Altcoin Market Cap vs BTC: MACD Signals Early Bull Phase — @CryptoMichNL Says Longest Altcoin Bear Ending in 2025

According to @CryptoMichNL, the altcoin market capitalization versus BTC is at the start of a bull phase, with a MACD structure mirroring Q1–Q2 2020 on his chart, implying upside in altcoin BTC pairs; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 20, 2025. He states the latest drawdown is comparable to the FTX and COVID-19 capitulations that marked prior cycle bottoms, framing it as a bottoming event; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 20, 2025. He describes this as the longest bear market in altcoins and argues indicators are about to turn upward, asserting that selling now is a poor decision; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 20, 2025. Trading takeaway: if the MACD construction follows 2020 as claimed, a rotation from BTC dominance into altcoins could accelerate; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 20, 2025.
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Altcoin enthusiasts and cryptocurrency traders are buzzing with optimism following a compelling analysis of the altcoin market capitalization versus Bitcoin (BTC). According to cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe, this chart stands out as one of the most insightful in the current markets, highlighting the potential dawn of a new bull cycle. By incorporating the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, the analysis draws parallels between the present market stage and historical cycles, suggesting that altcoins are poised for a significant upward shift after enduring the longest bear market in their history.
Understanding the Altcoin Market Cap vs. BTC Chart
The core of this analysis revolves around the altcoin market capitalization chart paired against BTC, enhanced with MACD to gauge momentum and cycle stages. As per the insights shared on October 20, 2025, this setup reveals that the cryptocurrency market is currently at the inception of a bull phase. Traders frustrated by prolonged downturns may feel tempted to sell, but the data indicates this could be a grave mistake. The MACD patterns mirror those observed in previous cycles, particularly during the first and second quarters of 2020, a period that preceded a massive bull run. This comparison underscores how the recent market crash aligns with historical bottoms like the FTX collapse and the COVID-19 downturn, both of which marked turning points where altcoins bottomed out relative to BTC before surging.
MACD Insights and Cycle Comparisons for Traders
Diving deeper into the technicals, the MACD indicator on this chart shows a construction eerily similar to past cycles, signaling an imminent reversal. For cryptocurrency trading strategies, this implies that altcoins could soon outperform BTC, potentially reducing Bitcoin dominance as capital flows into alternative coins. Historical data from Q1 and Q2 2020 demonstrates that after such MACD formations, altcoin market cap exploded, with many tokens achieving multi-fold gains. In today's context, without real-time price data, traders should monitor key indicators like trading volumes across major pairs such as ETH/BTC, SOL/BTC, and ADA/BTC. If the MACD crosses bullish, it could confirm support levels around recent lows, with resistance potentially at previous highs from earlier in the year. This setup encourages long-term holding rather than panic selling, as the longest bear market—spanning years of stagnation—has likely weeded out weak hands, setting the stage for explosive growth.
From a trading perspective, this analysis opens up opportunities in altcoin-BTC pairs. For instance, if altcoin market cap begins to rise against BTC, savvy traders might position in diversified portfolios, targeting high-volume altcoins with strong on-chain metrics like increased transaction counts or wallet activity. The comparison to FTX and COVID-19 crashes is particularly telling; those events saw altcoin valuations plummet to cycle lows before rebounding sharply. In the 2020 case, post-MACD turnaround, the market witnessed a bull market that propelled total altcoin cap to new all-time highs. Current sentiment, fueled by investor fatigue, could amplify this effect, leading to rapid price recoveries. Traders should watch for confirmatory signals such as rising 24-hour trading volumes or positive divergences in relative strength index (RSI) alongside MACD.
Trading Opportunities and Market Implications
Looking ahead, the implications for cryptocurrency markets are profound. If history repeats, as suggested by this MACD-aligned cycle, altcoins could enter a phase of accelerated growth, attracting institutional flows and boosting overall market liquidity. For stock market correlations, events like this often spill over into crypto-related equities, such as mining companies or blockchain tech firms, creating cross-market trading plays. However, risks remain; without immediate bullish catalysts, volatility could persist. To optimize trading, focus on concrete data points: track altcoin dominance metrics, which have hovered near multi-year lows, and prepare for breakouts. In summary, this chart analysis from October 20, 2025, positions altcoins at a pivotal juncture, urging traders to hold steady for what could be the start of a transformative bull market.
Overall, this perspective not only revitalizes hope amid bearish exhaustion but also provides actionable insights for portfolio management. By emphasizing cycle comparisons and technical indicators like MACD, traders can better navigate the transition from bear to bull. As the cryptocurrency landscape evolves, staying attuned to such analyses could differentiate successful strategies, potentially leading to substantial returns in altcoin investments.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast