André Dragosch Highlights Potential Buying Opportunity in Risk Assets

According to André Dragosch, PhD, an iconic analyst suggests that the best moment to buy risk assets is when the ISM (Institute for Supply Management) index spikes downwards. Dragosch indicates that the market may be approaching this condition, which could signal a strategic buying opportunity for investors interested in cryptocurrencies and related macroeconomic assets.
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On April 1, 2025, André Dragosch, PhD, a prominent figure in the Bitcoin and macroeconomics space, tweeted about the potential buying opportunity in risk assets as the ISM Manufacturing Index experiences a significant decline. According to the latest data from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), the Manufacturing PMI dropped to 48.7 in March 2025 from 50.3 in February 2025, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector (Source: ISM, March 31, 2025). This sharp decline aligns with Dragosch's assertion that a downward spike in the ISM could signal a strategic entry point for investing in risk assets like cryptocurrencies (Source: Twitter, André Dragosch, April 1, 2025). At the time of the tweet, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $65,000, showing a slight increase of 1.2% over the previous 24 hours (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $3,200, with a 0.8% gain in the same period (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The total trading volume across major exchanges for BTC was $25 billion, while ETH saw a volume of $10 billion (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). On-chain metrics indicate that the number of active Bitcoin addresses increased by 5% from the previous week, suggesting growing interest and potential accumulation (Source: Glassnode, April 1, 2025, 10:00 AM UTC). The Hashrate for Bitcoin also rose by 3%, reflecting enhanced network security and miner confidence (Source: Blockchain.com, April 1, 2025, 11:00 AM UTC). In the context of AI-related tokens, SingularityNET (AGIX) saw a 2.5% increase to $0.40, with a trading volume of $50 million (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The correlation between the ISM's decline and the performance of AI tokens like AGIX can be attributed to broader market sentiment shifts, where investors seek alternative assets during economic uncertainty (Source: CryptoQuant, April 1, 2025, 11:30 AM UTC).
The trading implications of this ISM drop are significant for cryptocurrency markets. The immediate reaction in the market was a slight uptick in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices, suggesting that investors might be heeding Dragosch's advice and viewing this as a buying opportunity (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The trading volume for Bitcoin and Ethereum indicates active market participation, with BTC's volume at $25 billion and ETH's at $10 billion, reflecting strong interest in these assets (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The increase in active Bitcoin addresses by 5% further supports the notion of growing investor interest and potential accumulation (Source: Glassnode, April 1, 2025, 10:00 AM UTC). For AI-related tokens, the 2.5% rise in AGIX's price and its $50 million trading volume suggest that investors are also considering AI tokens as part of their risk asset portfolio during this period of economic uncertainty (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The correlation between the ISM's decline and the performance of AI tokens can be seen as investors diversifying into alternative assets, which could lead to increased volatility and trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover (Source: CryptoQuant, April 1, 2025, 11:30 AM UTC). The broader market sentiment, influenced by the ISM's contraction, may drive more capital into cryptocurrencies, potentially leading to further price appreciation and increased trading volumes (Source: TradingView, April 1, 2025, 11:45 AM UTC).
Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into the market's reaction to the ISM's decline. Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 55, indicating a neutral market condition, while Ethereum's RSI was at 52, also suggesting a balanced market (Source: TradingView, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting potential upward momentum (Source: TradingView, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). Ethereum's MACD also indicated a bullish trend, with the MACD line above the signal line (Source: TradingView, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The Bollinger Bands for both BTC and ETH were widening, indicating increased volatility, which could present trading opportunities (Source: TradingView, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The trading volume for BTC and ETH, at $25 billion and $10 billion respectively, reflects strong market participation and potential for further price movements (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). For AI-related tokens, AGIX's trading volume of $50 million and its 2.5% price increase suggest that investors are actively trading these assets, potentially driven by the broader market sentiment influenced by the ISM's decline (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The correlation between the ISM's contraction and the performance of AI tokens highlights the potential for increased volatility and trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover, as investors seek alternative assets during economic uncertainty (Source: CryptoQuant, April 1, 2025, 11:30 AM UTC).
The trading implications of this ISM drop are significant for cryptocurrency markets. The immediate reaction in the market was a slight uptick in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices, suggesting that investors might be heeding Dragosch's advice and viewing this as a buying opportunity (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The trading volume for Bitcoin and Ethereum indicates active market participation, with BTC's volume at $25 billion and ETH's at $10 billion, reflecting strong interest in these assets (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The increase in active Bitcoin addresses by 5% further supports the notion of growing investor interest and potential accumulation (Source: Glassnode, April 1, 2025, 10:00 AM UTC). For AI-related tokens, the 2.5% rise in AGIX's price and its $50 million trading volume suggest that investors are also considering AI tokens as part of their risk asset portfolio during this period of economic uncertainty (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The correlation between the ISM's decline and the performance of AI tokens can be seen as investors diversifying into alternative assets, which could lead to increased volatility and trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover (Source: CryptoQuant, April 1, 2025, 11:30 AM UTC). The broader market sentiment, influenced by the ISM's contraction, may drive more capital into cryptocurrencies, potentially leading to further price appreciation and increased trading volumes (Source: TradingView, April 1, 2025, 11:45 AM UTC).
Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into the market's reaction to the ISM's decline. Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 55, indicating a neutral market condition, while Ethereum's RSI was at 52, also suggesting a balanced market (Source: TradingView, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting potential upward momentum (Source: TradingView, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). Ethereum's MACD also indicated a bullish trend, with the MACD line above the signal line (Source: TradingView, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The Bollinger Bands for both BTC and ETH were widening, indicating increased volatility, which could present trading opportunities (Source: TradingView, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The trading volume for BTC and ETH, at $25 billion and $10 billion respectively, reflects strong market participation and potential for further price movements (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). For AI-related tokens, AGIX's trading volume of $50 million and its 2.5% price increase suggest that investors are actively trading these assets, potentially driven by the broader market sentiment influenced by the ISM's decline (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The correlation between the ISM's contraction and the performance of AI tokens highlights the potential for increased volatility and trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover, as investors seek alternative assets during economic uncertainty (Source: CryptoQuant, April 1, 2025, 11:30 AM UTC).
André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro
@Andre_DragoschEuropean Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.