According to @ai_9684xtpa, year-end 2025 discourse contrasts momentum in physical gold and silver with weakness in cryptocurrencies and asks which short is more dangerous for traders, altcoins or precious metals during a breakout (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 27, 2025). For crypto shorts, thin order books and funding rate flips during fast rallies can accelerate short squeezes and liquidation cascades, increasing slippage and risk of forced exits (source: Binance Futures documentation on funding rates and liquidations). For gold and silver shorts, futures carry theoretically unlimited loss with gap risk, and exchanges can raise margins rapidly in volatility spikes, stressing capital and risk limits (source: CFTC Risk Disclosure Statement; source: CME Group margin and risk advisories). Defined risk options can cap downside on both sides, such as buying calls to hedge metals shorts or using call buys and put spreads for altcoin exposure, helping contain tail risk while maintaining directional views (source: Cboe Options education resources).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, the top ZEC long on Hyperliquid at address 0x6b2…0e03f shows USD 4.949M in unrealized profit with 48,000.89 ZEC valued at USD 24.62M and an average entry of USD 409.87 (source: @ai_9684xtpa citing hyperbot.network/trader/0x6b26f66f460fd173b009d0c7a478ca400470e03f). The same source notes roughly USD 80,000 in funding paid, a last add on Dec 15, and that ZEC later dipped to USD 371 without the position being cut (source: @ai_9684xtpa citing hyperbot.network). Traders can reference the USD 409.87 cost basis and USD 371 drawdown low when assessing ZEC derivatives positioning on Hyperliquid (source: @ai_9684xtpa).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, address 0x8def9f50456c6c4e37fa5d3d57f108ed23992dae opened a 10x ZEC long yesterday at an average entry of USD 446.48 and now holds 22,457.57 ZEC valued around USD 11.5 million after ZEC reclaimed USD 510, showing about USD 1.48 million in unrealized profit; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X and hyperbot.network/trader/0x8def9f50456c6c4e37fa5d3d57f108ed23992dae. The account is cited as a Top-2 ZEC long on Hyperliquid, indicating large position concentration on the venue; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X. The same account’s HYPE long is at an unrealized loss of about USD 2.3 million, leaving the overall account still in a net unrealized loss; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X and hyperbot.network/trader/0x8def9f50456c6c4e37fa5d3d57f108ed23992dae.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, address 0x50b…c9f20 opened an ETH long yesterday and a BTC short 9 hours ago as of Dec 27, 2025, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X citing hyperbot.network/trader/0x50b309f78e774a756a2230e1769729094cac9f20. The ETH long totals 27,304 ETH (about $80.04M) with an entry price of $2,931.9 and an unrealized loss of $5,543, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X citing hyperbot.network/trader/0x50b309f78e774a756a2230e1769729094cac9f20. The BTC short totals 250.36 BTC (about $21.91M) with an entry price of $87,334.2 and an unrealized loss of $46,000, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X citing hyperbot.network/trader/0x50b309f78e774a756a2230e1769729094cac9f20. The account shows cumulative profit of $3.638M since July 2025, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X citing hyperbot.network/trader/0x50b309f78e774a756a2230e1769729094cac9f20. Net exposure is approximately $58.13M long ETH versus BTC based on the reported position sizes, source: calculated from figures reported by @ai_9684xtpa on X citing hyperbot.network/trader/0x50b309f78e774a756a2230e1769729094cac9f20.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, BSC prediction markets hit their highest activity since Nov 15 with $196 million in daily volume, 82,324 active addresses, and 272,000 transactions, citing the @defioasis Dune dashboard as the data source (source: @ai_9684xtpa; data: dune.com/defioasis/prediction-market-wars-on-bsc#by-market). The Dune dashboard shows the top three markets by trading volume were US Fed Rate Decision, Bank of Japan rate decision, and Based FDV one day after launch (source: dune.com/defioasis/prediction-market-wars-on-bsc#by-market; relayed by @ai_9684xtpa). The previous comparable spike occurred during bets on when Monad would airdrop, per the author (source: @ai_9684xtpa). For traders, liquidity on BSC prediction markets is currently concentrated in macro rate decisions and new token valuation questions as reflected in the Dune data (source: dune.com/defioasis/prediction-market-wars-on-bsc#by-market).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, two wallets attributed to Pantera Capital deposited 5,264 ETH to Coinbase about 8 hours ago, worth roughly $15.37M at an average transfer price of $2,919.7, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Arkham Intel explorer addresses 0xbfa50a6fC12d51E26f5C1D2F6528FA839bF21dDD and 0x3971f4DEE353fFe488ff19B4ac5650F36CA4b585. According to @ai_9684xtpa, this marks the first on-chain interaction from these wallets in three months, providing a fresh data point for monitoring ETH exchange inflows, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Arkham Intel address histories. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the same wallets were previously active near an ETH local high around $4,508 three months ago and earlier deposited near ~$1,800 in April, offering reference price levels from their past activity, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X; Arkham Intel address histories.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, since Dec 20 Arthur Hayes shifted from ETH into DeFi tokens and cumulatively withdrew approximately $2.52 million from exchanges, referencing Arkham Intelligence wallet data for the Arthur Hayes entity, which traders often track for whale flows; source: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2004550896852590734 and https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/arthur-hayes. The reported allocations are 687,000 PENDLE valued at $1.232 million, 1.85 million LDO valued at $1.03 million, and 1.22 million ENA valued at $257,000, with PENDLE representing 48.9% of the disclosed portfolio, indicating a heavy tilt toward PENDLE among the DeFi holdings; source: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2004550896852590734 and https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/arthur-hayes. The original post notes it is sponsored by Gate Exchange, and provides the Arkham Intel link for direct on-chain verification, which traders can use to monitor subsequent movements and potential exchange inflows or outflows; source: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/2004550896852590734 and https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/arthur-hayes.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Cluster Capital partner Winslow Strong sent 1,900 ETH and 307.015 cbBTC to Coinbase about 9 hours ago for a total of approximately $32.62 million, with the wallet viewable at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xa0f75491720835b36edC92D06DDc468D201e9b73 (source: @ai_9684xtpa; Arkham explorer). The ETH tranche was reportedly withdrawn one month earlier at a stated price of $3,402.25 per ETH, indicating the current deposit returned those 1,900 ETH to the exchange (source: @ai_9684xtpa; Arkham explorer). The 307.015 cbBTC were accumulated during 2025-08–12 at an average price of $97,936.68, and selling at current levels would realize an estimated loss of about $3.907 million per the same disclosure (source: @ai_9684xtpa; Arkham explorer). The transaction is labeled as a Coinbase deposit by the source, highlighting a sizable on-exchange inflow that traders track for order book and liquidity context (source: @ai_9684xtpa; Arkham explorer).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, the trader nicknamed “1011 flash-crash short insider” had a 2,683.68 SOL order fully filled during the morning dip, based on the Hyperbot Network trader dashboard for address 0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae (hyperbot.network/trader/0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae). The address now holds 511,612.85 SOL (about $61.57M) at an average entry of $130.19, with SOL at $120.4 implying an unrealized loss of $5.03M on the SOL position, according to @ai_9684xtpa citing the same Hyperbot page (hyperbot.network/trader/0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae). The overall account value is $740M and cumulative unrealized loss has expanded to $58.04M, per Hyperbot Network as reported by @ai_9684xtpa (hyperbot.network/trader/0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a trader known for shorting after the 10/11 flash crash increased SOL long exposure by 207,316.32 SOL worth $25.498 million and placed resting limit buys for 2,683.68 SOL between $122.74 and $123.01; source: @ai_9684xtpa; hyperbot.network. Current SOL position value is $63.06 million, total portfolio size is $754 million, and cumulative unrealized loss is $43.32 million driven mainly by ETH losses of $37.33 million; source: @ai_9684xtpa; hyperbot.network.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, an ETH whale withdrew 5,500 ETH (about $16.09M) from OKX roughly one hour ago, lifting total exchange withdrawals since Dec 5 to 34,415.46 ETH (about $107M) with an average cost of $3,131.11 and a current unrealized loss of $7.162M; source: @ai_9684xtpa citing the linked Arkham Intel entity. According to @ai_9684xtpa, the wallet address and transaction timeline can be verified via the Arkham Intel entity page referenced in the post; source: Arkham Intel. According to CryptoQuant research, sustained exchange outflows can tighten spot liquidity and are tracked by traders as a potential accumulation signal, which provides trading context for the reported OKX outflows; source: CryptoQuant research on exchange reserves and flows.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, after direct verification with @Jackyi_ld, the ETH accumulated since November carries a real cost basis around $3,150, putting the 645,000 ETH position at an unrealized loss of roughly $143 million at current prices; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 25, 2025. According to @ai_9684xtpa, @Jackyi_ld stated that with a further $1 billion capital injection, their expected blended ETH average cost would be around $3,050; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 25, 2025. According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research (affiliated with Yihua Yi) holds about 645,000 ETH on-chain valued at over $2.1 billion, was reported as the third-largest ETH holding entity, and recently added approximately $137 million worth of ETH in a single day; source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 25, 2025.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research resumed ETH accumulation on Nov 2 after October profit-taking, withdrawing a total of 715,526 ETH (~$2.36B) from exchanges. According to @ai_9684xtpa, 70,000 ETH was deposited to Binance on Nov 15–16, leaving 645,526 ETH (~$2.13B) and ranking the entity as Ethereum’s third-largest holder behind Bitmine and SharpLink. According to @ai_9684xtpa, if the pledged plan to buy another $1B proceeds, holdings could approach 1,000,000 ETH and potentially surpass SharpLink for the No. 2 spot.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, Trend Research, affiliated with Yihua Yi, has accumulated 645,000 ETH on-chain valued at over $2.1 billion. source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 25, 2025. The post states Trend Research is the third-largest ETH holding entity and added $137 million worth of ETH in a single day. source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 25, 2025. It further claims an intention to buy an additional $1 billion of ETH and lists core holdings spanning ETH, BTC, BCH, BNB, ASTER, and WLFI, with a USD1-based thesis for WLFI. source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 25, 2025. For trading, the reported whale accumulation suggests monitoring ETH spot liquidity and on-chain inflows linked to Trend Research to validate flow and gauge near-term market depth. source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 25, 2025.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, address 0x89B…A7358 added $1,000,000 USDC margin on Hyperliquid ~4 hours ago and is currently long 218 BTC (~$19.17M) and short 5,294.36 ETH (~$15.60M), indicating a bearish stance on the ETH/BTC cross; Source: @ai_9684xtpa; hyperbot.network/trader/0x89BC21cF0c2da44e2AFCCDB9493BE950c78A7358. ETH/BTC is quoted at 0.03358 on Binance, over 22% below the August peak of 0.04328, underscoring ETH underperformance versus BTC; Source: Binance data cited by @ai_9684xtpa. This long-BTC/short-ETH construction represents roughly $34.77M combined notional and benefits if ETH/BTC declines further; Source: @ai_9684xtpa.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, within 24 hours of Binance listing LIT (Lighter) pre-market contracts, opinion.trade bettors shifted to 85.39% odds that day-one FDV exceeds $2B and 23% odds it exceeds $4B, with the >$4B bracket down 14.17%. Source: X/@ai_9684xtpa; opinion.trade topicId=88. As a reference, the Binance pre-market price is $3.52, implying a $3.52B FDV. Source: X/@ai_9684xtpa citing Binance pre-market. For traders, these market-implied odds cluster the near-term valuation between $2B and $4B, while the current pre-market sits near the midpoint, providing benchmarks for positioning and hedging into the listing. Source: opinion.trade topicId=88; X/@ai_9684xtpa.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, $PIPPIN printed a sharp upside wick to 0.7661, signaling a sudden volatility surge; source: X post by @ai_9684xtpa. The same source reports a prominent $PIPPIN short nicknamed ‘神秘小K线’ controlling about 14.6 million tokens with an average entry price of 0.2913; source: @ai_9684xtpa. Binance Smart Money data shows this trader’s losses ballooned by $6.068 million from 15:00–19:00; source: binance.com/zh-CN/smart-money/profile/4736946588198249472?rankingType=PNL&timeRange=24h, cited by @ai_9684xtpa. The trader stated on Binance Square they will neither close nor add to the position, keeping the short exposure intact; source: @ai_9684xtpa. This sequence highlights elevated intraday volatility around $PIPPIN as evidenced by the 0.7661 wick and rapid PnL swing; sources: @ai_9684xtpa and the referenced Binance Smart Money page.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, wallets labeled as the trader who shorted after the 10/11 flash crash deposited a combined 100,000 ETH to Binance roughly 15 minutes prior, valued near USD 292 million, with one cited wallet being 0x99E1E710fAf2EA090E5cFA5A600c1478031640be (source: @ai_9684xtpa). According to @ai_9684xtpa, the post specifies two deposit addresses to Binance and includes an Arkham link for on-chain review (source: @ai_9684xtpa). In response to this report, traders can monitor Binance ETH order books, spot-perp basis, funding rates, open interest, and any subsequent outflows from the referenced wallets to confirm potential impact and execution (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The post provides no additional independent confirmation beyond the shared link, so on-chain verification is recommended before taking positions (source: @ai_9684xtpa).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, an address cluster described as the “1011 post-crash short opener” deposited a combined 10,000 ETH to Binance via two wallets about 15 minutes ago, with one wallet shown as 0x99E1E710fAf2EA090E5cFA5A600c1478031640be; the reference is provided via Arkham Intelligence’s explorer. Source: @ai_9684xtpa; Arkham Intelligence. Such inflows to a centralized exchange increase on-exchange supply from those wallets and can introduce short-term sell-side liquidity risk if the coins reach the order book, which is relevant for ETH spot and perp traders. Source: @ai_9684xtpa; Arkham Intelligence. Traders can monitor Binance ETH spot netflow, order book ask-wall formation, and perp funding/open interest today to gauge whether this deposit translates into active selling. Source: @ai_9684xtpa; Binance market data.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, TST saw a short-term price jump that flipped three suspected manipulator addresses from loss to profit with a combined unrealized gain of USD 143,000; source: @ai_9684xtpa. The update signals concentrated on-chain profits in a small set of addresses, a datapoint traders can use to assess near-term market structure and liquidity for TST; source: @ai_9684xtpa. Traders can track these addresses for transfers to exchanges or liquidity pools to gauge potential supply and volatility in TST; source: @ai_9684xtpa.