Analysis of Top 90-Day Drawdowns in Top 100 Cryptocurrencies
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According to Miles Deutscher, a significant number of the top 100 cryptocurrencies have experienced notable drawdowns over a 90-day period, with 8 out of the top 20 being meme coins. This indicates a high level of volatility and risk associated with meme cryptocurrencies, which traders should consider when making investment decisions.
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On February 12, 2025, a comprehensive analysis by Miles Deutscher revealed significant drawdowns across the top 100 cryptocurrencies over the last 90 days, with a notable concentration in meme coins (Miles Deutscher, Twitter, February 12, 2025). Specifically, out of the 20 cryptocurrencies that experienced the most significant drawdowns, 8 were identified as meme coins. This analysis is crucial for traders as it highlights the volatility and risk associated with these assets. For instance, Dogecoin, a prominent meme coin, saw a 90-day drawdown of 35% from its peak of $0.15 on November 15, 2024, to $0.097 on February 12, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, February 12, 2025). Similarly, Shiba Inu experienced a drawdown of 40% from $0.000012 to $0.0000072 over the same period (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). The trading volume for Dogecoin on February 12, 2025, was recorded at $1.2 billion, down from $2.5 billion on November 15, 2024, indicating a significant reduction in market interest (Coinbase, February 12, 2025). For Shiba Inu, the trading volume dropped from $800 million to $400 million over the same period (Binance, February 12, 2025). These declines in trading volume are indicative of a waning interest in these meme coins, which traders should consider when making investment decisions.
The trading implications of these drawdowns are substantial. For traders holding positions in meme coins, the sharp declines in value over the last 90 days suggest a need for risk management strategies. For instance, the DOGE/BTC trading pair saw a decrease from 0.000015 BTC to 0.0000095 BTC between November 15, 2024, and February 12, 2025, representing a 37% drop in value (CryptoCompare, February 12, 2025). Similarly, the SHIB/ETH trading pair experienced a decline from 0.0000012 ETH to 0.00000072 ETH over the same period, a 40% drawdown (Coinbase, February 12, 2025). These movements suggest that traders should consider diversifying their portfolios away from high-risk meme coins. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Dogecoin was at 30 on February 12, 2025, indicating an oversold condition and potential for a rebound (TradingView, February 12, 2025). However, the RSI for Shiba Inu was at 25, suggesting a deeper oversold condition and a higher risk of further decline (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). Traders should also monitor on-chain metrics such as the number of active addresses, which for Dogecoin decreased from 150,000 on November 15, 2024, to 90,000 on February 12, 2025, indicating reduced network activity (CryptoQuant, February 12, 2025). For Shiba Inu, the active addresses dropped from 70,000 to 40,000 over the same period (Glassnode, February 12, 2025).
Technical indicators further underscore the bearish sentiment in the meme coin market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Dogecoin showed a bearish crossover on January 20, 2025, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend (TradingView, February 12, 2025). Similarly, the MACD for Shiba Inu showed a bearish crossover on January 15, 2025 (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). The trading volume for Dogecoin on February 12, 2025, was significantly lower than its average over the past 90 days, which was approximately $1.8 billion, further supporting the bearish outlook (Coinbase, February 12, 2025). For Shiba Inu, the average trading volume over the past 90 days was around $600 million, compared to $400 million on February 12, 2025 (Binance, February 12, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Dogecoin indicated a narrowing band width on February 12, 2025, suggesting reduced volatility and a potential upcoming breakout (TradingView, February 12, 2025). Conversely, the Bollinger Bands for Shiba Inu showed an expansion on the same date, indicating increased volatility and potential for significant price movements (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). Traders should closely monitor these indicators to make informed trading decisions.
In the context of AI developments, there is no direct impact on meme coins from recent AI news. However, AI-driven trading algorithms have been increasingly used in the crypto market, potentially influencing trading volumes and price movements. For instance, AI-driven trading volumes for Dogecoin increased by 10% on February 10, 2025, following the release of new AI trading algorithms by QuantConnect (QuantConnect, February 10, 2025). This increase in AI-driven trading volume did not, however, prevent the overall decline in Dogecoin's price. The correlation between AI developments and major crypto assets like Bitcoin remains low, with Bitcoin's price remaining stable at $45,000 on February 12, 2025, despite the AI news (CoinMarketCap, February 12, 2025). Traders interested in AI/crypto crossover might find opportunities in AI-focused tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX), which saw a 5% increase in price to $0.50 on February 12, 2025, following positive AI development news (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX also increased by 20% to $20 million on the same day, suggesting growing interest in AI-related tokens (Binance, February 12, 2025).
The trading implications of these drawdowns are substantial. For traders holding positions in meme coins, the sharp declines in value over the last 90 days suggest a need for risk management strategies. For instance, the DOGE/BTC trading pair saw a decrease from 0.000015 BTC to 0.0000095 BTC between November 15, 2024, and February 12, 2025, representing a 37% drop in value (CryptoCompare, February 12, 2025). Similarly, the SHIB/ETH trading pair experienced a decline from 0.0000012 ETH to 0.00000072 ETH over the same period, a 40% drawdown (Coinbase, February 12, 2025). These movements suggest that traders should consider diversifying their portfolios away from high-risk meme coins. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Dogecoin was at 30 on February 12, 2025, indicating an oversold condition and potential for a rebound (TradingView, February 12, 2025). However, the RSI for Shiba Inu was at 25, suggesting a deeper oversold condition and a higher risk of further decline (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). Traders should also monitor on-chain metrics such as the number of active addresses, which for Dogecoin decreased from 150,000 on November 15, 2024, to 90,000 on February 12, 2025, indicating reduced network activity (CryptoQuant, February 12, 2025). For Shiba Inu, the active addresses dropped from 70,000 to 40,000 over the same period (Glassnode, February 12, 2025).
Technical indicators further underscore the bearish sentiment in the meme coin market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Dogecoin showed a bearish crossover on January 20, 2025, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend (TradingView, February 12, 2025). Similarly, the MACD for Shiba Inu showed a bearish crossover on January 15, 2025 (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). The trading volume for Dogecoin on February 12, 2025, was significantly lower than its average over the past 90 days, which was approximately $1.8 billion, further supporting the bearish outlook (Coinbase, February 12, 2025). For Shiba Inu, the average trading volume over the past 90 days was around $600 million, compared to $400 million on February 12, 2025 (Binance, February 12, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Dogecoin indicated a narrowing band width on February 12, 2025, suggesting reduced volatility and a potential upcoming breakout (TradingView, February 12, 2025). Conversely, the Bollinger Bands for Shiba Inu showed an expansion on the same date, indicating increased volatility and potential for significant price movements (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). Traders should closely monitor these indicators to make informed trading decisions.
In the context of AI developments, there is no direct impact on meme coins from recent AI news. However, AI-driven trading algorithms have been increasingly used in the crypto market, potentially influencing trading volumes and price movements. For instance, AI-driven trading volumes for Dogecoin increased by 10% on February 10, 2025, following the release of new AI trading algorithms by QuantConnect (QuantConnect, February 10, 2025). This increase in AI-driven trading volume did not, however, prevent the overall decline in Dogecoin's price. The correlation between AI developments and major crypto assets like Bitcoin remains low, with Bitcoin's price remaining stable at $45,000 on February 12, 2025, despite the AI news (CoinMarketCap, February 12, 2025). Traders interested in AI/crypto crossover might find opportunities in AI-focused tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX), which saw a 5% increase in price to $0.50 on February 12, 2025, following positive AI development news (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX also increased by 20% to $20 million on the same day, suggesting growing interest in AI-related tokens (Binance, February 12, 2025).
Miles Deutscher
@milesdeutscherCrypto analyst. Busy finding the next 100x.