According to @MI_Algos, BTC printed a daily close above the 21-Day SMA on Sunday, which helped fuel today’s bounce, but the broader trend remains bearish until weekly closes reclaim the 50-Week SMA and Weekly RSI closes above 41, indicating bear-market invalidation only after those triggers, source: @MI_Algos. The decisive line in the sand is the Yearly Open/Timescape level: holding above it provides a platform for recovery, while losing it convincingly opens the door to deeper downside and the psychological transition from hope to denial, source: @MI_Algos. Recent upside likely reflects typical pre–Fed decision positioning that squeezes shorts and traps late longs, so rallies should be treated as potential liquidity events until the weekly signals flip, source: @MI_Algos. If BTC drops back below the Yearly Open, the final local support is the active trend line; a breakdown risks a lower low and tests at Q2 2025 Timescape levels, with accelerated capitulation if those supports fail, source: @MI_Algos.

According to @CNBC, Asia-Pacific markets are set to slip, tracking Wall Street losses ahead of the Federal Reserve rate decision, source: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/09/asia-markets-live-today-tuesday-fed-decision-nikkei-225-kospi-hang-seng-index-nifty-50.html. According to @CNBC, this cautious risk tone into the Fed decision is a macro backdrop that crypto traders can monitor during Asia hours for potential cross-asset volatility in BTC and ETH, source: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/09/asia-markets-live-today-tuesday-fed-decision-nikkei-225-kospi-hang-seng-index-nifty-50.html.

According to @MI_Algos, BTC volatility is expected to persist into Wednesday around the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, increasing macro-event risk for short-term traders. Source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) on X, Dec 8, 2025. @MI_Algos highlights a visible buy wall slightly above $88,000 in the BTC order book and warns it may spoof if price approaches, indicating potentially unreliable support. Source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) on X, Dec 8, 2025. Traders should closely monitor real-time order book depth and liquidity shifts near the 88k area and prepare for whipsaws into the decision window. Source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) on X, Dec 8, 2025.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the week’s key events are September JOLTS Job Openings on Tuesday, the December Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Chair Powell’s press conference on Wednesday, the OPEC Monthly Report on Thursday, Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday, and a U.S. 30-year Treasury bond auction, forming the core trading calendar to monitor for cross-asset risk, source: The Kobeissi Letter. JOLTS tracks job openings and labor demand conditions and is published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, while Initial Jobless Claims measure weekly unemployment insurance filings from the U.S. Department of Labor, providing near-term reads on labor tightness that traders track for macro momentum, source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; U.S. Department of Labor. The Federal Reserve will set the target range for the federal funds rate and communicate guidance via the post-meeting statement and Powell’s press conference, events that the Kobeissi Letter highlights as central market catalysts this week, source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; The Kobeissi Letter. The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report delivers production, demand, and inventory assessments that can influence crude benchmarks and inflation expectations viewed by rates traders, source: Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). The U.S. 30-year bond auction determines awarded yields and allocation across bidder classes, shaping the long-end Treasury benchmark closely watched by markets for discount-rate implications, source: U.S. Department of the Treasury. Crypto market participants in BTC and ETH commonly align event risk around these macro releases given their cross-asset relevance, with this week’s schedule flagged by The Kobeissi Letter as the primary catalyst map, source: The Kobeissi Letter.

According to @cas_abbe, December FOMC rate cut odds nearly doubled today after a New York Fed governor stated that current policy remains restrictive (source: @cas_abbe). According to @cas_abbe, despite the surge in odds, he expects no December rate cut because there will be no October jobs data available to guide the decision (source: @cas_abbe).