According to The Kobeissi Letter, the number of unsold completed single-family homes in the US jumped by 31,000 year-over-year in March 2025, reaching 119,000, the highest level since July 2009 (source: The Kobeissi Letter, April 28, 2025). Over the past three years, unsold completed homes have tripled, now accounting for roughly 12% of housing starts. For real estate investors and traders, this spike in unsold inventory signals potential downward pressure on home prices and could impact related equities, REITs, and construction sector stocks. Monitoring inventory trends is critical for trading strategies in housing and housing-linked assets.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, US home prices rose 4.5% year-over-year in Q1 2025, marking the slowest growth since Q3 2023. Moody’s Analytics projects even further deceleration, with home price increases of 3.6% in Q2 and 2.5% in Q3 2025. This slowdown signals a significant shift in the property market, which could impact related sectors such as mortgage-backed securities and real estate investment trusts (REITs). Traders should monitor these trends for potential volatility and adjust positions in housing-linked assets accordingly (Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Twitter, April 25, 2025).

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US housing market is showing clear signs of a slowdown, with home prices rising only 4.5% year-over-year in Q1 2025, marking the smallest increase since Q3 2023. Moody’s forecasts further deceleration, projecting home prices to rise by 3.6% in Q2 and 2.5% in Q3 of 2025 (source: The Kobeissi Letter, Twitter, April 25, 2025). Traders should note that the cooling price growth could impact related equities, REITs, and real estate-backed tokens as market sentiment adjusts to lower appreciation rates. Monitoring these trends is critical for those trading housing market ETFs and crypto assets linked to real estate.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the median home price in the Washington, DC area has decreased from approximately $699,000 in November 2024 to $560,000 today, reflecting a 20% drop in about three months. This drastic fall indicates a potential oversupply or reduced demand in the housing market, which could affect trading decisions in related real estate investment trusts (REITs) or housing-linked financial instruments.