According to @GreeksLive, significant options expiries are scheduled for July 11, potentially influencing market volatility. For Bitcoin (BTC), 37,000 options with a notional value of $4.3 billion are set to expire. The data shows a Put Call Ratio of 1.05, suggesting slightly bearish sentiment, while the Maxpain point is at a high of $108,000. For Ethereum (ETH), 240,000 options with a notional value of $710 million will expire. The ETH options data indicates a Put Call Ratio of 1.11, also pointing to bearish sentiment, with a Maxpain point of $2,600. Traders should monitor these levels as prices often gravitate towards the Maxpain point upon expiration.

According to @GreeksLive, Bitcoin (BTC) has officially achieved a new all-time high. This development is a major bullish indicator for traders, signifying a breakout above all previous price ceilings and confirming strong positive momentum in the cryptocurrency market.

According to @GreeksLive, Bitcoin (BTC) is entering July with a historically bullish seasonal trend, having posted an average increase of around 7% in Julys over the past decade, as per CoinGlass data. Market maker Wintermute also found that July is the only month since 2022 to combine strong gains with subdued investor sentiment. However, current derivatives data paints a picture of indifference, with BTC and Ethereum (ETH) futures open interest remaining flat. Furthermore, funding rates for several altcoins, including XRP, Solana (SOL), and Bitcoin Cash (BCH), have turned negative, indicating a bearish bias. Traders should monitor key upcoming macro events, particularly the U.S. payrolls report, which could influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and impact the market. Despite recent spot BTC ETF net outflows of $342.2 million, corporate treasuries showed strong accumulation by purchasing 131,000 BTC in the second quarter, an 18% increase that outpaced ETF demand growth. Upcoming token unlocks for Ethena (ENA), Aptos (APT), and Arbitrum (ARB) could introduce additional selling pressure.

According to @GreeksLive, Bitcoin (BTC) is demonstrating resilience, holding near $108,700 despite macro pressures from U.S. tariff threats, a trend HashKey Capital's Han Xu believes shows long-term investor confidence. However, the market exhibits significant indecision, with FxPro’s Alex Kuptsikevich noting that sellers are active near the $110,000 resistance level while dip buyers support the 50-day moving average. This choppiness persists even as crypto ETFs see record inflows, with CoinShares reporting a 12th consecutive week of net inflows totaling nearly $1 billion, pushing total ETF assets under management to an all-time high of $188 billion. Despite strong inflows into Bitcoin, Ether (ETH), Solana (SOL), and XRP products, analysts warn of a potential 'summer lull,' citing data from The Block and Glassnode that shows on-chain activity and implied volatility have fallen to two-year lows. Traders are now focused on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve meeting, with analysts like Jeff Mei of BTSE expecting rates to hold steady, while Augustine Fan of SignalPlus suggests a subtle dovish pivot could be on the horizon.

According to @GreeksLive, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently range-bound due to geopolitical uncertainty, with trading firm QCP noting a defensive shift in derivatives markets where puts command a premium. Despite this anxiety, QCP's on-chain data shows institutional buying continues to provide strong support. Concurrently, NYDIG Research highlights that both realized and implied volatility for BTC are trending lower, creating a 'summer lull'. This low-volatility environment makes options strategies, including calls for upside exposure and puts for downside protection, 'relatively inexpensive' according to NYDIG. Traders are advised to monitor key upcoming catalysts that could drive price action, such as the SEC's decision on the GDLC conversion on July 2 and the Crypto Working Group's findings deadline on July 22. In ecosystem news, Bybit's CEO announced the launch of Byreal, a new decentralized exchange on the Solana blockchain, signaling continued development in the DeFi space.

According to @GreeksLive, Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching a significant $14 billion options expiry on Deribit, which could heighten market volatility. The put-call ratio has climbed to 0.72, a level that typically signals bearish sentiment. However, the analysis suggests this rise is partly due to traders using "cash-secured puts" as a strategy to generate yield and accumulate BTC. Lin Chen of Deribit noted that nearly 20% of expiring call options are in-the-money, indicating many call buyers have profited this cycle. Crypto market maker Wintermute reports that recent market flows are neutral, with traders positioning for tight price action between $100,000 and $105,000 leading up to the expiry. The maximum pain price for this expiry is identified at $102,000, the level at which option buyers would incur the greatest losses.

According to @GreeksLive, Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting resilience by holding the crucial $105,000 support level despite significant market pressure from the escalating Israel-Iran conflict. Trading firm QCP notes that while the market is stuck in a range awaiting geopolitical clarity, risk reversals have flipped, indicating heightened investor anxiety and a preference for downside protection through puts. Technical analysis shows BTC trading within a range of $104,220 to $106,135, with a rising trendline of higher lows remaining intact. Despite over $1.1 billion in recent liquidations, on-chain data cited by QCP suggests that institutional buying continues to provide support on dips, consolidating the price rather than signaling a reversal.

According to @GreeksLive, reports that crypto exchange OKX is considering a U.S. initial public offering (IPO) triggered a significant, albeit temporary, 9.8% price spike in its native token, OKB, which jumped from approximately $50 to $55.11 before retracing. OKX's Chief Marketing Officer, Haider Rafique, confirmed the exchange would 'absolutely consider an IPO in the future,' with the U.S. as the preferred market, signaling growing confidence in its U.S. operations. This news aligns with a broader trend of crypto firms like Kraken and Bullish planning to go public. Concurrently, the institutional adoption of crypto is accelerating, as evidenced by derivatives exchange Deribit. Its Block Request-for-Quote (RFQ) tool for large institutional trades has processed over $23 billion in cumulative volume in less than four months since its March launch. Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers noted the system's success reflects 'strong institutional demand' for derivatives on assets like Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and Solana (SOL), enhancing liquidity and execution for professional traders.

According to @GreeksLive, reports that crypto exchange OKX is considering a U.S. initial public offering (IPO) triggered a significant, albeit temporary, 9.8% price spike in its native token, OKB, which jumped from around $50 to $55.11 before retracing. The exchange's chief marketing officer, Haider Rafique, confirmed they would "absolutely consider an IPO in the future," with the U.S. as the preferred market, as reported by The Information. This news comes as the broader crypto market shrugs off geopolitical risks, with Bitcoin (BTC) reclaiming the $100,500 level after an initial dip following news of a U.S. strike in Iran. Other major altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH), XRP, and Solana (SOL), are also recovering from weekend losses. Market sentiment, reflected in Polymarket data, suggests a decreasing probability of further military escalation, with odds of a second U.S. strike dropping from 74% to 54%.

According to @GreeksLive, institutional demand for cryptocurrency derivatives is rapidly accelerating, evidenced by crypto exchange Deribit's on-demand liquidity tool, the Block RFQ interface, achieving over $23 billion in cumulative trading volume in under four months. This system, designed for institutions and high-volume traders of assets like Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and Solana (SOL), allows for efficient execution of large block trades with minimal market impact, as noted by Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers. The share of block trades via RFQ has grown to 27.5% in June. Separately, the report highlights the risks of corporate crypto strategies, with Semler Scientific's (SMLR) stock falling nearly 50% and trading below the value of its Bitcoin holdings. Despite this, Fundstrat's Tom Lee identifies SMLR as a potential "Granny shot" investment opportunity, suggesting value for contrarian investors.

According to @GreeksLive, the cryptocurrency market is seeing significant technical and regulatory shifts. The Polygon Foundation announced a major strategic pivot, with co-founder Sandeep Nailwal taking over as CEO to focus on the AggLayer cross-chain protocol while retiring the zkEVM network; this could significantly impact MATIC's ecosystem and value proposition. In another key development, the Ethereum Foundation has implemented a new treasury policy, capping annual operational expenses at 15% to ensure long-term sustainability, a move that could bolster investor confidence in the ETH ecosystem. For Bitcoin (BTC), developers confirmed in a GitHub update that the upcoming Core version 30 will substantially increase the OP_RETURN data limit, potentially fostering more data-intensive applications on the network and affecting transaction fees. On the regulatory front, SEC Chairman Paul Atkins revealed the commission is exploring an "innovation exemption" for DeFi platforms, which could provide significant regulatory relief and spur growth in the sector. Concurrently, a Bloomberg report indicates Ant Group is pursuing stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong and Singapore, signaling major institutional adoption in Asia.

According to @GreeksLive, savvy traders are actively hedging their Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) positions for a potential summer downturn, despite broader market bullishness. Analysis of options data from Amberdata shows that 25-delta risk reversals for BTC for June, July, and August tenors are negative, indicating a strong preference for protective put options over bullish call options. Similarly, for ETH, put options are pricier than calls out to the July expiry. Singapore-based QCP Capital noted in a market update that this activity suggests long holders are hedging their spot exposure against potential drawdowns. Further supporting this cautious sentiment, Coinbase Institutional's weekly report highlighted that a rising 25-delta put-call skew on 30-day contracts implies market participants are seeking short-term protection. On a technical level, BTC recently closed below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), a bearish signal that could lead to further chart-driven selling.

According to @GreeksLive, Australian Bitcoin (BTC) miner IREN has successfully reached its midyear hashrate goal of 50 exahashes per second (EH/s), a significant increase from 31 EH/s at the end of last year. The source states this growth is primarily due to its 750MW facility in Texas. Following this mining milestone, IREN is now shifting focus to its 'Horizon 1' project, a 50MW AI data center, signaling a strategic expansion into high-growth computing markets. In separate news impacting the digital asset space, crypto exchange Gemini has started offering tokenized stocks to its European Union customers, beginning with shares of the major Bitcoin holder, MicroStrategy (MSTR). The source reports this initiative is a partnership with Dinari, a firm specializing in tokenizing real-world assets, reflecting a growing trend of bridging traditional finance with blockchain technology.

According to @GreeksLive, crypto exchange OKX is considering an Initial Public Offering (IPO) in the U.S., a move that triggered a temporary 9.8% price surge in its native token, OKB, from around $50 to $55.11. This potential listing highlights a renewed confidence in the U.S. market. For traders navigating the current market, the source suggests several strategies for generating alpha. These include implementing a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) accumulation strategy for a select portfolio and developing a clear trading plan for key assets like Ethereum (ETH) at different price levels. The analysis also points to the superior risk-reward ratio of digital assets like Bitcoin (BTC) compared to traditional markets, citing the transparency of public blockchains and the efficiencies of DeFi. To effectively 'invest with the trend,' traders should assess adoption curves, monthly data points, and the progression of the underlying technology.

According to @GreeksLive, crypto derivatives exchange Deribit is experiencing a surge in institutional demand, with its Block Request-for-Quote (RFQ) interface registering over $23 billion in cumulative trading volume in less than four months since its March debut. Deribit's CEO, Luuk Strijers, highlighted that the system's success, with RFQ block trades now accounting for 27.5% of the total, reflects strong institutional interest and a focus on trade quality for large OTC transactions in assets like Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and Solana (SOL). Despite recent market volatility and geopolitical tensions, analysts remain constructive on Bitcoin's long-term outlook. Valentine Fournier, an analyst at BRN, noted that growing structural demand from public entities and corporations is laying the groundwork for a rebound, and suggests Solana (SOL) could outperform in a recovery. Meanwhile, Mean Theodorou, co-founder at Coinstash, pointed to steep losses in altcoins like DOGE, ADA, and SOL as evidence of broad market de-risking, but believes they may remain active for traders seeking opportunities outside of major tokens. Traders are closely watching upcoming macro events, including Fed Chair Powell's testimony and the release of core PCE data.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.7% to around $107,500 due to Middle East tensions driving investors toward safe havens like gold. However, analysts predict a $200,000 year-end price for BTC, supported by potential Federal Reserve rate cuts after subdued U.S. inflation data, with Boris Alergant of Babylon noting BTC's risk-on behavior but optimistic institutional demand. James Butterfill of CoinShares highlighted $900 million in weekly digital asset inflows, signaling market confidence rebound.

According to Lin Chen, head of business development - Asia at Deribit, Bitcoin's put-call ratio has increased to 0.72 ahead of a $14 billion options expiry on Deribit, driven by cash-secured puts as a yield-generation and BTC accumulation strategy. Deribit Metrics data shows 141,271 BTC options contracts expiring, with 20% of calls in-the-money, suggesting profitability linked to persistent BTC ETF inflows and potential volatility around the event. Wintermute's OTC desk reported neutral market flows with a slight bullish bias, including straddle selling at $105,000 and put shorting at $100,000, indicating expectations for tight price action near the max pain point of $102,000.

According to the author, the dilution of cypherpunk values in cryptocurrency, highlighted by Coinbase's political sponsorships and Ripple's lobbying activities, may heighten regulatory risks and market volatility, potentially affecting prices of major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH.

According to James Van Straten, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading stably around $105,000, shrugging off the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and escalating Middle East conflicts. The Fed signaled slower GDP growth at 1.4% and higher inflation, with fewer rate cuts expected through 2027, yet BTC's resilience stems from its adoption as a treasury asset, with the number of known holders rising to 235 entities. Derivatives data indicates caution, with open interest down to $55.3 billion and BTC's put/call ratio at 1.13, reflecting bearish sentiment; funding rates are positive for BTC and ETH but negative for altcoins like AVAX, and liquidation risks are elevated near $103K-$106K levels.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) surged to nearly $107,000, fueled by a U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Iran and Israel that reduced oil supply fears and lifted risk assets. Susannah Streeter, head of money markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, highlighted doubts about the truce holding, potentially capping gains. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized patience on interest rate cuts due to elevated inflation and tariff risks, with Bitunix analysts noting this supports risk assets but advises monitoring upcoming inflation data and Powell's Senate testimony. Traders are eyeing options activity, with derivatives suggesting BTC may trade in a $100,000-$105,000 range ahead of expiry.