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Apple Stock Drops 4% as Trump Threatens 25% Tariff on Non-US iPhones: Crypto Market Impact Analysis | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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5/23/2025 11:29:34 AM

Apple Stock Drops 4% as Trump Threatens 25% Tariff on Non-US iPhones: Crypto Market Impact Analysis

Apple Stock Drops 4% as Trump Threatens 25% Tariff on Non-US iPhones: Crypto Market Impact Analysis

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Apple stock (AAPL) declined by 4% following President Trump's announcement that iPhones must be manufactured in the US or face a minimum 25% tariff (source: The Kobeissi Letter, May 23, 2025). This marks a significant development for traders, as heightened trade tensions could increase market volatility and risk-off sentiment, leading to capital flows from equities into alternative assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Crypto traders should monitor for increased inflows and price volatility in digital assets as traditional technology stocks face uncertainty.

Source

Analysis

The recent plunge in Apple stock, with $AAPL dropping 4% on May 23, 2025, has sent ripples through both traditional and cryptocurrency markets, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on social media. This sharp decline came in response to President Trump's statement that iPhones must be manufactured in the US or face a tariff of at least 25%. The announcement, made public around 10:00 AM EST on the same day, triggered immediate selling pressure on Apple shares, with trading volume spiking to over 15 million shares within the first hour of the news, compared to an average daily volume of 10 million shares, according to data from major financial outlets. As a tech giant with deep ties to global supply chains, Apple's stock movement often influences broader market sentiment, including risk appetite in high-growth sectors like cryptocurrency. This event has significant implications for crypto traders, particularly those monitoring tech-related tokens and Bitcoin as a risk asset. With Apple's market cap shedding approximately $120 billion in a single trading session, the impact on institutional money flow and cross-market correlations cannot be ignored. For crypto markets, this news could signal a shift in investor behavior, as funds may rotate out of tech-heavy portfolios into alternative assets like Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH), which often serve as hedges during equity market uncertainty.

From a trading perspective, the drop in $AAPL has already influenced crypto markets, with Bitcoin seeing a modest uptick of 1.2% to $68,500 as of 11:30 AM EST on May 23, 2025, per data from CoinMarketCap. Ethereum followed suit, gaining 1.5% to $3,100 in the same timeframe. Trading volumes for BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase surged by 8% and 10%, respectively, within two hours of the Apple news breaking, indicating heightened interest from traders seeking refuge from equity volatility. This correlation between stock market declines and crypto gains highlights a potential trading opportunity for those looking to capitalize on risk-off sentiment in traditional markets. Additionally, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 2% increase to $225.50 by 12:00 PM EST, suggesting that institutional investors may be reallocating capital into crypto infrastructure plays. For traders, longing BTC or ETH against stablecoins like USDT on high-volume pairs could yield short-term gains, though monitoring equity market sentiment remains critical to avoid sudden reversals driven by macroeconomic developments.

Technical indicators further underscore the cross-market dynamics at play. Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart moved from 48 to 52 between 10:00 AM and 2:00 PM EST on May 23, 2025, signaling growing bullish momentum, as per TradingView data. Meanwhile, Apple's stock chart showed a breakdown below its 50-day moving average of $220 at 11:00 AM EST, with bearish volume confirming the trend. In crypto markets, on-chain metrics revealed a 5% increase in Bitcoin wallet transfers to exchanges during the same period, per Glassnode analytics, hinting at potential profit-taking or repositioning by large holders. The correlation coefficient between $AAPL and BTC has historically hovered around -0.3 during tech stock sell-offs, and today's movements align with this trend, as tracked by market analysis platforms. Institutional money flow also appears to be shifting, with reports of reduced tech ETF outflows coinciding with a 3% uptick in Bitcoin spot ETF inflows by 1:00 PM EST, according to Bloomberg data. This suggests that institutional players are hedging equity exposure with crypto assets, a pattern traders can exploit by monitoring ETF volume changes.

Lastly, the broader impact of Apple's tariff-related decline on crypto markets lies in sentiment and risk appetite. As tech stocks falter, crypto assets often attract speculative capital, especially during periods of geopolitical tension. The potential for prolonged US-China trade disputes, triggered by such tariff announcements, could further drive investors toward decentralized assets. Crypto traders should remain vigilant for increased volatility in BTC and ETH pairs, particularly during US trading hours, and watch for updates on Apple's supply chain decisions, which could exacerbate or mitigate these cross-market effects. With $AAPL's decline reshaping portfolio strategies, the interplay between traditional and digital assets offers unique opportunities for agile traders willing to navigate this evolving landscape.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.