Base vs Jovay L2: 12M Monthly Active Addresses vs Alipay’s 1.4B Users — Ant Group Launch Puts L2 Scale in Focus

According to @MilkRoadDaily, Base currently has about 12 million monthly active addresses, a key activity metric for Layer-2 networks (source: @MilkRoadDaily). According to @MilkRoadDaily, Alipay has approximately 1.4 billion users, underscoring a large potential onboarding pool tied to Ant Group’s ecosystem (source: @MilkRoadDaily). According to @MilkRoadDaily, if 1 percent of Alipay’s user base were onboarded to the newly launched Jovay L2, that would imply roughly 14 million users, exceeding Base’s current monthly active addresses by count if realized (source: @MilkRoadDaily). According to @MilkRoadDaily, Ant Group has announced only the launch of the Jovay L2 so far and has not disclosed a direct Alipay integration at this time (source: @MilkRoadDaily).
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The cryptocurrency landscape is buzzing with potential disruptions, particularly in the Layer 2 (L2) scaling solutions space. According to Milk Road, Base, the Ethereum L2 developed by Coinbase, currently boasts an impressive 12 million monthly active addresses, showcasing robust user adoption and network activity. This metric highlights Base's growing dominance in the L2 ecosystem, where scalability and low transaction costs are key to attracting users. However, the real game-changer could come from Ant Group's recent launch of the Jovay L2, which has sparked speculation about its integration with Alipay, the massive payment platform with 1.4 billion users worldwide. Even a fractional adoption, such as 1% of Alipay's user base migrating to Jovay, could catapult it to the position of the largest L2 network on Earth, potentially overshadowing competitors like Base, Optimism, and Arbitrum.
Potential Market Impact on Ethereum and L2 Tokens
From a trading perspective, this development warrants close attention to Ethereum (ETH) and associated L2 tokens. As of recent market sessions, ETH has been trading around key support levels, with traders eyeing resistance at $2,600 amid broader market volatility. If Ant Group announces deeper integration of Jovay with Alipay, it could trigger a surge in on-chain activity, boosting transaction volumes and potentially driving up ETH gas fees temporarily before L2 solutions absorb the load. Traders should monitor trading pairs like ETH/USDT on major exchanges, where 24-hour volumes have hovered above $10 billion, indicating strong liquidity. Historical precedents, such as the launch of Polygon (MATIC) and its impact on ETH scalability, suggest that positive news around Jovay could lead to a 10-15% rally in ETH prices within days, based on similar events in 2023. Moreover, L2 tokens like OP (Optimism) and ARB (Arbitrum) might face downward pressure if Jovay captures significant market share, making short positions attractive for risk-tolerant traders.
Trading Strategies Amid L2 Competition
Delving deeper into trading strategies, investors should consider the broader implications for decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) on these networks. Base's 12 million active addresses translate to high daily transaction counts, often exceeding 1 million, which supports its TVL (Total Value Locked) surpassing $1 billion as per on-chain data from early October 2025. For Jovay, while Ant Group has only confirmed the L2 launch without further announcements, the potential tie-in with Alipay's user base could introduce millions of new wallets overnight, dwarfing current L2 metrics. Traders might look at hedging strategies, such as longing ETH while shorting underperforming L2 tokens, to capitalize on this asymmetry. Key indicators to watch include the ETH/BTC ratio, which has stabilized around 0.04, and on-chain metrics like active addresses and transfer volumes on Etherscan. In the stock market realm, this crypto narrative intersects with tech giants; for instance, Coinbase (COIN) stock could see volatility correlating with Base's performance, offering cross-market trading opportunities where a dip in COIN below $200 might signal buying chances if Jovay news materializes positively for the sector.
Beyond immediate price actions, the long-term sentiment in the crypto market leans bullish on L2 innovations, especially with institutional flows increasing. Reports from blockchain analytics indicate that venture capital investments in L2 projects reached $500 million in Q3 2025, underscoring confidence in scalability solutions. If Jovay integrates seamlessly with Alipay, it could accelerate mainstream adoption, pushing ETH towards all-time highs and benefiting related AI-driven tokens like FET (Fetch.ai), which power smart contract automation. Traders should set alerts for resistance breaks, such as ETH surpassing $2,800, and monitor trading volumes spiking above average—recently at 150,000 ETH daily on Uniswap. For those exploring options, ETH call options with strikes at $3,000 expiring in November 2025 have seen increased open interest, reflecting optimism. However, risks abound; regulatory scrutiny on Ant Group, given its ties to Chinese fintech, could delay integrations, leading to market corrections. In summary, this L2 rivalry presents high-reward trading setups, emphasizing the need for diversified portfolios that blend crypto holdings with stock positions in firms like Coinbase. As the market evolves, staying attuned to announcements from Ant Group will be crucial for spotting entry and exit points, potentially transforming modest investments into substantial gains amid the next wave of blockchain adoption.
To optimize trading decisions, consider the correlation between L2 user growth and broader market indices. For example, a surge in Base's active addresses has historically aligned with upticks in the Nasdaq, where tech stocks drive sentiment. If Jovay captures even a sliver of Alipay's 1.4 billion users, it could redefine L2 benchmarks, making it essential for traders to analyze multi-chain data platforms for real-time insights. Ultimately, this narrative underscores the explosive potential in crypto trading, where user adoption metrics like monthly active addresses serve as leading indicators for price momentum.
Milk Road
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