According to @QCPgroup, BTC’s correlation with US equities has tightened since mid-July, mirroring US stocks’ rebound toward record highs, which elevates cross-asset sensitivity for crypto trading; source: QCPgroup on X, 11 Aug 2025. @QCPgroup states that market focus now shifts to Tuesday’s CPI, expected to rise 10 bps to 2.8 percent, making inflation data the immediate macro driver to watch; source: QCPgroup on X, 11 Aug 2025. @QCPgroup positions CPI as the key near-term catalyst for BTC price action given the stronger equity correlation backdrop; source: QCPgroup on X, 11 Aug 2025.

According to QCPgroup, a softer CPI could cement odds of a September Fed cut, while a hotter print risks stalling the rally (source: QCPgroup). QCPgroup also reports active hedging demand for short-dated BTC put options concentrated in the 115k-118k strike range (source: QCPgroup). For traders, this underscores near-term CPI event risk and notable downside protection positioning around 115k-118k in Bitcoin options (source: QCPgroup).

According to @QCPgroup, institutional flows and spot Bitcoin ETF demand will be the key drivers as BTC approaches all-time highs, source: QCPgroup on X, Aug 11, 2025. @QCPgroup adds that the market’s resilience despite large sell-offs underpins its longer-term bullish view, source: QCPgroup on X, Aug 11, 2025.

According to @QCPgroup, short-call covering alongside defensive positioning has added fuel to the latest move in BTC, source: @QCPgroup. @QCPgroup expects front-end volatility to stay elevated until the CPI release, then likely compress unless BTC breaks resistance decisively, source: @QCPgroup.

According to @QCPgroup, crypto rebounded strongly over the weekend in thin liquidity. Source: QCP (@QCPgroup) on X, Aug 11, 2025. BTC climbed back above $122k, erasing last week’s losses. Source: QCP (@QCPgroup) on X, Aug 11, 2025. ETH led the move with a 21 percent surge to $4.3k, its highest since 2021. Source: QCP (@QCPgroup) on X, Aug 11, 2025.

According to QCPgroup, options flow data indicates that traders are positioning tactically bullish on BTC, focusing on 29AUG25 call flys at the 118k, 124k, and 126k strike prices, with the maximum payoff at 124k. The current put skew remains elevated, suggesting ongoing caution, but has not reached panic levels. A move in BTC price back above 115k could help normalize the skew, potentially impacting near-term volatility and directional bias. Source: QCPgroup.

According to QCPgroup, Bitcoin (BTC) continued its downturn for a third consecutive week, briefly dipping below 112k and resulting in over $1 billion in liquidated leveraged long positions since Friday. The sharp decline was driven by a broader risk-off sentiment in the markets, triggered by weaker US jobs data and the introduction of new tariffs, increasing volatility and caution among crypto traders. This heightened selling pressure has significant implications for BTC trading strategy and risk management in the current macroeconomic environment. Source: QCPgroup.

According to QCPgroup, altcoins experienced a sharper sell-off last week, with SOL losing nearly 20% and ETH dropping close to 10%. ETF flows failed to support prices, as BTC recorded its second-largest daily outflow and ETH saw its fourth-largest outflow on Friday. This trend suggests that recent institutional demand is not providing short-term price support, which may impact trading strategies and market sentiment for BTC, ETH, and SOL. Source: QCPgroup.

According to QCP Group, despite the recent pullback, Bitcoin’s (BTC) structural setup remains positive for traders. July ended with BTC recording its highest monthly candle in history, signaling strong upward momentum. QCP Group highlights that the current correction is seen as a post-rally shakeout rather than a macro reversal. The clearing of excessive leverage in the market could pave the way for renewed accumulation, presenting potential buying opportunities for crypto traders and investors (source: QCP Group).

According to QCPgroup, Bitcoin (BTC) spot price trading near 112,000 warrants caution for traders. The group notes that if ETF inflows resume, implied volatility compresses, and option skew narrows, these conditions could signal a potential bullish setup for the next upward move in BTC. Traders should monitor these metrics closely as they may indicate renewed momentum in the crypto market. Source: QCPgroup.

According to @QCPgroup, ongoing macro tailwinds such as clearer regulation, increasing stablecoin adoption, and expanding institutional tokenization efforts are strengthening the long-term outlook for digital assets. These factors support a sustained positive market trend for cryptocurrencies, with fundamentals indicating the broader upward trend remains intact. Source: @QCPgroup

According to QCPgroup, the cryptocurrency market has not reacted to recent positive developments, such as crypto-friendly US regulation and ETF progress. This lack of price movement in response to good news indicates short-term market fatigue, which QCPgroup identifies as a classic sign of late-cycle behavior (source: QCPgroup). This suggests that traders should be cautious about near-term upside momentum, as market sentiment may be weakening even in the face of encouraging headlines.

According to QCPgroup, despite subdued price movements in the Bitcoin (BTC) market, institutional conviction remains robust. MicroStrategy and SharpLinkGaming are actively raising capital to increase their BTC holdings, strengthening the medium-term structural case for Bitcoin even as current prices do not yet reflect this growing institutional demand. This ongoing capital influx from major players signals persistent long-term bullish sentiment in the crypto market, which traders should monitor closely for potential price shifts once market sentiment aligns with institutional activity (source: QCPgroup).

According to QCPgroup, Bitcoin (BTC) is maintaining stability below the $120,000 level, with strong buying support evident at around $116,000. This suggests a firm floor for BTC in current trading. Meanwhile, Ether (ETH) is struggling to break above the psychological $4,000 resistance, with momentum indicators showing a loss of bullish energy and flattening out. These dynamics indicate a period of consolidation for both BTC and ETH, which traders should monitor for potential breakout or breakdown scenarios. Source: QCPgroup

According to QCP (@QCPgroup), the latest market update highlights several pivotal crypto trading trends for early June 2025, including increased volatility in Bitcoin and Ethereum following recent macroeconomic data releases. QCP notes that option volumes have surged as traders hedge against potential price swings, especially after the release of US jobs data, which has historically influenced short-term crypto price movements (source: QCP, Twitter, June 2, 2025). The firm also identifies a shift in sentiment, with institutional traders favoring protective puts over speculative calls, signaling heightened caution in the near term. This trading behavior may impact liquidity and directional price momentum across major crypto assets.

According to QCP (@QCPgroup), tariff tensions are expected to dominate the macroeconomic narrative throughout June, with significant policy decisions likely postponed until after July 8. This suggests that both traditional and crypto markets could remain in a holding pattern, experiencing reduced volatility and trading volumes until clearer policy signals emerge. Traders should anticipate limited directional movement and focus on range-bound strategies as global tariff negotiations continue to weigh on risk sentiment. Source: QCP (@QCPgroup), June 2, 2025.

According to QCPgroup, the crypto market turned sharply risk-off after the US expanded technology sanctions against China and doubled steel tariffs to 50%. These developments triggered the liquidation of nearly $1 billion in crypto positions, signifying heightened volatility and risk aversion among traders (source: QCPgroup Twitter, June 2, 2025). Additionally, BlackRock's IBIT Bitcoin ETF recorded $430 million in outflows, ending its 34-day inflow streak, which signals a notable shift in institutional sentiment towards Bitcoin and broader crypto assets. Such large-scale outflows and liquidations highlight the potential for further price pressure and increased volatility, making risk management a top priority for crypto traders.

According to QCP Group, frontend volatility for Bitcoin is compressing, risk reversals are normalizing, and perpetual funding rates have flattened, indicating muted price action in the near term. Traders should closely monitor the $100,000 and $110,000 price levels, as BTC remains rangebound between these key thresholds. These developments suggest a period of consolidation, reducing the likelihood of sudden moves and favoring range trading strategies for market participants (Source: QCP Group Twitter, June 2, 2025).

According to QCPgroup, Bitcoin ($BTC) maintained strong support above $102,000 despite recent selloffs, signaling resilience in the current market cycle. Notably, Metaplanet increased its Bitcoin holdings by $114 million after the price dip, reaching a symbolic 8,888 $BTC. This aggressive accumulation by institutional investors highlights continued bullish sentiment and provides a critical confidence boost for traders monitoring large-scale crypto inflows (source: QCPgroup on Twitter).

According to QCP Group, Bitcoin's recent price volatility has created new opportunities for both option and spot traders, with increased volume observed in BTC options trading in late May 2025 (source: QCP Group, Twitter). The group highlights that macroeconomic data releases and upcoming regulatory updates are key drivers for short-term price action, suggesting traders should monitor implied volatility levels and consider delta-hedged strategies. QCP also notes that large institutional flows have contributed to sharper price swings, which could impact liquidity and market depth in the crypto sector (source: QCP Group, Twitter).