would likely accelerate a move toward 100K as prior highs get taken, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025. He adds that the setup looks constructive, with upside continuation favored if the 91.8K level is preserved, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025. Traders can focus on 91.8K as the key support and 100K as the upside objective cited by the analyst, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the Federal Reserve is restarting Treasury and bill purchases to stimulate the economy, signaling renewed liquidity support (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025). He states this should push interest rates lower and weaken the US Dollar Index (DXY), favoring a risk-on rotation (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025). He expects this macro backdrop to drive BTC and ETH to new all-time highs, indicating potential upside momentum for crypto markets (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, traders should not use leverage into the FOMC and should avoid trading the event itself to manage expected volatility risk; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025. The source says the first post-FOMC move is often a fakeout and that the real directional move tends to emerge in the following days, suggesting patience for entries and exits; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025. He notes ETH is outperforming BTC and expects this ETH/BTC rotation to continue, favoring an ETH tilt for relative strength strategies; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025. The source anticipates rising crypto volatility, reinforcing a cautious approach and tight risk management; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, he has released a deep-dive video covering the Base ecosystem, describing it as one of the most interesting ecosystems in the space and sharing the YouTube link for viewers to watch the full episode (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, the post itself contains no additional metrics or trade setups beyond the characterization of Base and the video link, directing traders to the video for the complete analysis (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, SEI is attacking the 20-day moving average, and a clean break followed by a test of the $0.16 area would imply a range reclaim, setting up bullish continuation levels. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025. He adds that ETH has broken above its 20-day MA versus BTC and entered an uptrend, suggesting SEI could mirror this structure. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025. If confirmed, he targets a liquidity sweep toward $0.24 with a potential move to $0.24–$0.27 and notes SEI could double in value. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 10, 2025.

According to Michaël van de Poppe, NEAR has reached its lowest price since October 10 while NEAR intents are growing triple digits month over month, indicating strengthening fundamentals despite price weakness, Source: Michaël van de Poppe (X, Dec 10, 2025). He notes that consolidation and accumulation near current levels could precede a breakout above the 20-day moving average, Source: Michaël van de Poppe (X, Dec 10, 2025). He adds that a break and hold above $1.95 would return price to the prior range, creating a range-to-range setup targeting $3, Source: Michaël van de Poppe (X, Dec 10, 2025).