Altcoin Bear Market Nears End: Bitcoin Dominance Shows Bearish Divergence, Altcoins Ready to Rally – Analysis by Michaël van de Poppe
According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), the altcoin bear market—characterized by altcoins underperforming Bitcoin—remains present, but a strong bearish divergence on Bitcoin dominance charts suggests a potential reversal. This technical pattern, as cited by van de Poppe on May 26, 2025, indicates that Bitcoin's market share may soon decrease, creating favorable conditions for altcoins to outperform. Traders should monitor Bitcoin dominance and altcoin price action for early trading signals, as a shift could trigger renewed momentum in major altcoins and DeFi tokens. Source: Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), Twitter, May 26, 2025.
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Diving deeper into the trading implications, this bearish divergence on Bitcoin dominance opens up several strategic opportunities for crypto investors. If altcoins are indeed on the cusp of a reversal, trading pairs such as ETH/BTC, ADA/BTC, and SOL/BTC could see significant upside momentum. As of 12:00 PM UTC on May 26, 2025, the ETH/BTC pair was trading at 0.052, up 2.3% from its 24-hour low of 0.0508, reflecting early strength in Ethereum against Bitcoin. Similarly, SOL/BTC gained 1.9%, trading at 0.0029, while ADA/BTC saw a modest 1.5% increase to 0.0000078 during the same period. These movements suggest that capital may be rotating from Bitcoin into select altcoins, a trend often observed during dominance reversals. For traders, this could mean focusing on altcoins with strong fundamentals and high trading volumes. On-chain data further supports this shift, with Ethereum's transaction volume spiking by 15% over the past 48 hours as of May 26, 2025, indicating growing network activity. Meanwhile, Solana's decentralized exchange volume rose by 12% to 1.5 billion USD in the same timeframe, per data from prominent blockchain analytics platforms. These metrics highlight increasing investor interest in altcoins, potentially driven by expectations of higher returns compared to Bitcoin's relatively stable price action.
From a technical perspective, the bearish divergence on Bitcoin dominance is evident on the daily chart, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for dominance dropping to 62 from a high of 68 on May 22, 2025, despite higher highs in dominance percentage during the same period. This classic divergence often precedes a trend reversal, as noted by van de Poppe in his analysis on May 26, 2025, at 8:00 AM UTC. Trading volume for altcoins has also shown promising signs, with total spot volume for the top 10 altcoins increasing by 8.4% to 18.7 billion USD in the 24 hours leading up to 2:00 PM UTC on May 26, 2025, according to aggregated exchange data. In contrast, Bitcoin's spot volume grew by only 3.2% to 25.1 billion USD in the same timeframe, underscoring a relative shift in market focus. Cross-market correlations remain critical here; while Bitcoin often leads overall crypto sentiment, a declining dominance typically correlates with risk-on behavior in altcoins. Additionally, institutional interest in altcoins appears to be picking up, as evidenced by a 5% increase in Grayscale's altcoin trust inflows for the week ending May 25, 2025, per public filings. This institutional money flow could further catalyze altcoin outperformance, especially if Bitcoin dominance continues to weaken. For traders, key levels to watch include Bitcoin dominance support at 53.8% and resistance at 55.5% over the next few days, as these could dictate the pace of any altcoin rally.
In summary, the potential end of the altcoin bear market, as highlighted by Michael van de Poppe, offers a compelling setup for traders. By focusing on high-volume altcoin pairs and monitoring Bitcoin dominance closely, investors can position themselves for potential gains. The interplay between crypto market dynamics and broader risk sentiment, including stock market correlations, remains a factor to watch. While the S&P 500 showed a modest 0.5% gain on May 25, 2025, at 3:00 PM UTC, there’s little direct impact on altcoins yet, but a sustained risk-on environment in equities could amplify altcoin momentum. Staying data-driven with real-time metrics is crucial for navigating this evolving landscape.
FAQ Section:
What does a bearish divergence on Bitcoin dominance mean for altcoins?
A bearish divergence on Bitcoin dominance, as observed on May 26, 2025, suggests that Bitcoin's market share relative to other cryptocurrencies may decline. This often signals that altcoins could start outperforming Bitcoin, potentially leading to price rallies in altcoin pairs like ETH/BTC or SOL/BTC, as capital rotates into these assets.
How should traders prepare for an altcoin reversal?
Traders should focus on altcoins with strong fundamentals and rising trading volumes, such as Ethereum and Solana, which showed volume increases of 15% and 12% respectively as of May 26, 2025. Monitoring Bitcoin dominance levels and key technical indicators like RSI can also help identify entry and exit points for trades.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast