Bitcoin: 51% Chance to Reclaim $75,000 by Year-End

Bitcoin now carries a 51% probability of reclaiming $75,000 by year-end on Polymarket. At the current $63416.24 level the 4h structure remains bearish as price sits below both EMA50 at $64198.08 and EMA200 at $63719.88 while the MACD death cross at -303.62 confirms downside momentum; with RSI at 38.26 still neutral and price inside the Bollinger bands, any test of upper resistance at $65246.21 would likely trigger a retracement toward lower support at $62897.29 before the next directional move, sharpening the latest BTC price prediction and crypto market crash scenarios.