According to @iampaulgrewal, the U.S. District Court in KalshiEX, LLC v. Hendrick (D. Nev.) characterized Kalshi’s sports-related event contracts as sports wagers and cited Justice Potter Stewart’s Jacobellis v. Ohio line, “I know it when I see it,” 378 U.S. 184, 197 (1964) (@iampaulgrewal). According to @iampaulgrewal, he expects a future Miller-style standard to replace that subjective approach, referencing Miller v. California as the model for a clearer test (@iampaulgrewal). Based on @iampaulgrewal’s statement, traders should price in elevated U.S. legal uncertainty and potential liquidity/volatility impacts for sports-event prediction markets with a U.S. nexus until standards are clarified (@iampaulgrewal).