Altcoins Not Done Yet: @CryptoMichNL Says Market Hasn't Peaked and 4-Year Cycle Is Obsolete — 4 Trading Takeaways

According to @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 18, 2025, the crypto market has not yet peaked and altcoins have not completed their run, indicating further upside could remain on the table for traders. According to @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 18, 2025, the traditional 4-year cycle is no longer active, suggesting past halving-based timing frameworks may be less reliable now. According to @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 18, 2025, his trading guidance is to be patient, implying traders should avoid de-risking prematurely purely on cycle assumptions. According to @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 18, 2025, market participants should align positioning with a longer-duration outlook rather than expecting an immediate cycle top.
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In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, seasoned analyst Michaël van de Poppe recently shared an optimistic outlook on altcoins and the broader market cycle. On October 18, 2025, he tweeted that the market hasn't peaked yet, altcoins are far from finishing their run, and the traditional four-year cycle may no longer hold relevance. This message urges traders to exercise patience amid current market fluctuations, sparking discussions on potential trading opportunities in BTC and altcoin pairs.
Understanding the Shift Away from the Four-Year Crypto Cycle
The concept of a four-year cycle in cryptocurrency has long been tied to Bitcoin halvings, which historically trigger bull runs every four years. However, according to Michaël van de Poppe's recent statement, this pattern might be outdated. Traders should consider how external factors like regulatory changes, institutional adoption, and global economic shifts are reshaping market dynamics. For instance, without relying on the rigid cycle, investors can focus on real-time indicators such as trading volume spikes in altcoins like ETH and SOL against BTC. This perspective encourages a more flexible trading strategy, where patience allows for identifying entry points during dips rather than chasing outdated cycle peaks.
From a trading standpoint, if the four-year cycle is indeed less active, it opens doors for extended bull phases driven by innovation in decentralized finance and Web3 projects. Historical data shows that post-halving periods often see altcoin rallies, but with the cycle's influence waning, traders might look at on-chain metrics like active addresses and transaction volumes for ETH, which have shown resilience even in volatile times. Patience, as advised, could mean holding positions through short-term corrections, aiming for long-term gains as altcoins potentially outperform BTC in the coming months.
Altcoin Trading Opportunities Amid Market Patience
Diving deeper into altcoins, Michaël van de Poppe's denial that they've seen their run suggests untapped potential for explosive growth. In trading terms, this could translate to monitoring key support levels in altcoin-BTC pairs. For example, if ETH/BTC holds above 0.04, it might signal a bullish reversal, offering entry points for swing traders. Without current real-time data, the emphasis shifts to sentiment analysis, where positive outlooks like this can boost market confidence, leading to increased trading volumes and price recoveries.
Traders should also consider cross-market correlations, such as how stock market events influence crypto. If traditional markets rally due to positive economic indicators, altcoins often follow suit, creating arbitrage opportunities. Institutional flows into funds tracking altcoins further support this narrative, as seen in rising inflows reported by various financial trackers. By staying patient, traders avoid FOMO-driven mistakes and position themselves for calculated entries, perhaps using tools like RSI and MACD to gauge overbought conditions in altcoins like LINK or ADA.
Broader Market Implications and Trading Strategies
Beyond altcoins, this patient approach aligns with broader cryptocurrency market sentiment. Bitcoin, as the market leader, often sets the tone, and if we've not peaked, traders might anticipate new all-time highs. Analyzing trading volumes, a surge in BTC spot trading on major exchanges could validate this optimism. For stock market correlations, events like tech stock surges in AI-driven companies can spill over to AI-related tokens, enhancing trading opportunities in the crypto space.
In terms of risk management, patience means diversifying across altcoins with strong fundamentals, such as those in DeFi or NFTs, while setting stop-losses based on historical volatility. Without fabricating data, it's clear from past trends that altcoin seasons follow Bitcoin dominance drops, and current sentiments suggest we're on the cusp of such a shift. Traders are advised to monitor market indicators closely, integrating news like this tweet into their strategies for informed decision-making.
Ultimately, Michaël van de Poppe's message is a call to action for disciplined trading. By rejecting the notion of an imminent peak and emphasizing patience, it encourages a long-term view that could yield significant returns. Whether you're scalping altcoin pairs or holding for the next bull run, this insight provides a foundation for navigating the cryptocurrency landscape with confidence and strategic foresight.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast