According to The Kobeissi Letter, traders face six macro catalysts this week: August Retail Sales on Tuesday, the Fed interest rate decision, the FOMC press conference, and updated dot-plot on Wednesday, plus the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index and Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday, source: The Kobeissi Letter. The releases are scheduled by the U.S. Census Bureau for Retail Sales, the Federal Reserve Board for the rate decision, press conference, and dot plot, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia for the manufacturing index, and the U.S. Department of Labor for jobless claims, source: U.S. Census Bureau; Federal Reserve; Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia; U.S. Department of Labor. Crypto traders should monitor BTC and ETH as FOMC days have historically shown elevated intraday volatility across digital assets and macro-sensitive risk pairs, source: Kaiko research. Rate guidance in the dot plot and any growth signals in Retail Sales can shift the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields, indirectly impacting BTC and ETH liquidity conditions during and after the event windows, source: Federal Reserve; U.S. Census Bureau.

According to Crypto Rover, the Fed Dot Plot, which outlines the Federal Reserve members' interest rate forecasts, is set to be released today at 2:00 PM ET. A forecast indicating a more significant drop in rates than expected could be highly bullish for Bitcoin, as it suggests a more accommodative monetary policy stance that could benefit risk assets like cryptocurrencies.