Binance Supply Concentration Viewed as Bullish by Miles Deutscher: Why 95% Custody May Favor Momentum Trades in 2025

According to Miles Deutscher, a situation where 95% of a token’s supply is held by Binance should be treated as bullish by traders, and he urges not to let traditional fundamentals override profit opportunities in such setups (source: Miles Deutscher, X post, Sep 21, 2025).
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In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency trading, a recent statement from crypto analyst Miles Deutscher has sparked significant discussion among traders and investors. Highlighting a scenario where 95% of a token's supply is held by Binance, Deutscher emphasized that this centralization could actually be a bullish signal rather than a red flag. According to Miles Deutscher in his September 21, 2025 post, traders should not let traditional fundamentals overshadow potential profit opportunities. This perspective challenges conventional wisdom in crypto markets, where decentralization is often prized, but it underscores how exchange dominance can drive price action and liquidity in certain assets.
Understanding Centralized Supply as a Bullish Catalyst in Crypto Trading
When 95% of a cryptocurrency's supply is concentrated in the hands of a major exchange like Binance, it might initially raise concerns about manipulation or lack of decentralization. However, as Deutscher points out, this setup can be highly bullish for traders. Such concentration often means the exchange has a vested interest in promoting the token, potentially leading to increased listings, marketing campaigns, and liquidity pools that attract retail and institutional flows. For instance, in trading pairs involving tokens with heavy exchange holdings, we've seen historical patterns where sudden pumps occur due to reduced circulating supply, creating scarcity that drives up prices. Traders monitoring on-chain metrics might notice lower sell pressure, as the bulk of tokens aren't readily available on secondary markets. This dynamic can result in explosive volatility, offering entry points for short-term trades. Consider how this aligns with broader market sentiment: in bull cycles, centralized tokens often outperform decentralized ones due to easier access and hype generation. Without real-time data at hand, focusing on sentiment indicators like social media buzz and trading volume spikes becomes crucial for spotting these opportunities.
Trading Strategies for Tokens with High Exchange Concentration
To capitalize on such bullish setups, traders should prioritize technical analysis over pure fundamentals. Look for support and resistance levels in key trading pairs, such as those against BTC or USDT on Binance. If a token exhibits a pattern where 95% supply is locked with the exchange, historical charts from similar assets show breakouts above moving averages, like the 50-day EMA, signaling buy opportunities. For example, incorporating volume-weighted average price (VWAP) can help identify intraday entries, especially during periods of low volatility that precede pumps. Risk management is key—set stop-losses below recent lows to mitigate downside from any sudden unlocks. Moreover, correlating this with overall crypto market trends, such as Bitcoin's dominance or Ethereum's gas fees, provides context. If BTC is rallying, tokens with centralized supply might see amplified gains due to exchange-driven liquidity. Institutional flows, tracked via reports from analytics firms, often favor these assets for their predictability in controlled environments. Avoid over-reliance on fundamentals like tokenomics; instead, use tools like RSI for overbought signals and MACD crossovers for momentum shifts. This approach aligns with Deutscher's advice: prioritize making money through actionable trading rather than ideological debates on decentralization.
Expanding on market implications, this viewpoint encourages a shift in how traders evaluate altcoins. In a landscape where meme coins and exchange-backed tokens frequently dominate trading volumes, ignoring centralization could mean missing out on high-reward plays. For broader crypto sentiment, if more analysts echo Deutscher's stance, we might see increased capital rotation into such assets, boosting sectors like DeFi or NFTs indirectly tied to exchange ecosystems. Without specific price data, emphasize monitoring 24-hour volume changes and whale activity on-chain for early signals. Ultimately, this narrative reinforces that in crypto trading, adaptability to unconventional bullish factors can lead to substantial profits, blending sentiment analysis with technical prowess for optimal results.
Delving deeper into cross-market correlations, consider how stock market events influence these crypto dynamics. For instance, if traditional markets experience volatility from tech stock dips, investors might flock to centralized crypto assets for quick liquidity, mirroring flows seen in past cycles. Trading opportunities arise in pairs like ETH against these tokens, where arbitrage can be exploited during exchange promotions. Always timestamp your analysis—drawing from September 2025 insights—to ensure relevance. In summary, Deutscher's take highlights a pragmatic trading philosophy: embrace bullish elements like supply centralization to navigate the markets effectively, focusing on data-driven decisions over purist ideals.
Miles Deutscher
@milesdeutscherCrypto analyst. Busy finding the next 100x.