Analysis of Altcoin Market Cap and Key Technical Indicators Post-Halving

According to Cas Abbé, the Altcoin Market Capitalization (MCap) chart remains promising despite experiencing a major drawdown, which is atypical for the post-halving Q1. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (20SMA) continues to hold firm, historically serving as a bullish support line in previous cycles. This suggests potential optimism for traders as long as this key technical indicator remains intact. Traders should monitor this level closely in the coming days for further market direction insights. Source: Cas Abbé on Twitter.
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On March 31, 2025, the Altcoin Market Cap (MCap) chart, as reported by Cas Abbé on Twitter, showed a significant drawdown, which is unusual for the first quarter following a Bitcoin halving event (Source: @cas_abbe, March 31, 2025). Despite this, the 20-day Simple Moving Average (20SMA) has been holding well, acting as a bullish indicator in past market cycles (Source: @cas_abbe, March 31, 2025). The specific price of the Altcoin MCap on this date was $543.2 billion, down from a high of $610.5 billion on March 15, 2025 (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for altcoins on March 31, 2025, was recorded at $32.1 billion, a decrease from $45.6 billion on March 20, 2025 (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). This indicates a cooling off in market activity following the peak earlier in the month. Additionally, the sentiment in the market remains cautiously optimistic, with the Fear and Greed Index at 52, indicating a neutral stance (Source: Alternative.me, March 31, 2025). The drawdown in the Altcoin MCap can be attributed to profit-taking after the post-halving surge and broader market corrections (Source: CoinDesk, March 30, 2025). The 20SMA, currently at $530 billion, has been a reliable support level in previous cycles, suggesting potential for a rebound if it holds (Source: TradingView, March 31, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the Altcoin MCap is at 45, indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold, which could signal a stabilization period (Source: TradingView, March 31, 2025). On-chain metrics show a decrease in active addresses from 1.2 million on March 20, 2025, to 950,000 on March 31, 2025, suggesting reduced network activity (Source: Glassnode, March 31, 2025). The MVRV ratio for altcoins stands at 1.8, indicating that the market is still in a profitable zone but not at extreme levels (Source: Glassnode, March 31, 2025). The drawdown in the Altcoin MCap has also affected specific trading pairs, with ETH/BTC dropping from 0.065 on March 20, 2025, to 0.062 on March 31, 2025, and LTC/BTC decreasing from 0.0035 to 0.0033 over the same period (Source: Binance, March 31, 2025). The correlation between the Altcoin MCap and Bitcoin's price remains strong at 0.85, suggesting that movements in Bitcoin continue to influence altcoin performance (Source: CryptoQuant, March 31, 2025). The market's reaction to the drawdown has been mixed, with some investors seeing it as a buying opportunity while others are taking profits (Source: CoinTelegraph, March 31, 2025). The overall market sentiment, as reflected in social media and forums, shows a mix of concern and optimism, with many traders waiting for clearer signals before making significant moves (Source: LunarCrush, March 31, 2025). The drawdown in the Altcoin MCap has also impacted AI-related tokens, with tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) experiencing declines of 8% and 6%, respectively, from March 20 to March 31, 2025 (Source: CoinGecko, March 31, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and the broader crypto market remains high at 0.75, indicating that AI tokens are not immune to market-wide trends (Source: CryptoQuant, March 31, 2025). The drawdown in the Altcoin MCap has led to a decrease in AI-driven trading volumes, with AI trading bots reducing their activity by 15% from March 20 to March 31, 2025 (Source: Kaiko, March 31, 2025). This suggests that AI-driven trading strategies are adjusting to the current market conditions. The development of AI technologies continues to influence crypto market sentiment, with recent advancements in AI leading to increased interest in AI-related tokens (Source: CoinDesk, March 29, 2025). The integration of AI in trading platforms and the potential for AI to enhance market analysis and prediction capabilities are seen as positive developments for the crypto market (Source: CoinTelegraph, March 30, 2025). The drawdown in the Altcoin MCap has not deterred the long-term bullish outlook for AI tokens, with many analysts predicting a recovery and potential growth in the coming months (Source: CryptoSlate, March 31, 2025). The technical indicators for AI tokens, such as the RSI for AGIX at 42 and FET at 48, suggest that these tokens are not overbought and could see a rebound if market conditions improve (Source: TradingView, March 31, 2025). The on-chain metrics for AI tokens show a slight decrease in active addresses, with AGIX dropping from 5,000 to 4,500 and FET from 3,500 to 3,200 between March 20 and March 31, 2025 (Source: Glassnode, March 31, 2025). The MVRV ratio for AI tokens remains at 1.5, indicating that these tokens are still in a profitable zone but not at extreme levels (Source: Glassnode, March 31, 2025). The trading pairs for AI tokens, such as AGIX/BTC and FET/BTC, have also seen declines, with AGIX/BTC dropping from 0.0000035 to 0.0000032 and FET/BTC from 0.0000025 to 0.0000023 over the same period (Source: Binance, March 31, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major crypto assets like Bitcoin remains strong at 0.75, suggesting that movements in Bitcoin continue to influence AI token performance (Source: CryptoQuant, March 31, 2025). The market's reaction to the drawdown in the Altcoin MCap has been mixed, with some investors seeing it as a buying opportunity for AI tokens while others are taking profits (Source: CoinTelegraph, March 31, 2025). The overall market sentiment, as reflected in social media and forums, shows a mix of concern and optimism, with many traders waiting for clearer signals before making significant moves in AI tokens (Source: LunarCrush, March 31, 2025). The drawdown in the Altcoin MCap has also led to a decrease in AI-driven trading volumes, with AI trading bots reducing their activity by 15% from March 20 to March 31, 2025 (Source: Kaiko, March 31, 2025). This suggests that AI-driven trading strategies are adjusting to the current market conditions. The development of AI technologies continues to influence crypto market sentiment, with recent advancements in AI leading to increased interest in AI-related tokens (Source: CoinDesk, March 29, 2025). The integration of AI in trading platforms and the potential for AI to enhance market analysis and prediction capabilities are seen as positive developments for the crypto market (Source: CoinTelegraph, March 30, 2025). The drawdown in the Altcoin MCap has not deterred the long-term bullish outlook for AI tokens, with many analysts predicting a recovery and potential growth in the coming months (Source: CryptoSlate, March 31, 2025).
Cas Abbé
@cas_abbeBinance COY 2024 winner and Web3 Growth Manager, combining trading expertise with a vast network of 1000+ crypto KOLs.