According to @ai_9684xtpa, wallet 0xEa6670EbdB4a388A8CFc16f6497Bf4f267B061EE deposited $8M USDC to Hyperliquid over the past 5 hours and opened longs in $IP, $XPL, $STBL, $MON, $PUMP, $GRIFFAIN, $VVV, $AIXBT, $HEMI, $MAVIA, and $STABLE (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; hyperbot.network/trader/0xEa6670EbdB4a388A8CFc16f6497Bf4f267B061EE). According to @ai_9684xtpa, position sizes range from $0.6M to $2M each for a $13.76M total notional with about $12,000 unrealized loss, implying roughly 1.72x gross leverage and a 0.15% drawdown versus the reported margin (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; hyperbot.network/trader/0xEa6670EbdB4a388A8CFc16f6497Bf4f267B061EE). According to @ai_9684xtpa, all trades are on Hyperliquid, concentrating long exposure across multiple lower-liquidity alt and meme pairs at the start of the new year (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; hyperbot.network/trader/0xEa6670EbdB4a388A8CFc16f6497Bf4f267B061EE). According to @ai_9684xtpa, live position and PnL details can be monitored via the Hyperliquid analytics page for this wallet (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; hyperbot.network/trader/0xEa6670EbdB4a388A8CFc16f6497Bf4f267B061EE).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a suspected compromised Binance account attempted to move funds via cross-trading by aggressively buying spot BROCCOLI714, a low-liquidity token, creating extreme order-book imbalances and a sharp spot-perp basis blowout (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X citing @Vida_BWE). According to @ai_9684xtpa, Binance’s BROCCOLI714 perpetuals triggered a circuit breaker; after trading resumed, Vida went long immediately and later closed on bid withdrawal, capturing around 1 million dollars as detailed in his recap (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; source: @Vida_BWE on X). Vida stated he held spot near 0.016 and a 500,000 USDT BROCCOLI714USDT funding-rate arbitrage; when spot value jumped to roughly 800,000 USDT versus 500,000 USDT perps, he closed the arb to lock about 300,000 USDT before the directional trades (source: @Vida_BWE on X). Vida reported seeing approximately 5 million USDT bid at 10 percent depth on Binance spot versus only about 50,000 USDT on perps, and roughly 26 million USDT of total spot bids for a roughly 40 million dollar market-cap token, indicating nonstandard activity likely tied to the suspected theft or a market-maker bug (source: @Vida_BWE on X; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). Per @ai_9684xtpa, Binance risk controls appeared to intervene, preventing further BROCCOLI714 orders; the attacker then turned to SOL before canceling orders and ending the episode (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). Vida emphasized his alert rules for short-term surges and spot-perp divergence as key triggers, underscoring the value of monitoring basis and order-book depth during small-cap anomalies (source: @Vida_BWE on X).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a single buyer purchased 3,000 BTC call options on Deribit with a USD 100,000 strike expiring on 2026-01-30, paying about USD 2.86 million in premium. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the reported break-even at expiry is approximately USD 100,953.67, implying the position loses money if BTC settles below that level on the expiration date. According to @ai_9684xtpa, if BTC finishes below USD 100,000 at expiry, the entire USD 2.86 million premium would be lost, though the buyer could exit earlier if BTC rallies.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Arthur Hayes received 4.85 million ENA from Galaxy Digital valued at 0.985 million USD, source: https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2006291287012761734. The same source reports that since Dec 20 he has accumulated 10.905 million ENA totaling 2.227 million USD at an average price of 0.2042 USD, source: https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2006291287012761734. The post also details a DeFi basket purchase five days earlier totaling 2.009 million USD: 274k $PENDLE (0.515M USD), 440k $LDO (0.259M USD), 4.82M $ENA (0.984M USD), and 358k $ETHFI (0.250M USD), source: https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2006291287012761734. Cumulative token purchases since Dec 20 are cited at 4.529 million USD with $PENDLE the largest position at 1.747 million USD, source: https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2006291287012761734. The wallet address for verification is provided via Arkham Intel, source: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/arthur-hayes. For traders, these wallet inflows and the cited average $ENA price offer concrete reference levels for order-flow tracking and liquidity monitoring around the reported sizes, source: https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2006291287012761734 and https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/arthur-hayes.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, three-month performance by narrative shows B (digital gold) down 30%, E (world computer) down 40%, S (high-performance L1) down 50%, and P (meme) down 90%, based on their X post dated Dec 31, 2025; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X. This return profile highlights the steepest drawdown in the meme cohort and the smallest in the digital-gold cohort, indicating relative weakness concentrated in higher-beta segments; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X. For trading, the ranking of declines suggests risk-off rotation across narratives and implies near-term relative strength skewed toward the B bucket versus E/S/P until laggards form bases; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Arthur Hayes purchased $2.009 million of DeFi tokens after five days, including 274,000 PENDLE worth $515,000, 440,000 LDO worth $259,000, 4.82 million ENA worth $984,000, and 358,000 ETHFI worth $250,000. Source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 31, 2025. Based on these reported values, the latest tranche is weighted about 49% ENA, 26% PENDLE, 13% LDO, and 12% ETHFI. Source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 31, 2025. According to @ai_9684xtpa, cumulative buys since Dec 20 total $4.529 million, with PENDLE the largest position at $1.747 million. Source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 31, 2025. According to @ai_9684xtpa, withdrawals from exchanges since Dec 20 amount to $2.52 million with PENDLE accounting for 48.9% by value. Source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 31, 2025. Wallet attribution and on-chain traceability are provided by the Arkham Intelligence Arthur Hayes entity page. Source: Arkham Intelligence explorer entity for Arthur Hayes.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a wallet reported as associated with Arthur Hayes withdrew 6.095 million ENA (about $1.7 million at the time) from Binance seven months ago and deposited the tokens into Ethena staking, with no reduction even when ENA reached $0.80 (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). According to @ai_9684xtpa, the same wallet transferred the entire ENA position back to Binance roughly 7 hours ago, signaling a potential intention to trade on-exchange (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). According to @ai_9684xtpa, if this batch were sold now, it would realize an estimated $455,000 loss excluding staking yield, implying a cost basis around $0.2792 and current levels near $0.20 at the time of posting (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X). The referenced wallet is 0x229AfD6964a5EF12cbf5611a0F9a9c8B5297A86E for on-chain verification (source: Arkham Intelligence explorer: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x229AfD6964a5EF12cbf5611a0F9a9c8B5297A86E).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a whale that accumulated 8,550 ETH at an average price of $2,991 about a week ago has started reducing exposure, as tracked via the referenced Arkham Intelligence wallet 0x237B5AD89D6513630B71BbF783C1EdCc84FB6aAb (source: @ai_9684xtpa; Arkham Intelligence). The wallet transferred 3,000 ETH, approximately $8.93 million, to Binance about 10 hours before the post; if sold at current levels at that time, the tranche would realize an estimated $43,000 loss (source: @ai_9684xtpa). From last week’s build, 5,550 ETH remain with an unrealized loss of roughly $46,000, while the broader wallet still holds 22,981 ETH as cited alongside the wallet address on Arkham Intelligence (source: @ai_9684xtpa; Arkham Intelligence).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, address 0x540...3F802 is now the largest short on Hyperliquid LIT after depositing 4.35 million USDC of margin within the past two hours, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X and HyperBot trader page for 0x540...3F802. The address opened a 1x short totaling 1,110,677 LIT at a 2.74 USD average entry and is currently showing about 25,000 dollars unrealized loss, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X and HyperBot trader page for 0x540...3F802. Based on these reported figures, the position notional is approximately 3.043 million dollars which implies effective leverage below 1x given 4.35 million USDC posted as margin, source: calculation from figures reported by @ai_9684xtpa on X and HyperBot trader page for 0x540...3F802. The 2.74 USD average entry is the immediate breakeven level for this short, so price action above 2.74 increases the unrealized loss and price action below 2.74 reduces it, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X and HyperBot trader page for 0x540...3F802. Traders can monitor this address in real time on the HyperBot dashboard to track position size and PnL for potential impact on LIT perpetual order flow and liquidity, source: HyperBot trader page for 0x540...3F802.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, $LIT is now trading with a current fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $2.41B, providing the live reference level for day-one pricing bands, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa citing opinion.trade data, the share of bets that FDV will exceed $2B one day post-listing has declined from 85.5% to 76.3% versus a week ago when the pre-market contract launched, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa citing opinion.trade, market-implied odds for $4B/$6B/$8B outcomes have fallen sharply, with only 7% now projecting >$4B compared with 23% previously, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa, Binance pre-market reference was $3.52 per token, implying a $3.52B FDV as a comparative anchor for near-term pricing, source: @ai_9684xtpa. According to @ai_9684xtpa citing opinion.trade, the top holder “Nijntje” controls 414k Lighter shares (≈$327k), indicating concentrated positioning among forecasters, source: @ai_9684xtpa. Based on these market-implied probabilities reported by @ai_9684xtpa, traders may recalibrate near-term targets toward the $2B–$3.5B FDV band and manage risk around those thresholds for momentum entries and exits, source: @ai_9684xtpa.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, on-chain trader address 0x94d373...33814 closed a $106M ETH short on Hyperliquid roughly 15 hours after opening, realizing a $479K loss (Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa, Dec 30, 2025). According to @ai_9684xtpa, the update adds that his BTC and SOL long positions were profitable, bringing the overall session net loss down to $49K (Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa, Dec 30, 2025). According to @ai_9684xtpa, earlier in the thread the address was shown holding 36,281.29 ETH short at a $2,920.21 entry, ranked Top-2 ETH short on Hyperliquid, and also opened $48.18M BTC short and $13.43M SOL short with take-profit ranges of BTC $86,250-$86,800, ETH $2,700-$2,900, and SOL $121-$131.76 (Sources: X post by @ai_9684xtpa, Dec 30, 2025; Hyperbot tracker: hyperbot.network/trader/0x94d3735543ecb3d339064151118644501c933814). According to @ai_9684xtpa, the thread also notes a 7-day cumulative profit of $6.22M for the address (Sources: X post by @ai_9684xtpa, Dec 30, 2025; Hyperbot tracker: hyperbot.network/trader/0x94d3735543ecb3d339064151118644501c933814).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, the whale who withdrew 77,385.34 ETH at an average $2,835.62 on Dec 1 has shown new activity; timing of movements is within 1.5 minutes of the '10/11 flash-crash short insider' ETH deposit, suggesting but not confirming the same entity, with cumulative exchange deposits reported at 112,894.34 ETH (~$331M). Source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Arkham Intelligence (0x36ED68c47a007b6D896515070375b3f5AC9BC889; 0x396e52f7Ee3f3b3094BA9DE35932f0B10eBEe54E). The '10/11 flash-crash short insider' address reportedly sent 35,509 ETH (~$104M) to Binance about 20 minutes earlier, and six days ago transferred 100,000 ETH to an exchange without an observable short-term impact on ETH price based on K-line action. Source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Arkham Intelligence (0x396e52f7Ee3f3b3094BA9DE35932f0B10eBEe54E). For trading, large ETH inflows to exchanges at this scale are closely watched for potential sell-side liquidity and volatility; however, the previously cited 100,000 ETH inflow did not trigger an immediate move, warranting confirmation from order flow and price reaction before positioning. Source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Arkham Intelligence (addresses above).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, an address labeled by the source as the 1011 flash-crash shorting whale deposited 35,509 ETH worth about $104 million to Binance roughly 20 minutes ago, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X and Arkham Intel address 0x396e52f7Ee3f3b3094BA9DE35932f0B10eBEe54E. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the same entity transferred 100,000 ETH to an exchange six days earlier, and the source notes it did not cause a short-term move in ETH price based on K-line observations, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X. According to @ai_9684xtpa, current disclosed positions tracked show ETH holdings of 203,340.64 (entry $3,147.39) with about $22.65 million in unrealized loss, BTC holdings of 1,000 (entry $91,506.7) with about $1.64 million in unrealized loss, and SOL holdings of 511,000 (entry $130.1911) with about $0.573 million in unrealized loss, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X and Hyperbot profile 0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae. According to @ai_9684xtpa, BTC has broken above $90,000, narrowing the trader’s total floating loss to roughly $24.86 million, and this appears to be the longest holding period for this account per the source’s tracking, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, wallet 0x94d3735543ecb3d339064151118644501c933814 opened an ETH short on Hyperliquid and now holds 36,281.29 ETH short (~$106M) at a $2,920.21 entry with an unrealized loss of ~$0.521M, ranking as a Top 2 ETH short on the venue. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2005824307763761375 and Hyperbot dashboard https://hyperbot.network/trader/0x94d3735543ecb3d339064151118644501c933814. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the same address also holds $48.18M in BTC shorts and $13.43M in SOL shorts, with take-profit bands set at BTC $86,250–$86,800, ETH $2,700–$2,900, and SOL $121–$131.76. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2005824307763761375 and Hyperbot dashboard https://hyperbot.network/trader/0x94d3735543ecb3d339064151118644501c933814. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the trader’s reported cumulative profit over the past week totals $6.22M. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2005824307763761375. According to @ai_9684xtpa, they also report a single-day increase of 46,036.72 ETH in tracked accumulation activity. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2005824307763761375. According to @ai_9684xtpa and on-chain data, Arkham Intel shows the entity labeled Trend Research withdrew 13,462 ETH (~$39.31M) from Binance, updating on-chain holdings to 626,071 ETH (> $1.83B) with an average cost of about $3,105.5 and an unrealized loss near $110M. Source: Arkham Intel address 0x8FDC74baD4AA20904a362D4b69434A0Cf4d97f43 https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x8FDC74baD4AA20904a362D4b69434A0Cf4d97f43 and X post by @ai_9684xtpa https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2005824307763761375. According to @ai_9684xtpa, these take-profit levels explicitly define the trader’s targeted exit zones for BTC, ETH, and SOL perps. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2005824307763761375.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, address 0x931…ae7a3 opened a 300 BTC long on Hyperliquid about 7 hours ago, ranking among the platform’s top 5 BTC long positions, source: @ai_9684xtpa; hyperbot.network. Per the same sources, the position is reported at $26.14 million notional with an average entry of $87,965.3, current unrealized PnL of -$239,000, and a liquidation price at $86,073.7, source: @ai_9684xtpa; hyperbot.network. The trader set a bracket to scale stop-loss near $79,419 and scale take-profit up to $109,496; from the entry, liquidation sits about 2.15% below, the stop zone is roughly 9.7% below, and the take-profit cap is around 24.5% above, source: @ai_9684xtpa; hyperbot.network.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research withdrew 13,462 ETH from Binance, lifting on-chain holdings to 626,071 ETH with a reported portfolio value above USD 1.83 billion, an average cost around USD 3,105.5, and an unrealized loss near USD 110 million. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2005656719159140551. The same source noted an earlier 5,011 ETH withdrawal from Binance that brought holdings to 612,609 ETH with a total value around USD 1.79 billion, an average cost of USD 3,109.58, and an unrealized loss near USD 107 million. Source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2005627568305873154. @ai_9684xtpa states the single-day net accumulation totals 46,036.72 ETH and provides the tracked wallet 0x8FDC74baD4AA20904a362D4b69434A0Cf4d97f43 for verification via ARKM Intel Explorer. Sources: X post by @ai_9684xtpa https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2005656719159140551 and ARKM Intel Explorer https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x8FDC74baD4AA20904a362D4b69434A0Cf4d97f43.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research withdrew another 5,011 ETH (~$14.68M) from Binance, taking its on-chain holdings to 612,609 ETH valued at ~$1.79B with an average cost of ~$3,109.58 and an unrealized loss of ~$107M, source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa on Dec 29, 2025. The same source reports the wallet previously accumulated 27,598 ETH (~$83.05M) over the past 7 hours, including a 6,748 ETH tranche (~$19.77M) that was deposited into Aave as collateral, source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa and Arkham wallet intel for address 0x8FDC74baD4AA20904a362D4b69434A0Cf4d97f43 at intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x8FDC74baD4AA20904a362D4b69434A0Cf4d97f43. Traders can monitor borrow events and transfers from the 0x8FDC… address to gauge any leverage changes tied to this position, source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa and Arkham wallet page for 0x8FDC74baD4AA20904a362D4b69434A0Cf4d97f43.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research withdrew 6,748 ETH (about USD 19.77 million) from Binance roughly five minutes before the post and deposited the ETH to Aave as collateral, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the firm accumulated 27,598 ETH (about USD 83.05 million) over the last seven hours, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 29, 2025. According to @ai_9684xtpa, tracked on-chain holdings rose to 607,598 ETH valued around USD 1.77 billion with an average cost near USD 3,111.07 and an unrealized loss of USD 117 million, source: @ai_9684xtpa citing Arkham intel address intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0x8FDC74baD4AA20904a362D4b69434A0Cf4d97f43. According to @ai_9684xtpa, a separate update shows a 20,850 ETH (about USD 63.28 million) Binance withdrawal in the past hour, followed by staking and a USDT loan of USD 40 million via address 0x8FDC74baD4AA20904a362D4b69434A0Cf4d97f43, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; DeBank profile debank.com/profile/0x8fdc74bad4aa20904a362d4b69434a0cf4d97f43. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the entity’s five addresses cumulatively hold about 600,850 ETH valued near USD 1.82 billion, with a previously reported 580,000 ETH cost basis around USD 3,150 from @Jackyi_ld implying a new blended cost near USD 3,146 after the latest purchases, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X referencing @Jackyi_ld. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the posts were labeled as sponsored by Gate, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research withdrew 20,850 ETH (~$63.28M) from Binance within the past hour, then staked via address 0x8fdc74bad4aa20904a362d4b69434a0cf4d97f43 and borrowed 40M USDT, with the source suggesting continued accumulation; source: @ai_9684xtpa and Debank profile shared by @ai_9684xtpa (Dec 29, 2025). According to @ai_9684xtpa, the entity’s five tracked addresses now hold a combined 600,850 ETH valued at roughly $1.82B; source: @ai_9684xtpa (Dec 29, 2025). According to data provided by @Jackyi_ld and relayed by @ai_9684xtpa, the prior 580k ETH had an average cost near $3,150 and the latest adds place the blended cost around ~$3,146; source: @Jackyi_ld via @ai_9684xtpa (Dec 29, 2025). According to @ai_9684xtpa after verification with @Jackyi_ld, about 645k ETH accumulated since November has a real cost near $3,150, implying an unrealized loss of roughly $143M at current prices; source: @ai_9684xtpa citing @Jackyi_ld (Dec 29, 2025). According to @ai_9684xtpa quoting @Jackyi_ld, a further planned $1B injection targets controlling the ETH average cost around ~$3,050; source: @ai_9684xtpa citing @Jackyi_ld (Dec 29, 2025).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Binance’s USD1 Earn offers 20% APR but is capped at $50,000 per user and trades at a premium, which may reduce net returns for users swapping in just to participate, based on the author’s review of the offer. According to @ai_9684xtpa citing the Binance campaign page, Binance Web3 Wallet users can stake USDT to receive sUSDD at a 13.52% APY, where 12% derives from USDD’s base yield and roughly 1.52% is the current extra subsidy. According to @ai_9684xtpa citing the Binance campaign page, the sUSDD promotion runs from Dec 11 to Jan 10, has a $100 minimum, no deposit cap, a total $300,000 prize pool distributed $10,000 daily, and has attracted $290 million in deposits so far, which means the extra subsidy portion of APY floats with participation. According to @ai_9684xtpa, USDD transitioned in January to a community-driven overcollateralized stablecoin. According to CoinMarketCap data cited by @ai_9684xtpa, USDD supply rose from $482 million to $816 million since the Dec 11 Binance Wallet campaign start, a 69% increase, with an estimated 35.5% of new tokens minted due to the Binance Earn-related activity.