According to @KobeissiLetter, Polymarket’s contract on whether President Maduro would be out of power by January 31 moved from 7% about 12 hours earlier to 67% at 2:10 AM ET as US strikes escalated, then fell to 37% by 4:00 AM ET, before spiking above 99% after Donald Trump said US forces captured Maduro and he was being flown to New York, with the account adding that Maduro will be charged on US soil, source: The Kobeissi Letter on X citing Polymarket odds data.