FOMC rate decision at 2:00 PM ET and press conference at 2:30 PM ET set to drive Bitcoin and risk asset moves amid hold expectations.

According to @WatcherGuru, prediction market Polymarket is pricing a 95% chance that the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 25 bps tomorrow (source: Polymarket). The FOMC policy decision and press conference are scheduled for tomorrow on the Federal Reserve’s official calendar, defining a clear macro event window for markets (source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System calendar). With odds heavily skewed to a 25 bps cut, the primary trading focus shifts to any unexpected language or guidance relative to market pricing into the announcement and Q&A (source: Polymarket; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System calendar).