According to Greeks.live, crypto options are repricing ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, with implied volatility on contracts expiring tomorrow rising significantly, source: Greeks.live. Greeks.live also reports that realized volatility has increased markedly versus last month while overall trading volume has declined, creating a divergence between volatility and volume, source: Greeks.live. Greeks.live adds that the market is on the verge of choosing direction and suggests buying options in the latter half of the month as a potentially better setup for an anticipated major move, source: Greeks.live.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, traders face six macro catalysts this week: August Retail Sales on Tuesday, the Fed interest rate decision, the FOMC press conference, and updated dot-plot on Wednesday, plus the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index and Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday, source: The Kobeissi Letter. The releases are scheduled by the U.S. Census Bureau for Retail Sales, the Federal Reserve Board for the rate decision, press conference, and dot plot, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia for the manufacturing index, and the U.S. Department of Labor for jobless claims, source: U.S. Census Bureau; Federal Reserve; Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia; U.S. Department of Labor. Crypto traders should monitor BTC and ETH as FOMC days have historically shown elevated intraday volatility across digital assets and macro-sensitive risk pairs, source: Kaiko research. Rate guidance in the dot plot and any growth signals in Retail Sales can shift the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields, indirectly impacting BTC and ETH liquidity conditions during and after the event windows, source: Federal Reserve; U.S. Census Bureau.

According to @rovercrc, a high-impact macro week for crypto features the FOMC rate decision and dot plot on Wednesday, Sept 17, 2025, and U.S. Initial and Continuing Jobless Claims on Thursday, Sept 18, 2025, with volatility risk highlighted for traders; source: @rovercrc. The Federal Reserve confirms its September FOMC meeting concludes on Sept 17 with a policy statement and updated Summary of Economic Projections that includes the rate dot plot used by markets to gauge the policy path; source: Federal Reserve Board calendar and Summary of Economic Projections. Weekly Initial and Continuing Unemployment Insurance Claims are scheduled for release on Thursday, Sept 18, 2025, which markets track for labor-market momentum; source: U.S. Department of Labor weekly claims release schedule. Traders are flagging potential volatility around these releases and are monitoring BTC and ETH liquidity and derivatives into the events for risk management; source: @rovercrc.

According to @federalreserve, the FOMC left interest rates unchanged as expected, offering no surprises to financial markets. Recent data trends suggest a higher likelihood of rate cuts later in 2024, but short-term inflation projections have been revised upward while long-term inflation is expected to remain flat at 3% (source: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement, June 2024). These updated inflation expectations and the steady rate decision are key for crypto traders, as persistent inflation could sustain demand for store-of-value assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and impact liquidity conditions across digital assets. Any further economic instability may prompt policy shifts, potentially fueling volatility in the cryptocurrency markets.

According to Cas Abbé on Twitter, the FOMC rate change decision is scheduled for today at 2PM ET, with markets broadly expecting no adjustment to current interest rates (Source: @cas_abbe, June 18, 2025). However, the key trading catalyst will be Jerome Powell’s press conference following the announcement. If Powell signals the possibility of rate cuts in Q3, traders should anticipate heightened volatility in both traditional and cryptocurrency markets. Crypto assets like BTC and ETH could see swift price movements as investors react to any forward-looking monetary policy guidance (Source: @cas_abbe, June 18, 2025).

According to Cas Abbé (@cas_abbe), the cryptocurrency market is expected to experience significant volatility today due to the upcoming FOMC rate cuts decision at 2PM UTC. While current consensus indicates no rate cuts are anticipated, making the event appear neutral, traders should remain vigilant for unexpected market reactions or related announcements that could impact crypto prices. This event is closely watched as US monetary policy decisions have historically influenced Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major cryptocurrencies. Source: Twitter (@cas_abbe, May 7, 2025).