Altcoin Cycle Not Over: @CryptoMichNL Sees Q4 2025 Altcoin Season as Institutions Outweigh BTC Halving Impact | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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11/9/2025 6:36:00 PM

Altcoin Cycle Not Over: @CryptoMichNL Sees Q4 2025 Altcoin Season as Institutions Outweigh BTC Halving Impact

Altcoin Cycle Not Over: @CryptoMichNL Sees Q4 2025 Altcoin Season as Institutions Outweigh BTC Halving Impact

According to @CryptoMichNL, the altcoin cycle is not over and he expects this quarter to surprise to the upside for altcoins as many traders rely too heavily on time-based BTC halving narratives rather than macro-driven institutional flows (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 9, 2025). He states miners’ marginal impact on BTC is smaller than institutional capital, implying macro conditions, not the halving, should guide positioning (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 9, 2025). He contends that a true bull run has not yet begun and that the market is at the forefront of one starting this quarter, favoring continued altcoin exposure over a purely halving-timed strategy (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 9, 2025). For traders, his view signals monitoring macro catalysts and institutional flows while maintaining selective altcoin exposure to capture a potential Q4 rotation (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 9, 2025).

Source

Analysis

In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, prominent analyst Michaël van de Poppe, known on X as @CryptoMichNL, has reiterated his bullish stance on the altcoin market cycle. According to his recent post on November 9, 2025, the altcoin cycle is far from over, and this quarter could deliver significant surprises to traders who have been overly focused on the Bitcoin halving timeline. Van de Poppe emphasizes that the influence of miners has diminished compared to institutional investors, who make decisions based on broader macroeconomic factors. This perspective suggests that the crypto market hasn't truly experienced a bull run yet, positioning traders at the cusp of a potential surge. For those engaged in altcoin trading, this insight underscores the importance of monitoring institutional flows rather than relying solely on historical halving patterns, which could lead to missed opportunities in pairs like ETH/USD or various altcoin-BTC pairings.

Understanding Institutional Impact on Altcoin Cycles

Diving deeper into van de Poppe's analysis, the marginal impact of miners on Bitcoin and altcoin prices has indeed lessened over time, especially post-halving events. Institutions, driven by macroeconomic indicators such as interest rate changes, inflation data, and global economic stability, are now the dominant force. This shift implies that altcoin traders should prioritize signals from traditional finance, like ETF inflows or regulatory developments, over mining-related metrics. For instance, if macroeconomic conditions improve—such as potential Federal Reserve rate cuts—altcoins could see increased buying pressure, leading to breakout opportunities. Traders might consider strategies like longing altcoins against Bitcoin during periods of BTC dominance decline, aiming for resistance levels around previous all-time highs. Without real-time data, it's crucial to note that historical patterns show altcoin rallies often follow Bitcoin stabilization, with trading volumes spiking as institutions allocate capital. This quarter, as van de Poppe predicts, could mark the beginning of such a phase, where bears are proven wrong, and savvy traders capitalize on undervalued altcoins like SOL or LINK.

Trading Strategies Amid Macroeconomic Shifts

To optimize trading in this environment, focus on key indicators such as on-chain metrics and market sentiment gauges. Van de Poppe's view aligns with observations that institutional adoption, evidenced by rising Bitcoin ETF volumes, often spills over to altcoins. For example, monitoring trading pairs like BTC/USD for consolidation could signal altcoin rotation. Traders should watch for support levels in major altcoins; if ETH holds above $2,500 (based on recent historical data), it might catalyze broader market upside. Incorporating tools like RSI for overbought/oversold conditions or moving averages for trend confirmation can enhance decision-making. Moreover, cross-market correlations with stocks—such as tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq—provide additional context, as positive equity movements often boost crypto sentiment. In a scenario where macroeconomic factors turn favorable, altcoin trading volumes could surge, presenting scalping opportunities in high-liquidity pairs. Remember, risk management is key: set stop-losses below key support zones to mitigate downside risks from unexpected volatility.

Broader implications for the crypto market include potential shifts in investor behavior, with more emphasis on fundamental analysis over speculative timing. Van de Poppe's prediction challenges the narrative of a prolonged bear market, encouraging traders to position for a bull run. This could involve diversifying into AI-related tokens or DeFi projects, which often lead altcoin cycles due to innovation-driven demand. As institutions continue to enter, expect increased liquidity and reduced manipulation from smaller players like miners. For stock market correlations, events like earnings reports from tech giants could influence crypto flows, creating arbitrage opportunities between traditional assets and digital currencies. Ultimately, this quarter's developments, as highlighted by van de Poppe, may redefine altcoin trading strategies, rewarding those who adapt to institutional-driven dynamics rather than outdated models. Staying informed through verified analyses ensures traders are prepared for the surprises ahead, potentially leading to substantial gains in a revitalized market cycle.

Market Sentiment and Future Outlook

Current market sentiment, influenced by such optimistic views, leans towards cautious optimism, with many traders eyeing macroeconomic calendars for catalysts like CPI releases or geopolitical events. Van de Poppe's assertion that we've yet to see a real bull run resonates with data showing subdued altcoin performance post-Bitcoin halving, but with institutional capital waiting on the sidelines. This setup favors long-term holders and swing traders who can weather short-term dips. For those exploring trading opportunities, consider altcoin indices or baskets that track sector performance, allowing exposure without single-coin risk. As the quarter progresses, any uptick in trading volumes or positive funding rates on derivatives platforms could confirm van de Poppe's thesis, turning bears into buyers. In summary, embracing this institutional-focused approach could unlock significant value in the altcoin space, making it a pivotal time for strategic positioning in cryptocurrency markets.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast