According to @MI_Algos, a recent report from Coinbase Research outlines a constructive outlook for the crypto markets, particularly Bitcoin (BTC), for the second half of 2025. The positive forecast is driven by an improving U.S. macroeconomic backdrop, evidenced by the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker jumping to 3.8% QoQ, which eases recession fears. The report also highlights growing corporate appetite for digital assets, spurred by a 2024 rule change allowing 'mark-to-market' accounting. Furthermore, significant regulatory progress, including the GENIUS Act for stablecoins and the CLARITY Act to define SEC and CFTC roles, is expected to provide much-needed clarity for investors. While Bitcoin appears set to benefit from these macro and structural tailwinds, the report suggests altcoins may lag unless supported by specific catalysts like ETF approvals or protocol developments. The SEC is reportedly considering over 80 crypto ETF applications, with some decisions possible as early as July.

According to @MI_Algos, Bitcoin (BTC) is poised for a strong second half of 2025, driven by a positive macroeconomic outlook, significant institutional demand, and increasing regulatory clarity in the U.S. Coinbase Research highlights improved U.S. GDP growth forecasts and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts as key tailwinds. Institutional adoption is accelerating, with spot BTC ETFs absorbing demand at three times the rate of new supply, and major pension funds are now investing, according to analysis from Kevin Tam. While BTC dominance has climbed above 54%, analyst Gregory Mall notes that altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) have lagged. Historically, an "altseason" follows Bitcoin's peak by two to six months, and early signals of this rotation may be emerging, evidenced by ETH's recent outperformance and a DeFi TVL recovery surpassing $117 billion. However, traders should remain cautious as crypto is still a risk-on asset class vulnerable to global economic instability, as per an OECD report cited by Gregory Mall.

According to @MI_Algos, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently struggling for direction, hovering near $103,700 amidst macroeconomic pressures and a significant drop in retail investor confidence. Crypto analytics firm Santiment reports that the ratio of bullish to bearish commentary has fallen to its lowest level since early April, a condition they suggest could be a contrarian indicator for a price rebound, as large investors often accumulate during periods of retail capitulation. While the Federal Reserve's steady interest rates have kept BTC in a tight range, on-chain data shows whale wallets have been steadily accumulating since 2023. Furthermore, NYDIG Research highlights that declining volatility has made options trading relatively inexpensive. This presents a cost-effective opportunity for traders to position for directional moves using calls for upside exposure or puts for downside protection ahead of potential market-moving catalysts in July, such as the SEC’s decision on the GDLC conversion.

According to @MI_Algos, Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching a significant $14 billion options expiry this Friday, marked by a rising put-call ratio of 0.72. However, this may not be a straightforward bearish signal. Lin Chen of Deribit clarifies that the increase is partly driven by traders using "cash-secured puts" as a strategy for yield generation and BTC accumulation. The max pain price for this expiry is noted at $102,000. Market maker Wintermute observes neutral market flows, with traders positioning for a tight price range between $100,000 and $105,000 leading into the event. Adding another layer to the analysis, analytics firm Santiment reports that retail investor sentiment has plummeted to its lowest level since early April, a condition they suggest could be a contrarian indicator for a price rebound, as seen in previous cycles. From a technical standpoint, BTC has established support between $103,000 and $103,500 while facing resistance near $106,000.

According to @MI_Algos, while Bitcoin (BTC) has hit new all-time highs driven by institutional ETF inflows and central bank optimism, altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) still lag significantly, with ETH 20% and SOL over 30% below their peaks. Gregory Mall from Lionsoul Global notes that Bitcoin dominance has surpassed 54%, a level that historically precedes altcoin rallies by two to six months. Signs of a potential rotation include ETH's recent 81% rally from its April lows and DeFi's Total Value Locked (TVL) recovering to over $117 billion, per DeFiLlama. Institutional adoption is also expanding, with Kevin Tam highlighting that Canadian pension funds have invested $55 million in spot Bitcoin ETFs. However, traders are hedging for short-term downside, with 25-delta risk reversals showing a preference for put options for the summer months, as noted by QCP Capital. While some analysts like Cas Abbé see potential for BTC to reach $130,000-$135,000 by Q3 based on on-balance volume, Coinbase Institutional reports that BTC recently broke below its 50-day SMA, which could trigger further selling.

According to the fund manager from Hyperion Decimus, digital assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) offer a superior risk-reward ratio, with BTC outperforming the S&P 500 by more than three to one. He highlighted the transparency of public blockchains and efficiencies in decentralized finance (DeFi), which reduce reliance on intermediaries like banks. For gaining alpha in volatile markets, he recommended accumulation strategies, such as dollar-cost averaging on a portfolio of assets including ETH, and setting specific trading plans like buying ETH if it drops to $1,200 or selling at $4,000. He also discussed trend investing based on adoption, monthly data, and technological progression. Additionally, the HD Acheilus Fund, launched by Hyperion Decimus, uses quantitative signals to shift between crypto tokens and cash, aiming to profit from uptrends while avoiding drawdowns.

According to Omkar Godbole, institutions are intensifying cryptocurrency investments, with JPMorgan filing for a crypto platform to offer trading and digital asset services, as reported by the firm. Strategy purchased over 10,100 BTC worth $1.05 billion last week, one of the largest acquisitions this year, signaling strong institutional demand. Bitcoin and ether spot ETFs registered inflows, with daily net flows at $408.6 million for BTC and $21.4 million for ETH, per Farside Investors data. Regulatory progress includes the GENIUS stablecoin bill and CLARITY Act advancing in Congress, potentially boosting market stability. However, market caution persists due to Middle East conflicts, as highlighted by Trump's denial of peace talks, and the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision, which could influence crypto prices. XBTO analysis indicates selective capital flows with a 4.06% drop in altcoins, suggesting controlled de-risking, while BRN predicts BTC-led price increases in 2025 if retail re-engages, citing weak sell pressure and strong demand.

According to Alexander Blume, Bitcoin's price stagnation above $100K stems from speculators reducing risk amid geopolitical turmoil while long-term investors accumulate. Glassnode data indicates short-term holders realized $904 million in profits recently, intensifying selling pressure. Markus Thielen added that long-term holders are selling into ETF-driven demand, absorbing inflows and capping gains. Miners offloaded approximately 30,000 BTC in 20 days, as per IntoTheBlock data. Jimmy Yang noted diversification into equities and gold is prompting some holders to divest, with key levels at $102,000 support and $106,000 resistance.

According to the author, stablecoins have achieved $35 trillion in annual transaction volume and 30 million users, signaling a shift towards narrow banking that enhances crypto market liquidity and reduces systemic risks. US Congress is advancing legislation to regulate stablecoins, which could accelerate DeFi trading volumes and increase adoption of cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH, creating new trading opportunities.

According to Omkar Godbole, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading resiliently above $100,000 despite escalating tensions between Iran and Israel, signaling strong institutional adoption as noted by QCP Capital. Jeff Anderson of STS Digital emphasized that BTC's transformation into a treasury asset reduces the relevance of historical chart patterns, with the price stability around $105,000 indicating bullish sentiment. Ether (ETH) options are becoming costlier relative to BTC, presenting yield opportunities for holders, according to Anderson. However, LondonCryptoClub warned of risks from large token unlocks for altcoins like SOL, ARB, and APE in the coming days.

According to Nicolai Soendergaard, research analyst at Nansen, Bitcoin's resilience above $100,000 amid geopolitical tensions signals underlying strength, with investors buying dips to fuel upward momentum. Adam Button of ForexLive highlighted potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in July, supported by Governors Bowman and Waller, easing liquidity for crypto gains. James E. Thorne, chief market strategist at Wellington Atlus, noted falling oil prices reducing inflation fears, while technical analysis reveals bullish moving average crossovers similar to past rallies.

According to Valentine Fournier of BRN, long-term catalysts like institutional demand from entities such as Texas and Metaplanet will overcome short-term bearish sentiment for Bitcoin BTC, setting the stage for a rebound. Fournier also noted that Solana SOL could outperform in a recovery, while Ethereum ETH may regain institutional support as volatility cools. Mean Theodorou of Coinstash expects persistent volatility driven by geopolitical risks like U.S.-Iran tensions and key macro events, advising caution on altcoins such as DOGE, ADA, and SOL due to recent double-digit losses. Additionally, Metaplanet purchased 1,111 BTC at $105,681 per bitcoin, increasing its holdings to 11,111 BTC, as reported by CoinDesk.

According to Material Indicators (@MI_Algos), traders should focus on identifying clear trading setups and invalidation points rather than attempting to buy during sharp price declines, a strategy commonly referred to as 'catching knives.' The source emphasizes the importance of patience and disciplined risk management in the current market context (Source: Twitter, June 22, 2025). This approach can help crypto traders avoid unnecessary losses and position themselves for optimal entries as the market structure evolves.

According to @rektcapital on Twitter, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a hard rejection at the 21-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and has pulled back, currently searching for new support levels. This technical move signals that a potential Bitcoin buying opportunity may emerge soon for traders watching the SMA and short-term support zones closely. With BTC retracing after hitting resistance, traders should monitor support levels for possible entry points. Source: @rektcapital via Twitter.

According to @trading_firm, traders could have anticipated the recent BTC price movement by monitoring the FireCharts Binned Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) on the daily chart. The data showed significant shifts in buying and selling pressure before the move occurred, providing actionable signals for short-term Bitcoin (BTC) trades. This technique is gaining traction among professional crypto traders for its accuracy in identifying trend changes and liquidity zones, making it a valuable tool for active BTC trading strategies. Source: @trading_firm on Twitter.

According to Material Indicators on Twitter, a unique and previously unseen signal has just emerged on the Bitcoin (BTC) chart, highlighting a significant development for traders. The analysis suggests that this novel signal could indicate a potential shift in BTC price momentum, which is rare and noteworthy for market participants seeking actionable trading strategies. Traders are advised to monitor this signal closely as it may present new opportunities or risks for short-term and long-term positions, impacting overall crypto market volatility. Source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) via Twitter, June 19, 2025.

According to x.com/i/broadcasts/1, a never-before-seen signal has appeared on the Bitcoin (BTC) price chart, sparking significant interest among crypto traders. The broadcast highlights that this unique technical indicator could signal a major shift in BTC price momentum, potentially impacting short-term trading strategies. Market analysts in the broadcast emphasize the rarity of this event and suggest traders closely monitor support and resistance levels for BTC, as increased volatility is likely. This development may also influence the broader crypto market by affecting sentiment and liquidity flows. Source: x.com/i/broadcasts/1.

According to Material Indicators, FireCharts show BTC bulls actively replenishing bid liquidity at the $104,000 level in an effort to defend this key support. However, the binned Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) indicates that order flow momentum does not currently support a strong upward move. This divergence suggests traders should be cautious, as defense of $104k may not hold without increased buying pressure. Source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos, June 19, 2025).

According to Material Indicators (@MI_Algos), FED Rate Decision days have historically triggered significant volatility in cryptocurrency markets, particularly for BTC. This week, BTC has nearly completed a full range reversal, indicating heightened price swings ahead of the FED announcement. Material Indicators emphasize that ongoing geopolitical tensions are amplifying market uncertainty, making it crucial for traders to monitor order book signals and liquidity shifts. Crypto traders should prepare for pronounced price movements in BTC, as the combination of macroeconomic policy decisions and geopolitical risk creates unique trading opportunities and risks. Source: Material Indicators on Twitter, June 18, 2025.

According to Material Indicators (@MI_Algos), recent geopolitical developments are overshadowing the Federal Reserve's decision day, adding layers of complexity to crypto market movements. Traders should note heightened volatility in major cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH, as risk sentiment is influenced more by external geopolitical events than central bank policy shifts. Monitoring order book signals and liquidity flows is crucial for navigating the current trading environment, as cited by Material Indicators on June 18, 2025.