According to The Kobeissi Letter, their approach of focusing on technical analysis and eliminating market noise has resulted in a strong start to the year, capitalizing on market volatility. This emphasizes the effectiveness of technical trading strategies over sentiment-driven decisions. Source: [The Kobeissi Letter](https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1908173780460958155)

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the market may experience its first circuit breaker activation since 2020, driven by significant price swings. The source indicates that their subscribers are effectively capitalizing on these market fluctuations. They offer insights and alerts which have been beneficial for trading strategies, especially in volatile conditions. For traders seeking to navigate these swings, The Kobeissi Letter provides updates and analysis to guide decision-making.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the Volatility Index ($VIX) remains at 43, indicating significant market volatility. Despite this, there is a record amount of retail capital in the market, with much of this capital currently trapped in investments that have declined over 40%. This situation suggests a potential risk for retail investors and may impact trading strategies focused on volatility and market corrections.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, gold prices have fallen to $3050 as a mass capital flight to the sidelines accelerates, indicating a significant shift in investor sentiment. This movement suggests traders are pulling back from gold investments, likely seeking less volatile assets or awaiting further market developments before re-entering. This decline in gold prices could prompt traders to reassess their portfolios, especially those with heavy gold investments, as the asset's short-term outlook appears uncertain.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Nvidia's market capitalization decreased from $3.7 trillion to $2.3 trillion over 59 trading days, marking a $1.4 trillion loss. This significant drop has brought Nvidia's stock price below $95 for the first time since August 2024, indicating a substantial bearish trend in its stock value.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the S&P 500 experienced a significant drop of 4.8% today, while the Volatility Index ($VIX) remained below 30, indicating an orderly market sell-off. Historically, such a significant decline in the S&P 500 is accompanied by a $VIX above 30, but this was not the case today, suggesting that capitulation may not have occurred yet.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the Nasdaq 100 has suffered a daily loss of 5.2%, bringing it within 1.8% of triggering the first circuit breaker since 2020. This significant downturn may influence market sentiment and trading strategies as investors reassess risk exposure.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the NASDAQ 100 has officially entered bear market territory, indicating a decline of more than 20% from its recent peak. This downturn may impact trading strategies as investors assess market conditions and risk levels.

According to @KobeissiLetter, retail investors were trapped during the recent market sell-off. JP Morgan data indicates that retail investors purchased $4.7 billion worth of stocks, marking a 10-year high. This was not a capitulation event, as institutional capital has taken a different position, leaving retail investments vulnerable. Investors should approach future trades with caution and consider the disparity in market behavior between retail and institutional investors.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has experienced a significant decline, with a 2-day loss surpassing 3,000 points. Traders should closely monitor market reactions as this substantial drop could signal broader economic concerns or potential shifts in investor sentiment. The decline in the Dow may affect correlated asset classes, including commodities and bonds, as investors reassess risk exposure and portfolio allocation.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 has fallen below the 5200 mark for the first time since August 7th, 2024, marking a significant decline of over 15% from its all-time high on February 19th. This downturn indicates potential bearish sentiment in the market, which is crucial for traders to monitor closely for any further downward trends or possible recovery signals.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the probability of a recession occurring in the United States this year has increased to 59%, as reported by @Kalshi. This significant rise in recession odds could influence trading strategies as investors may seek to hedge against potential economic downturns. Traders might consider reallocating assets towards more defensive sectors or exploring options in safe-haven assets in anticipation of increased market volatility.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the stock market is expected to experience the most volatile two-day period since March 2020. Subscribers are actively leveraging these market swings to optimize their trading strategies. For detailed tactics and alerts, The Kobeissi Letter encourages traders to subscribe to their analysis. (Source: The Kobeissi Letter)

According to @KobeissiLetter, China has imposed a 34% tariff on all US goods, marking the start of significant trade tensions. This has resulted in a massive $3.5 trillion loss in the S&P 500 over two days, indicating substantial market volatility and potential trading opportunities for short sellers and investors seeking to capitalize on price fluctuations.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, retail investors purchased $4.7 billion worth of stocks during yesterday's market sell-off, marking the highest single-day retail buying in over a decade, as reported by JP Morgan. This influx of retail capital has not signaled a capitulation, leaving retail investors trapped while institutional investors maintain their positions.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the VIX index reached a level of 45 and subsequently decreased by approximately 10 points. This indicates a period of significant market volatility, which traders should monitor closely for potential capitulation signals. The VIX, often referred to as the 'fear index,' reflects investor sentiment and expectations of future market volatility. A high VIX level can indicate increased risk and uncertainty, which may impact trading strategies and market positioning.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 has experienced a two-day loss exceeding 8%, resulting in a market capitalization decrease of $3.5 trillion. This marks the largest two-day drop since the pandemic in 2020, highlighting significant market volatility. Traders should closely monitor market conditions as such substantial losses can present both risks and opportunities depending on market positioning.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, their recent alert for premium members on March 26th advised taking short positions in oil, anticipating a price drop below $64.00. The oil prices have indeed fallen to $62.00, resulting in a +150% gain for those put options. This achievement marks their best start to the year. Source: Twitter (@KobeissiLetter, April 4, 2025).

According to The Kobeissi Letter, oil prices are experiencing their largest 2-day loss since April 2020 as the markets are factoring in a potential recession. This significant drop has critical implications for traders focusing on energy commodities, as it suggests a potential decrease in demand due to economic slowdown expectations.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, President Trump criticized China's tariff strategy, stating 'China played it wrong, they panicked,' after imposing a 34% tariff on US imports. This development could influence market sentiment and trading strategies in sectors sensitive to trade relations, such as technology and agriculture, potentially impacting cryptocurrency markets tied to these industries.